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ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Wolverhampton Wanderers v Leicester City - 2.6 Wolves

  • Nice to see the Premier League back but not nice to see 2.6 the favourite which suggests these 2 are far too well matched. I will take a look via DRT Facebook page video but will not research here. In-play stats!

ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP

19:45 - Hull City v Swansea City - 2.28 Swansea

  • Match outcome: Hull City have lost 6/8 home matches against top-half teams while Swansea have scored first in 12/17 away matches against bottom-half teams. Swansea have drawn the first half in 7/9 away matches against bottom-half teams.

Hull City - 15th

  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home losses.
  • No draw in 11 at home.
  • 6 losses and a win v the top 8 at home. Lost 2-1 to Swans earlier this season.

Swansea - 9th

  • No win in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Not scored a 2nd goal in 7 away matches.
  • 47% 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only 1 away loss v 6th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Hull City's losses v the top 8 may continue into 9th? Swans are in poor recent form but have only 1 away loss v 6th and lower.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Dortmund v Frankfurt - 1.44 Dortmund

  • Match outcome: B. Dortmund have won 14/17 home matches against top-half teams while E. Frankfurt have had L/L double results in 6/8 away matches against top-six teams. E. Frankfurt have lost 9/10 away matches against top-six teams.

Dortmund - 3rd

  • All defeats came away and lost 4-3 v Leverkusen last match.
  • 3 wins and a draw last 4 home matches.
  • 5-5-5-3 goals scored recently.
  • 11 consecutive matches without a 0-0 at halftime.
  • No defeat in 10 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 6 at home.
  • 12 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 2-2 v Frankfurt last time.
  • 25 of 36 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Frankfurt - 9th

  • 3 wins and a draw last 4 matches.
  • It is the recent form for Frankfurt which I think we should focus on. 6 losses and a draw prior to this solid beating of Leipzig, Hoffenheim and Augsburg.
  • Conceded last 10 away matches.
  • 3/3 defeats away v the top 6.
  • 9/11 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Frankfurt are in their best form for a long while and that must be considered today, particularly in the beatings of Hoffenheim and Leipzig. It may be the case though that Dortmund's solid goal scoring records recently suggests that they can counter anything Frankfurt offers.
  • 40% 0-0 at halftime away for Frankfurt but I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Valencia v Atl Madrid - 2.66 Atl Madrid

  • A small kick about in the Champions League for Atl Madrid v Liverpool on 18th February suggests we may see an under-performing Atl Madrid side.
  • With Valencia unbeaten in 12 matches at home, Atl Madrid will find this tough. 2.66 the favourite suggests in-play stats. I will look at it via the DRT Facebook Review/Preview page.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

19:00 - VVV v Heracles - 2.52 Heracles

  • 1st goal: VVV-Venlo have conceded first in 7/10 home matches against top half non-Big Two teams and they have lost 5/8 such matches. There have been -2.5 goals in 5/8 H Almelo away matches against bottom-six teams.
  • I won't research this 2.52 the favourite. I would rather focus on more immediately readable matches.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

19:00 - Volendam v Telstar - 1.58 Volendam

  • 1st half outcome: Volendam have won the first half in 7/11 home matches against middle-third teams while Telstar have lost the first half in 5/8 away matches against top-six teams. Telstar have lost 7/10 away matches against top-six teams.

Volendam - 4th

  • No defeat in 14 and in 8 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 11 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • 25% 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only home loss v 1st in the league.
  • 1-2 win v Telstar this season.
  • 11 goals scored last 15 minutes of second half at home.

Telstar - 10th

  • 2 losses in a row.
  • 2-3-2 goals scored away last 3 matches without winning.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 10 away matches.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • 27% 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Not beaten a top 9 side away from home.

Conclusions

  • Favouring Volendam here. Even if Telstar score 2 goals they don't tend to win so that is a ready angle.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

Eindhoven v Jong PSV - 1.92 Eindhoven

  • Match outcome: FC Eindhoven have won 11/17 home matches against bottom-six teams while Jong PSV have lost 12/14 away matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 12/16 Jong PSV away matches.

