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A decent enough set of matches today. The WRWM newsletter is due this week so I may not have time for a live chat this evening as I need to find time to research Saturday and Sunday matches. If online, I will Tweet @drtclub. There are some matches without solid trading angles from the pre-match research. My focus would today be on Besiktas to score (failed only once); FC Oss match to see a shedload of goals - over 3.5 goals?; possibility for Cambuur to score 3/4 goals today; Napoli are scoring and conceding at home so let's hope Genoa score first; Birmingham have conceded in their last 10 away matches; Arouca could concede 3 goals at least today.

16:00 - Karabukspor v Besiktas - 1.63 Besiktas

  • Besiktas tend to win head to heads in the Turkish Super Lig.

Karabukspor other stats

  • Won their last 2 home matches including v Galatasary.
  • Only 1 0-0.
  • Lost 3-1 to Besiktas earlier this season.
  • 7 goals scored last 15 mins of home matches.

Besiktas other stats

  • Only failed to score once.
  • Only one defeat.
  • Only failed to score once away.
  • 3 draws, a loss and a win away v top 12 teams and play 10th today.

Conclusions

  • There are no 100% stats for either team.
  • Besiktas  form drops a bit away from home but the fact remains they have only 1 loss all season so are highly likely to come out of this match with a point at least. Let that be your guide if the home side score first.
  • There should not be a 0-0.

19:00 - Zwolle v NEC - 1.91 Zwolle

  • Zwolle don't tend to lose Dutch Eredivisie head to heads.

Zwolle 100% stats

  • Not beaten any team above them in the league (NEC are 10th to Zwolle's 13th).
  • No over 4.5 goals at home.
  • Not lost to nil at home.

Zwolle other stats

  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No win in 5 at home.
  • Only 2 home wins came v the bottom 3.
  • 8 goals conceded last 15 minutes of home matches.

NEC 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.

NEC other stats

  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 2 away wins were 0-1.
  • 5 of 7 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Not a match in which I can rely on the odds on favourite who have only beaten 2 bottom 3 sides at home.
  • NEC's away form is not much better.
  • If I cannot find a solid trading angle, I'll leave alone or use the in-play stats. Remember, just because you research a match it does not mean you have to play!

19:00 - FC Eindhoven v FC Oss - 1.66 FC Eindhoven

  • FC Oss delivered a great trading angle last Friday so they are my first choice amongst Dutch Eerste Divisie teams.

FC Eindhoven 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

FC Eindhoven other stats

  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 7 consecutive home wins.
  • 3-8-1-3-4-3-5-7 goals in total in recent matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in all home wins.
  • Conceded in all bar 2 home matches.

FC Oss 100% stats

  • No clean sheets.
  • No draw home or away v top 11 teams.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least away v teams above them in the league (where Eindhoven reside).
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.

FC Oss other stats

  • 3 defeats in 6 matches were either 3-0 or 3-1.
  • 88% over 2.5 goals.

Conclusions

  • With FC Oss, we expect goals and lots of them. FC Eindhoven at their best will score 3 goals today at least.
  • FC Oss must be opposed regardless of any in-play lead they might have.
  • Take a chance and lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. It would be rare to see 2 consecutive HT 0-0's in an Oss match.

19:00 - Cambuur v Fortuna Sittard - 1.3 Cambuur

  • 3-0 to Fortuna Sittard the last time these 2 teams met in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Cambuur 100% stats

  • Undefeated outside of the top 2.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.
  • No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

Cambuur other stats

  • No draw in 10 at home.
  • Scored 3/4 goals in 7 home matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of 12 home matches.

Fortuna Sittard 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • All defeats away v top 10 and play 7th today.

Fortuna Sittard other stats

  • Only 2 wins in 14 matches.
  • Have only beaten the bottom side away.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 9 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Do not expect a 0-0. Cambuur should go unbeaten today and at their best score 2-4 goals which should ensure the win.
  • There are no halftime goals stats in this league but I would venture to lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Back Cambuur if Fortuna scored first. Note Cambuur do tend to score and concede.

19:00 - Telstar v Achilles 29 - 1.54 Telstar

  • Telstar has won the last 5 head to heads in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Telstar 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at home v teams below them in the league (Telstar are 14th and Achilles are 20th).

Telstar other stats

  • 2 consecutive wins scoring 7 goals.
  • 0-3-0-0-0-0-3 goals scored recently at home.

Achilles 29 other stats

  • Only 2 wins.
  • Failed to score in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
  • No win in 10 away.
  • 2-1 losses v 13th, 14th, 15th and 16th.

Conclusions

  • Note Telstar have been very poor scoring consistently at home. They do have goals in them when they want.
  • We see 2-1 crop up a lot with Achilles (defeats).
  • This might be 0-0 for a while. I would take a chance and back 0-0 pre-match and hope it remains 0-0 at halftime. A risk, yes, because Achilles are poor, but I hope Telstar flounder goals wise.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, I would back 2-1 for 2nd half.

19:30 - Mainz v Augsburg - 2.18 Mainz

Mainz 100% stats

  • Not lost to nil at home.
  • No 1-0/0-1 at home.

