Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Last night. A gentle reminder why I rarely venture into Finland! Form shows goals galore, 2 matches serve up a 0-0 and a 0-1. I did correctly predict a 2-2 scoreline. If you stayed in to the death, a 15.5 payout was very welcome, particularly as that was the odds with a goal already scored.
A shortlist of matches is at DRT Facebook. These are the matches from the list below which catch the eye. I will use www.flashscore.com and single out the shortlist matches in 'My Games' and give them special attention. I will be around for the Dutch at 19:00 on Twitter @drtclub.

ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP

19:45 - Birmingham v Cardiff - 2.32 Cardiff

  • 1-1, 0-0, 1-1 in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 22nd v 1st after 11 matches.

Birmingham

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Not played the top 3 at home.2-1 win at home v 4th.
  • 5 of 6 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Cardiff City

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 2 wins in 6 matches but as I say, only 1 loss all season.
  • Both teams have scored in 5 of their last 8 matches, without Cardiff losing.
  • Only loss came away v a top 6 side.
  • Wins away v 21st and 23rd and meet 22nd today.
  • A strong 2nd half scoring and conceding pattern away.

Conclusions

  • 3 consecutive head to head draws. I like to see sequences like this potentially end so would lay any late draw.
  • With only 2 clean sheets for Birmingham, I think Cardiff will get on the scoresheet. Cardiff have a strong both teams to score stat but note that they do not lose currently.
  • There is a strong scoring stat 2nd half for both teams so this is a great match to oppose any 0-0 at halftime.

19:45 - Bristol City v Burton - 1.43 Bristol City

  • 1-2 Bristol and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 21st, so contrasting early season form.

Bristol City

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Failed to score only twice and those matches ended 0-0.
  • 3-4-0-2-3 goals scored recently so scoring more than they are not.
  • 3 home wins have come v 15th and lower.
  • Have not lost to nil at home.

Burton

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 2 consecutive away 0-0's.
  • No away win and scored only the one away goal.

Conclusions

  • Against tonight's opponents, Bristol City should be eyeing a return to scoring 2+ goals but a note of caution. 2 consecutive away 0-0's for Burton. I do feel this 0-0 sequence should end today but we would have to rely on Bristol City as Burton have not scored in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Lay Burton if Burton score first.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

19:45 - Lyon v Monaco - 2.48 Lyon

  • The away side won the head to heads last season.
  • This is 8th v 2nd after 8 matches.

Lyon

  • Only 1 loss came rather inevitably v PSG.
  • 2 consecutive 3-3 draws. Lyon were leading.
  • 4-3-2-3 scored at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not met the current top 5 at home.

Monaco

  • Only 1 loss came away v Nice.
  • 6 wins, a draw and a loss.
  • Drew last match.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Wins away have come v the current bottom 4 so there is a context.

Conclusions

  • Both teams have only the one loss.
  • I would favour Lyon today but must add that there are only 8 matches to work with.
  • Lyon's goal scoring at home is excellent and Monaco's wins have come v the current bottom 4 teams (the 4th worst form after 8 matches).
  • I would look to lay Monaco if Monaco scored first.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Stuttgart v FC Koln - 2.04 Stuttgart

  • No head to heads since January 2016.

Stuttgart

  • Unbeaten at home with 3 clean sheets, 1-0, 1-0, 0-0. Failing to score that 2nd goal, they need the clean sheets.
  • Only 2 wins.

FC Koln

  • No win. All defeats bar a 0-0.
  • Failed to score away.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Conclusions

  • Still early in the season. We have short patterns. Clean sheets for Stuttgart. Failure to score for Koln.
  • 0-0 or 1-0 again today?

SCOTTISH PREMIERSHIP

19:45 - St Johnstone v Rangers - 1.59 Rangers

  • 3-2 and 1-2 Rangers from the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 3rd after 8 matches.

St Johnstone

  • 2 defeats came within the last 2 away matches and saw ST J conceding 3 goals in each.
  • 3 wins and a draw at home.
  • Met Celtic away and drew 1-1 in a good performance so they can feel confidence meeting another Old Firm side and with home advantage.
  • 6 of the 8 matches this season saw both teams score so there is a concern that St J will concede.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in 8 matches.
  • Not yet met a current top 3 side at home but have not beaten the top 2 away.

Rangers

  • Slowly getting stronger but nowhere near Celtic's level just yet.
  • Only 2 defeats came v Hibs (Rangers were red carded) and Celtic.
  • Like St J, both teams have scored in 6 of 8 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet Rangers.
  • 1-2, 1-3, 2-2, 1-4 away from home is solid, and sees both teams score but Rangers not lose.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not met the top 4 away yet.

