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A manageable set of matches this evening, a pipe-opener for the weekend. I have researched the Dutch Eerste Divisie and would recommend a focus on both teams to score/ over 2.5 goals/ goals before halftime matches. Those 3 elements tend to characterise this league over a season.

19:45 - Sheff Wed v Wolves - 2.18 Wolves

  • 0-2 Sheff Wed and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.

Sheff Wed (15th)

  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches came last match.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Unbeaten in 5 at home. 3 draws in 4 at home.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 1-1 away v 2nd and 0-0 at home v 3rd.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 home matches.
  • 8 of 12 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Wolves (1st)

  • 9 wins in 11 matches.
  • 0-0 last match.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 away matches.
  • 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches.
  • failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • only lost one away match at halftime.
  • only 1 loss home and away outside of the top 6.
  • scored first in 7/10 away and led at halftime in 6/10 away.

Conclusions

  • Wolves' form outside of the top 6 looks excellent and I will pin my hopes on that. Wolves tend to score first.
  • If Sheff Wed score first I would lay them. They have scored and conceded in 8 matches.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market given Sheff Wed concede a lot first half at home.

19:30 - Mgladbach v Hamburg - 1.67 Mgladbach

  • Hamburg, Hamburg, Draw, Hamburg the last 4 league head to heads.

Mgladbach (6th)

  • No win in 3 saw 2 away defeats.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 home matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets and failed to score in their last 3 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 9 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Unbeaten at home v 10th and lower.unbeaten home and away v 14th and lower.
  • 8 of 10 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.
  • Scored first in 6/8 at home.

Hamburg (16th)

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 2 0-0's in their last 3 matches.
  • 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 away matches.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • Lost all matches v top 7 teams.

Conclusions

  • Head to heads suggest Hamburg, but season long form is with Mgladbach here.
  • Mgladbach are unbeaten at home v 10th and lower and Hamburg are coming off 5 losses and a draw away.
  • Hamburg tend to lose v top 7 without scoring. If Mgladbach score they should get the points. Alas they are conceding at home so might need 2 goals for a win.

20:00 - Sevilla v Levante - 1.33 Sevilla

Sevilla (5th)

  • Only draw came in first match of the season.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 8 matches. They had 6 0-0's at halftime but none at fulltime.
  • A draw and 6 wins at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 4 consecutive home matches.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • Not conceded 2 goals at home.
  • 9 of 13 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Scored first in 6/7 at home.

Levante (15th)

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Failed to score in 2 of the last 3 matches.
  • 0-0-2-2-0 goals scored in recent aways.
  • Unbeaten at halftime away. 4 0-0's.
  • Only played one of the top 11 away.
  • 6 of 7 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Only 3 wins Levante suggests Sevilla pick themselves. They have scored 2+ goals in 4 consecutive home matches and are unbeaten at home. Solid stuff.
  • Levante have patchy away form v top 11. Only 1 match played. Sevilla should be backed if Levante score first.
  • Levante have had 4 0-0's at halftime away, Sevilla have not had a 0-0 at halftime in 8 matches.

19:45 - St Etienne v Monaco - 1.94 Monaco

  • 1-1, 1-1, 2-0 Monaco in the last 3 head to heads.

St Etienne (15th)

  • Only 5 wins. No win in 8 matches though.
  • Only 2 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 8 matches.
  • 2 consecutive score draws at home.
  • Conceded in their last 7 at home.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Lost the 3 matches played v top 4 teams without scoring.
  • No win in 7 includes 2 losses and 2 draws at home.

Monaco (3rd)

  • Only 4 defeats. 2 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Losses away have come v top 8 teams.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 9th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Monaco look good v teams 8th and lower and are expected not to lose.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • St Etienne have only 2 clean sheets so Monaco really should be eyeing the win.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:00 - FC Eindhoven v Go Ahead Eagles - 1.97 FC Eindhoven

  • No recent head to heads.

FC Eindhoven (12th)

  • Only 3 draws were score draws.
  • 3 wins in 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • No 0-0.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • All defeats bar 1 came v top 10.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Go Ahead Eagles (13th)

  • No win in 6 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in their last 3 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 1 away win.

Conclusions

  • Eindhoven must be eyeing a result here with Go Ahead conceding 2+ goals in 3 away matches now. Both teams tend to score in Eindhoven matches but Eindhoven tend to lose to top 10 so a hope Go Ahead score first as I would lay them.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

19:00 - De Graafschap v FC Oss - 1.34 De Graafschap

  • 3-5 Oss and 2-1 Oss in the last 2 head to heads.

De Graafschap (4th)

  • only 3 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • Scored in their last 8 at home and last 11 overall.
  • No 0-0 at home. No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2 home losses v 1st and 11th.
  • 10 of 14 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Oss (10th)

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away matches.
  • Unbeaten at halftime away. 4 0-0's.
  • Scored and conceded in 6/8 away.
  • Not beaten top 9 with a loss and 3 score draws.
  • 14 goals conceded away all came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • The market is clearly with De Graafschap but don't be surprised if Oss last until halftime. All goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • De Graaf should score eventually, they have scored in their last 8 at home and last 11 overall. Oss may score but not win.

