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DRT Daily Tips Bulletin, January 20, 2017

The return to some league football today augurs well for the weekend. There will definitely be live chats on Saturday and Sunday.

16:00 - Ivory Coast v DR Congo - 1.94 Ivory Coast

Only 1 match into the African Cup of Nations for both sides.
Ivory Coast have a 0-0 v Togo. Congo had a 1-0 win v Morocco.
There have not been any recent head to heads.
Very little to go on. I thought we'd get an Algeria-style angle in. This match may be a cagey affair.
Ivory Coast have had 4 0-0's in their last 6 matches in all competitions. Is this a tactic? 0-0 and try to nick a winner?

19:00 - Morocco v Togo - 1.89 Morocco

A 1-0 loss to Congo for Morocco and a 0-0 for Togo v Ivorians.
I think I will return to this competition with more matches under the belt.

19:00 - Twente v Heracles - 1.75 Twente

Twente 100% stats

2 home defeats were by only 1 goal.
Not lost to nil at home.

Twente other stats

Only 2 wins in 11 matches.
Failed to score in only 3 matches.
Scored and conceded in 7 of 9 home matches.

Heracles 100% stats

Not won to nil away.
Not scored in both halves away.
No 1-0 or 0-1 away.

Heracles other stats

Only 3 clean sheets.
Conceded in their last 5 away matches.
Only 1 away win.
Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 away matches.
89% over 1.5 goals away.

Conclusions

Both teams to score is a strong pattern with both teams. Twente seem to score 2 goals the lower down the league they get. In that regard, I would lay Heracles if Heracles scored first.
Expect 2 goals at least today.

19:00 - Breda v Achilles 29 - 1.19 Breda

This is 5th v 20th in the Dutch Eerste Divisie - Achilles are bottom of the league.

Breda 100% stats

Only the 1 home defeat by 1 goal.
Not lost to nil at home.

Breda other stats

Failed to score only 4 times.
No defeat in 8 home matches.
Only 1 home loss.
All wins home and away v bottom 5 sides includes 1-2 away at Achilles.

Achilles 100% stats

No away 0-0.
Conceded in every away match.

Achilles other stats

8 consecutive defeats and 8 consecutive defeats away.
Conceded in their last 10 away and last 8 overall.
All defeats home and away v top 9 teams.
85% over 1.5 goals away.

Conclusions

Achilles are highly likely to concede and we are highly likely to see at least 2 goals.
This should be a Breda win. It was a tight 1-2 win the last time these 2 met.
Given Achilles are highly likely to concede, it is not a stretch to suggest we lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:00 - De Graafschap v Den Bosch - 1.68 De Graaf

Both teams have scored in 5 of the last 6 Dutch Eerste Divisie matches.
Both sides are in the bottom 7 so not having the best of times.

De Graaf 100% stats

No 0-0 at home.
100% over 1.5 goals at home.

De Graaf other stats

Only 3 clean sheets.
Scored in their last 7 home matches.
89% of points come at home.
Against teams 7th and lower at home (Den Bosch are 14th), De Graaf have scored 4-4-2-3-3-5-3-2 goals.

Den Bosch 100% stats

No away match with a 1-0/0-1.

Den Bosch other stats

3 draws in their last 4 matches.
In 9 of 10 away matches, at least one team has scored 2 goals at least.
Only 1 0-0 away.
Unbeaten v teams below them in the league.
90% over 1.5 goals away.

Conclusions

If De Graaf continue to score 2 goals at home and Den Bosch remain unbeaten v the bottom teams, then expectation is for both sides to score 2 goals? 2-2 correct score as a trading angle?
Let's hope for a 0-0 or only 1 goal coming to halftime. I would lay under 3.5 goals at halftime in that case.

19:00 - Helmond Sport v FC Oss - 1.81 Helmond

I like Oss in the Dutch Eerste Divisie. As you will see, the stats are good for these guys for trading.

Helmond Sport 100% stats

No 0-0 at home.
Scored in all home matches.

Helmond Sport other stats

Failed to score in only 4 matches.
2 consecutive defeats.
2 defeats at home v 2nd and bottom of the league.
3-1 loss to Oss earlier this season.

FC Oss 100% stats

No clean sheets.
100% over 1.5 goals.