Eindhoven - 13th

  • Only 1 win in 10 matches came at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 42% 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 4 wins and a draw last 5 matches at home v 14th and lower.
  • 78% of all goals at home came 2nd half.

Jong PSV - 16th

  • Only 2 wins in 14 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Scored and conceded last 6 away.
  • Conceded last 12 away.
  • Not beaten a top 17 side away.
  • 2-1 win v Eindhoven last time these 2 met.

Conclusions

  • Poor recent form for both sides but note Jong PSV have yet to beat a top 17 side. Enough to side with Eidnhoven, a side with only 2 clean sheets? 4 wins and a draw though at home for Eindhoven v teams 14th and lower.

Den Bosch v Jong Utrecht - 1.64 Den Bosch

  • Match outcome: Jong Utrecht have lost 9/10 away matches against middle-third teams and they have lost by two or more goals in 5/8 such matches. Den Bosch have won the first half in 5/8 home matches against middle-third teams.

Den Bosch - 11th

  • Only 3 defeats since 20th September 2019.
  • A draw and 2 consecutive wins.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 6 at home.
  • Unbeaten v teams below them in the league at home.
  • 12 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Jong FC Utrecht - 12th

  • Only 2 wins in 8 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No win in 7 away.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 11th and lower. 5-1 win v Den Bosch this season.
  • 16 of 22 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Den Bosch will be on a good footing if they score 2+ goals as they have done in their last 6 at home. The seasonal form is very similar. Den Bosch are unbeaten at home v teams below them in the league, Jong FC are unbeaten home and away v 11th and lower and beat Jong FC Utrecht easily. The market is with Den Bosch.

TOP Oss v Dordrecht - 2.1 TOP Oss

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 9/10 FC Oss home matches against bottom-six teams and -1.5 goals in 6/8 FC Oss such matches. Dordrecht have conceded first in 9/13 away matches.

TOP Oss - 17th

  • Only 5 wins.
  • A loss and 2 draws last 3 matches.
  • 2 wins and a draw last 4 home matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Not met bottom 2 at home - 1-1 draw last head to head.
  • Clean sheets v 16th and 18th at home.
  • 10 of 14 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Dordrecht - 19th

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 1-1 and 0-1 away v 14th and 16th.
  • 23 of 30 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • These 2 are poor. And, looking at both sides' scorelines v bottom sides, 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1 look the likeliest scorelines in a match making limited appeal bar a speculative back of 0-0 pre-match (clean sheets Oss v 16th and lower at home).
  • Dordrecht have failed to score in only 4 matches. Will they get a goal at least today?

Excelsior v Jong AZ - 1.54 Excelsior

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 10/10 Excelsior home matches and in 11/12 Jong AZ away matches. There have been +3.5 goals in 9/11 Excelsior home matches.

Excelsior - 7th

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Scored in their last 12 and last 12 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 11 at home.
  • 11 over 2.5 goals matches at home.
  • All home wins came v 8th and lower.
  • 1-2 win v Jong AZ.
  • 2+ goals scored in all home matches v 6th and lower.
  • 23 of 32 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Jong AZ - 14th

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches.
  • 7 losses in 8 away matches.
  • Only clean sheet came 1st match of the season.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No win 11 away.
  • All losses and a draw away v the top 16.

Conclusions

  • Jong AZ's away form is so poor that Excelsior may get away with it. Poor recent form but have all wins, and 2+ goals at home v 8th and lower. That should be enough. Excelsior do concede but should not lose.

De Graafschap v Roda JC - 1.38 De Graafschap

  • Match outcome: De Graafschap have won 8/12 home matches while Roda JC have lost 10/20 away matches. De Graafschap have won the first half in 6/12 home matches.