19:00 - Waalwijk v Volendam - 2.28 Waalwijk

  • 1-1 and 1-4 Volendam in the last 2 head to heads.

Waalwijk (15th)

  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • Only 4 clean sheets though.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 1-0 and 2-2 at home v 19th and 20th.

Volendam (18th)

  • 2 wins and a draw last 3 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No away 0-0.
  • Only 1 away win v 17th - score draws away v 13th and 14th.

Conclusions

  • Not the best teams in the world. Muddling home form but 4 consecutive home wins suggests we favour the home side. Only 1 away win Volendam suggests score draw best case (as they did v 13th and 14th away).
  • Lay any late 0-0.

19:00 - Emmen v Jong Ajax - 2.6 home and away

  • Odds make this unappealing to research.

19:00 - Cambuur v Dordrecht - 1.47 Cambuur

  • 2 consecutive Cambuur wins in head to heads.

Cambuur (16th)

  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored in their last 5 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 3 losses have come v top 10 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 6/8 at home.

Dordrecht (14th)

  • 5 losses in 7 matches.
  • 4 defeats in 5 away.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • No away draw.
  • 6 away defeats. Wins away v 13th and 19th.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • With only 2 clean sheets Cambuur may need to score 2 goals at least to get the expected win. Expectation is for both teams to score at Cambuur home matches but with Cambuur not losing.

19:00 - Den Bosch v Fortuna Sittard - 2.16 Fortuna Sittard

  • 3 score draws and a Den Bosch win last 4 head to heads.

Den Bosch (5th)

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • Unbeaten in 11 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • Scored in their last 13 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 home loss v 17th.
  • Scored first in all homes.

Fortuna Sittard (2nd)

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 5 wins in 6 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 5 away.
  • 3 of 4 defeats v top 4 away.
  • 13 of 16 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Top 5 teams meet. No wonder they are both in good form.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • With Fortuna scoring the vast majority of their goals 2nd half, and only losing 3 away ( 2 v 3rd and 4th), we may see Den Bosch lead at halftime.
  • One of those headscratchers given both teams are in good form. Den Bosch slightly better form. Both teams highly likely to score. Slight weakness with Sittard losing to 3rd and 4th away and playing 5th today.

19:00 - MVV Maastricht v Jong AZ Alkmaar - 1.84 MVV

MVV (11th)

  • Only 3 wins in 13 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Only 1 loss at halftime at home.
  • Only home defeats v top 3.
  • 6 goals scored first 1/2 hour at home and 5 goals scored last 15 mins at home.

Jong AZ

  • 6 losses in 7 matches.
  • Only 1 draw was a 2-2.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches including the last 2 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • All defeats away v 9th and lower.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of 9 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Both teams could score today with Jong AZ not winning.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • Despite only 3 wins in 13, at home MVV have only lost to the top 3 so should expect a positive result.

19:00 - NEC Nijmegen v Helmond Sport - 1.3 NEC

NEC (1st)

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • 6 consecutive home wins.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 11 matches.
  • Unbeaten at home and halftime at home.
  • All wins v 9th and lower at home.
  • 6 of 7 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Helmond (19th)

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 3 consecutive defeats.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Not beaten a top 15 team.
  • 7 of 9 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • This looks clear cut. NEC should score first, lead at halftime and score 2+ in a win. Anything else....get stuck in!
  • If NEC are to concede, it is more likely 2nd half.

19:00 - Jong Utrecht v Telstar - 1.94 Telstar

  • 2-1 Utrecht and 3-1 Telstar in the last 2 head to heads.

Jong Utrecht (20th)

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 6 losses in 7 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 3 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home seeing 3 1-0's at halftime and 3 0-0's.
  • All defeats home and away v top 7.
  • 14 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Telstar

  • Only 1 win in 5 matches.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 8 away.
  • No away 0-0.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Beaten 18th and 19th away.
  • Scored and conceded away v 12th and lower.

Conclusions

  • This should be a typical Eerste Divisie goal fest. Jong could be given a chance here given Telstar, despite winning away v 18th and 19th have conceded in all matches v 12th and lower.

19:00 - Jong PSV v Almere City - 2.08 Jong PSV

  • 2 consecutive 1-0 Almere wins in head to heads.

Jong PSV (8th)

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals at home in 6 matches 3 wins in 4 home matches.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2 home losses came v 2nd and 3rd.
  • 12 of 19 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Almere City (9th)

  • No loss in 6 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 15 matches this season.
  • No clean sheet.
  • No 0-0.
  • Not led at halftime away.
  • Only 1 away win v bottom of the league.

Conclusions

  • Jong PSV are highly likely to score. That's an angle.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Both teams highly likely to score in Almere matches without necessarily Almere winning.