FC Oss other stats

6 wins in their last 7 matches.
15 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
Scored 2 goals at least in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Scored and conceded last 12 matches.
All defeats bar a single win away v top 14 (Helmond are 10th).

Conclusions

Both teams should score today. A very strong trend for Oss.
Oss could even score 2 goals at least today whilst conceding.
I tend to lay Oss if Oss lead 2-0 or higher.
Given the expectation for goals, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:30 - Freiburg v Bayern Munich - 1.28 Bayern

Freiburg 100% stats

No 0-0's.
Not scored in both halves at home.
Not had a home match with 2 goals exactly.

Freiburg other stats

Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches.
Unbeaten last 4 matches.
Only failed to score in 2 matches.
Did lose 1-4 at home v 2nd.
7 of 9 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Bayern Munich 100% stats

No 0-0.
100% wins v 9th and lower home and away. Freiburg are 8th.
No over 4.5 goals matches away.
Scored first in 5/7 away matches.

Bayern Munich other stats

Failed to score only once.
3 consecutive clean sheets.
5 consecutive wins.
Only 1 loss at halftime.

Conclusions

Please note that this is the first match after a long come-back. Faith in the teams not being ring-rusty.
Lay any late 0-0.
Bayern Munich should not lose at halftime so if Freiburg score first and early, lay them in the halftime market.
Bayern are likely to score first and negate any real trading opportunity. Bayern infact should win.
Freiburg do score and concede and must be opposed if leading.

19:45 - Brighton v Sheff Wed - 2.04 Brighton

1-1 and 1-2 Brighton in the last 2 head to heads in the English Championship.
A chance for Brighton to go top today.

Brighton 100% stats

No 0-0 at home.

Brighton other stats

Only 3 defeats.
Failed to score in only 6 matches and in last match so unlikely fail to score in 2 consecutive matches.
3 consecutive home wins.
No defeat in 9 at home.
Scored in their last 9 home matches.
Sheff Wed are 6th. Brighton have only 1 loss at home.

Sheffield Wednesday 100% stats

All wins and defeats away from home have been by 1 or 2 goals.
No over 4.5 goals matches away.
Not scored in both halves away.

Sheffield Wednesday other stats

5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Only failed to score in 4 matches.
Only 1 loss in 10 matches.
7 0-0's at halftime away.
Have lost 1-2 to Brighton this season.
Only 2 wins away v teams 12th and higher. BUT 0-1 wins away v 1st and 5th.

Conclusions

Do not expect a 0-0.
Brighton are solid at home and have scored last 9 matches so this should not be another 0-1 win Sheff Wednesday v a top 5 side.
Note the clean sheets for Sheff Wed. I would still lay Sheff Wed if Sheff Wed scored first.

19:45 - SC Bastia v Nice - 2.38 Nice

Nice are joint first in French Ligue 1.

SC Bastia 100% stats

All defeats at home by 1 goal.
No over 3.5 goals matches.

SC Bastia other stats

50% 0-0's at halftime at home.
Only 3 wins v teams above them in the league (considering they are 17th in the league, this is poor).
Drawn 1-1 v Nice already this season.

Nice 100% stats

No away match with exactly 3 goals.

Nice other stats

Only 1 defeat.
2 consecutive 0-0's.
Failed to score only 3 times.
4 of 5 wins away were by a single goal.

Conclusions

I would expect the Nice 0-0 sequence to end today. It is unhealthy given they are joint top on points so expect a strong Nice performance.
Any win I think could be by a single goal.
It might be 0-0 at halftime but should not be 0-0 at fulltime for the above reason.

19:45 - Las Palmas v Deportivo - 2.14 Las Palmas

This is the Spanish La Liga.

Las Palmas 100% stats

No home defeats.
No home match with 3 goals total.

Las Palmas other stats

Failed to score in only 4 matches but failed to score in their last 2 away matches.
Scored in their last 5 home matches.
12 of 17 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
1-1-0-1-0 scored in recent home matches.

Deportivo 100% stats

No away win.
Not led at halftime away.
6 0-0's at halftime away.
No away match with exactly 3 goals.

Conclusions

No home defeats plays no away wins. Logic suggests Las Palmas will not lose.
Both teams have a very strong 2nd half scoring trend so if 0-0 at halftime, keep faith in this stat and goals 2nd half.
Lay Deportivo if Depor score first. Las Palmas have failed to score in only 4 matches albeit they have a poor recent scoring record.