Mainz other stats

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Only 2 home defeats despite the poor recent form.
  • Scored in all bar 1 match at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in all home matches played v teams 8th and lower.

Augsburg 100% stats

  • All wins have come v teams below them in the league (as Mainz are).
  • No over 3.5 goals matches away.

Augsburg other stats

  • Only 2 defeats in 10 matches.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Mainz have good form at home but poor recent form. Augsburg were beaten easily by Mainz earlier this season but tend to do their winning exclusively v teams below them in the league.
  • Again, no clear cut patterns here so I will move on.

19:45 - Napoli v Genoa - 1.32 Napoli

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 teams met in Italian Seria A.

Napoli 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • Undefeated at home v teams below them in the league (Napoli are 3rd).
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home

Napoli other stats

  • Unbeaten in 12 and in 8 at home.
  • Scored in their last 12 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 7/9 home matches v teams 8th and lower (Genoa are 16th).
  • 11 of 14 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Genoa 100% stats

  • Not beaten any top 13 side away.
  • Not scored in both halves away.
  • Not led at halftime away.

Genoa other stats

  • No win in 7 overall and in 8 away matches.
  • Conceded either 2 or 3 goals away v top 7 sides.

Conclusions

  • Napoli should continue to score in every home match and in fact should score 2/3 goals today against a Genoa side without a win v top 13 sides.
  • Genoa might score. Let's hope they score first so we can back Napoli or a correct score Napoli win.
  • Lay Genoa in the halftime market if they score first and early in the first half.

19:45 - Sheffield Wednesday v Birmingham - 1.8 Sheff

  • 2 Sheff Wed wins and a Birmingham win in the last 3 English Championship matches.

Sheffield Wednesday 100% stats

  • No home match with exactly 4 goals in total.

Sheffield Wednesday other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 9 matches was against Brighton.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Only 1 draw at home.
  • Failed to score only once at home.
  • 8 goals scored at home in the last 15 minutes.

Birmingham 100% stats

  • None.

Birmingham other stats

  • Only 2 wins in 12 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 11 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 10 away matches.
  • Muddling away form. Win v 5th away and loss away v 21st.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • I would favour Sheff Wed today given that they have only 1 loss in 9 as against Birmingham's 2 wins in 12 matches.
  • Birmingham are likely to concede away from home.

19:45 - Bordeaux v PSG - 1.57 PSG

  • Prior to PSG's last win in head to heads, Bordeaux were unbeaten in 3 consecutive head to heads in French Ligue 1.

Bordeaux 100% stats

  • Researching before the Caen result is known.
  • Failed to score against top 3 teams.
  • All wins at home were by a single goal.

Bordeaux other stats

  • Unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • 0-0-0-1-1 scored in their last 5 home matches.

PSG 100% stats

  • No draw away.

PSG other stats

  • 4 wins and a 1-1 last 5 matches.
  • In 6 matches v top 6 teams, only 1 win - playing 7th today.

Conclusions

  • PSG have a poor record v top 6 teams but with Bordeaux failing to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches and with Bordeaux failing to score v top 3, PSG may get away with it today.
  • Lay Bordeaux if Bordeaux score first. In fact, seeing as PSG avoid draws away, what chance backing PSG if Bordeaux score first.

19:45 - Espanyol v Sociedad - 2.86 both teams

  • A Spanish Primera Liga where the market cannot split the teams at all. Will the stats offer us an avenue in?
  • 1-1 the last time these 2 teams met.

Espanyol 100% stats

  • No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

Espanyol other stats

  • 3 consecutive wins and 2 consecutive 3-1 home wins.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 home matches.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home (54% of matches).
  • Only 1 home win v top 15 teams and Sociedad are 5th.
  • 12 of 17 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Real Sociedad 100% stats

  • No away draw.
  • All defeats away v top 9 teams.
  • All away wins were by a 2 goal margin.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Real Sociedad other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 5 wins in their last 7 matches.

Conclusions

  • Both sides have very recent winning form, both are within the top 10.
  • Espanyol have only 1 home win v top 15 teams and Real Sociedad have lost all away matches v top 9 teams - which team would you select today? Another match which is tough to call. I do leave these matches on the DRT Bulletin as you might latch onto a stat and use it in-play.

20:30 - Benfica v Arouca - 1.22 Benfica

  • 4-4-3 goals scored by Benfica in recent head to head home wins.
  • This is the Portugeuse Primera Liga.

Benfica 100% stats

  • Undefeated at home.
  • Scored in all home matches.
  • 3 + goals scored in all home matches v teams 11th and lower (Arouca are tantalisingly close in 10th).
  • 1005 over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.

Benfica other stats

  • Failed to score only once.
  • Led at halftime in 7/10 at home.

Arouca 100% stats

  • All defeats in 4 matches played away v top 11 teams.
  • 3-0 defeats away v 2nd and 3rd - playing 1st today.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Arouca other stats

  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.

Conclusions

  • Benfica on form should be scoring 3 goals at least. A simple angle in.
  • Benfica lead in 70% of home matches so note that if you want to play the halftime markets.
  • Arouca have started scoring in matches lately but tend not to score against top 3 teams away. If they score first, back Benfica or even look at a correct score 3-1, any other home win and 3-2 saver of course.