De Graafschap - 3rd

  • Only 1 loss.
  • 4 wins and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • No defeat in 12 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 3 at home.
  • 1-1 draw last head to head.
  • 19 of 29 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Roda - 18th

  • 6 losses last 9 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No win in 13 and in 8 away.
  • 2/2 defeats away v the top 4.

Conclusions

  • De Graaf have an excellent record, only 1 defeat. They play a Roda with only 3 clean sheets so should be expected to score 2+ goals today. Roda 2/2 losses v the top 4.

NEC v Helmond Sport - 1.23 NEC

  • Match outcome: Helmond have lost 10/12 away matches against middle-third teams and they have lost by two or more goals in 7/12 away matches. NEC have won 7/9 home matches against bottom-six teams.

NEC - 9th

  • Only 1 loss in 6 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 5 at home.
  • 1-2 win v Helmond already.
  • 3/3 wins v 15th and lower at home.
  • 16 of 21 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Helmond - 20th

  • No win in 14 and in 6 away.
  • Conceded last 12 away matches.
  • Only away win v bottom side.

Conclusions

  • The odds look right. Helmond could only beat the bottom side away from home. NEC score a high % 2nd half at home so note that if they haven't broken through by halftime.

Almere City v Cambuur - 1.91 Cambuur

  • Match outcome: Almere City have lost 8/14 home matches against top-six teams while Cambuur have won 7/11 away matches against top-half teams. Cambuur have won by two or more goals in 5/8 away matches against top-half teams.

Almere - 8th

  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches.
  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • 3-1 loss v Cambuur earlier this season.
  • Lost at home to 3rd.

Cambuur - 1st

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • 5 wins and a loss last 6 away matches.
  • No draw in 12 and in 6 away.
  • 2+ goals scored last 6 away.
  • Only 1 loss home and away v 7th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Good recent form for Almere who have lost all matches v the top 3.
  • Cambuur are in excellent winning form and scoring 2+ goals so are well placed to get a positive result.
  • Only 1 loss for Cambuur v 7th and lower is compelling.

IRISH PREMIER DIVISION

  • The Irish Premier Division kicks off today. It will be an excellent league for Summer trading so well worth getting to know. Dundalk and Cork have tended to dominate the league.They finished 1st and 2nd last season. No research on this first day.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

19:45 - Monaco v Montpellier - 1.9 Monaco

  • 1st goal: Monaco have scored first in 8/11 home matches while Montpellier have lost 8/12 away matches against top-half teams. Montpellier have conceded first in 8/10 away matches.

Monaco - 7th

  • 3 losses ended with 2 wins.
  • New manager with only 6 matches under his belt.
  • Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win.
  • Only once under the new manager has Monaco led at halftime.
  • All over 2.5 goals matches bar 1 for Monaco.
  • Both teams scored in 5/6 matches under the new manager seeing just the one win under new manager.

Montpellier - 5th

  • Only loss in 6 matches came v Paris St Germain.
  • 2 losses and a win last 3 away matches.
  • Only 1 away win v 19th . Failed to score that 2nd goal v the top 15.

Conclusions

  • New manager syndrome rears its ugly head again. From the limited sample of 6 matches, we note that Monaco tend to score and concede (only 1 win though when doing so) , have led at halftime only once, all over 2.5 goals matches bar 1, and are on a very recent 2 match winning run.
  • Montpellier are poor away from home. Enough to suggest Monaco may get a positive here? Montpellier have failed to score that 2nd goal away v the top 15 - if that continues, Lay Montpellier if they score first.

SCOTTISH CHAMPIONSHIP

19:05 - Alloa v Dundee United - 1.45 Dundee United

  • 1st goal: Alloa have conceded first in 8/11 home matches against top-half teams while Dundee Utd have scored first in 7/10 away matches. Alloa have lost 6/9 home matches against top-half teams.

Alloa - 9th

  • 1-0 win and 2-1 loss v Dundee United this season.
  • The singular win home and away v the top 4.
  • 3 wins and 2 draws last 5 matches.
  • Draw win at home recently.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 18% 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 12 of 17 goals conceded at home came 1st half.