Conclusions

  • St Johnstone are a team of some potential, as showcased in a 1-1 v Celtic. They are at home today and are unbeaten, scoring and conceding in 3 of 4.
  • Both teams to score is a strong stat for both sides.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • This should be a competitive match. The market is overwhelmingly with Rangers who, if they continue to score 2 goals, will most likely not lose today.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Espanyol v Levante - 1.88 Espanyol

  • 1-1 Espanyol, 2-1 Levante in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 14th v 10th.

Espanyol

  • 3 defeats, 2 against Real Madrid and Barcelona.
  • 2 consecutive home wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.

Levante

  • 2 consecutive defeats the only 2 this season.
  • Did draw 1-1 away at Real Madrid.

Conclusions

  • No strong form angles.

Please do not forget the Dutch Juliper League (also known as the Eerste Divisie).

Last week's league matches saw 7 of 9 matches where both teams scored. All of those 7 matches saw over 2.5 goals. The 2 exceptions were 2-0 wins. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has been a prevailing pattern this season in this league.
On the 29th September, only 6 matches saw both teams to score, 8 saw over 2.5 goals (out of 10).
On 22nd September, 4 matches saw over 2.5 goals and 4 went both teams to score (out of 8).
On 15th September, 6 of 9 matches saw both teams score. With only 4 over 2.5 goals.
The one prevailing thought - 0-0 should not be expected.

19:00 - Cambuur v FC Oss - 1.43 Cambuur

  • 4-2 and 2-7 Cambuur in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 14th v 8th.

Cambuur

  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Scored and conceded in 3 at home, with 2 consecutive score draws.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.

FC Oss

  • 3 defeats in 4 matches came at home.
  • 0-3, 3-3, 2-2 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in 6 matches.

Conclusions

  • Based on FC Oss, we should see both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
  • Cambuur should concede at least.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:00 - Den Bosch v Jong Utrecht - 1.82 De Bosch

  • 1-0 Den Bosch and 5-0 Utrecht in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 9th v 17th.

Den Bosch

  • 3 wins in 5 matches.
  • 2 consecutive home wins to nil scoring 3 and 5 goals.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.

Jong Utrecht

  • Only 1 win came at home.
  • 4 over 2.5 goals matches in last 5.
  • 2-1 or 2-2 scorelines in 4 aways.

Conclusions

  • Head to heads are inconclusive.
  • Early season form sees goals for both sides. I will place faith in Jong's away form and expect both teams to score and Jong not to win.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • 2-1 and 2-2 potential scorelines if Jong's away pattern continues. Niggle? 2 consecutive home wins to nil for Den Bosch.

19:00 - Emmen v Jong PSV - 1.87 Emmen

  • 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 last 4 head to heads.

Emmen

  • 6 draws sandwiched between 2 wins.
  • 1-1, 0-0, 0-0, 2-0 at home. This may not be a candidate for both teams to score.

Jong PSV

  • 2 wins were 1-2 and came away.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score last 2 away matches.
  • No win in 4.

Conclusions

  • This may not be a candidate for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
  • On form, Jong PSV should concede at some point so note that.

19:00 - FC Eindhoven v Volendam - 2.24 FC Eindhoven

  • 2 consecutive Volendam wins in head to heads.
  • These are bottom 5 sides.

FC Eindhoven

  • 2 wins came in the last 2 aways.
  • 2-2, 1-2 and 0-1 at home.
  • Only 1 clean sheet and failed to score only once.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.

FC Volendam

  • No win.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.

Conclusions

  • Both sides have only the single clean sheet. No win at home plays no win at all.
  • I would lay any late draw here as both sides will be keen on the win rather than a draw.

19:00 - MVV Maastricht v Fortuna Sittard - 2.06 MVV

  • Both teams have scored in the last 4 head to heads with MVV unbeaten in the last 3.
  • 2 top 6 sides albeit only 8 matches played.

MVV

  • Good season bar 2 consecutive defeats.
  • 2 wins and 2 draws at home.

Fortuna

  • 2 defeats.
  • 6-6-3-0-1-6-6-3 goals in total this season.
  • Failed to score only once.

Conclusions

  • We can, I hope, look to over 2.5 goals here based on Fortuna's total goals this season.
  • I would suggest Fortuna not to lose today and would lay MVV if MVV scored first.

19:00 - NEC Nijmegen v Waalwijk - 1.45 NEC

  • 3 consecutive NEC wins in head to heads.
  • 3rd top v 3rd bottom.

NEC

  • Both teams scored in all bar one match.
  • Both teams scored in all 4 home matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.
  • Led at halftime in all home matches.

Waalwijk

  • No win.
  • 5 draws in 6, the last 4 draws were score draws.
  • Scored and conceded in 3 aways.
  • All 4 away goals conceded first half.

Conclusions

  • On form, NEC should lead at halftime. Waalwijk could score without winning the match.