Live chat today is hard to accomplish what with my sister's wedding. I will do a live chat Saturday at 14:30 for the Bundesliga and then onto the Premiership. Not sure I can go further than that given the time zone difference. I like Saturday's coupon. We are getting some first half goals stats now so that adds a new dimension and we are beginning to see statistical patterns.
Dutch Juliper (Eerste Divisie) League
This is a league which tends to have goals in it and a strong percentage of both teams to score matches. Last Friday 6 matches saw both teams scoring. There was only one 0-0. 6 of the matches went over 2.5 goals (out of 8).
The Friday prior to that, (September 1st), saw both teams score in 5 matches, 6 over 2.5 goals matches and no 0-0's.
August 25th saw both teams score in 7 out of 10 matches, only 4 over 2.5 goals, and one 0-0. Finally, on the 18th August, both teams scored in 7 of 8 matches, 7 of 8 matches were over 2.5 goals and there were no 0-0s.
So watch out for a both teams to score pattern, and especially look out for 0-0's at halftime. If ever there was a league to pick off 0-0's at halftime and expect 2nd half goals, it is this league.
19:00 - Dordrecht v Almere City - 2.14 Almere
- Almere has won the last 3 head to heads, scoring 3 goals at least.
- Both teams have scored in all 4 matches played by both sides this season.
- There has been a goal at least before halftime in all matches these 2 have played this season.
- Dordrecht have scored 2 goals at least in their 2 home matches.
- Looks a good candidate for goals and a goal before halftime so a 0-0 at halftime would be a real anomoly. Agreed?
19:00 - FC Oss v Jong AZ Alkmaar - 2.2 FC
- FC Oss have scored 3 goals in 3 of their 4 matches to date. They remain unbeaten. Both teams have scored in the last 2 matches.
- Both teams have scored in 3 of Jong's matches. Only 1 defeat for Jong.
- Another match again where we should logically see goals. No head to heads though.
- FC Oss has had 2 0-0's at halftime but no 0-0's at fulltime so note that if 0-0 at halftime.
19:30 - Hannover v Hamburg - 2.22 Hannover
- Top-six promoted teams have scored first in 57% of home matches against top-half teams since 2012-13 and top-six promoted teams have won 50% of home matches against top-half teams since 2012-13.
- There have been +1.5 goals in 5/9 Hamburg SV away matches against promoted teams.
- These 2 have not met since April 2016.
- 2 1-0 wins and a 1-1 draw for Hannover to date. All goals came 2nd half.
- 2 wins and a loss to Leipzig for Hamburg.
- This is tough to call given these 2 have no recent head to heads. Hamburg look like they will be vulnerable to top 6 teams but will that include a newly promoted side?
- Do prepare for a 0-0 at halftime but do not expect a 0-0.
19:30 - Club Brugge v Mechelen - 1.38 Club Brugge
- 18 goals scored by Club Brugge in the last 5 head to heads suggests they enjoy a Mechelen visit.
- This is 2nd v 15th after 6 games in the Belgian Pro League.
- Club Brugge have won the first half in 8/10 home matches against bottom-six teams while KV Mechelen have conceded first in 10/14 away matches against top-six teams.
- KV Mechelen have drawn 6/10 away matches against top-six teams.
- 5 consecutive wins scoring 2 goals at least ended in defeat last match.
- 3 and 4 goals scored at home in the 2 matches played to date.
- No 0-0 at halftime yet.
- Scored in every match.
- 100% over 3.5 goals at home.
- 4 score draws and 2 defeats.
- Both teams scored in all bar 1 match for Mechelen.
- No clean sheets.
- In 4 of the last 5 matches, Mechelen have been adept at equalising after conceding first.
- The head to heads and Club Brugge's 7 goals in 2 home matches does suggest that they will outscore Mechelen.
- Mechelen are likely to score but on a consolation basis. If you want to be ultra speculative, lay Club Brugge if Club Brugge score first and then hope Mechelen continue their equalising pattern. Then revert to backing Club Brugge to push on.
- The concern with that is Club Brugge may score 2 or 3 before Mechelen get their goal.
- Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. I try and eek out 15 or so minutes of (hopeful) 0-0.
19:45 - Toulouse v Bordeaux - 2.46 Toulouse
- Probably not a match to shortlist. 2 mediocre French sides and a market that is non-committal.
- 3 consecutive Toulouse home wins in head to heads. The home side has tended not to lose. This was the case with Nice v Monaco last week and indeed the home side won against the odds.
- 2 wins out of 2 for Toulouse at home. 2 loses for Toulouse away were v Monaco and PSG. So not unexpected.
- Toulouse only failed to score in their last match.
- Bordeaux remain unbeaten but 3 consecutive draws away. 2 draws were 2-2 and 3-3.
- 2-2-3-2-0 scored by Bordeaux. They tend to score more than not.
- Both sides failed to score only on their last matches.
- On head to head patterns, you side with the home side not losing. Other than that, it is a toughie to call. Toulouse has only lost to teams it was expected to lose to.
19:45 - Partick Thistle v Rangers - 1.59 Rangers
- 2-0 or 2-1 wins for Rangers in recent head to heads.
- 5 matches into the Scottish Premier League.
- No win for Partick this season.4 defeats and a 1-1.
- 3 wins, a draw and a loss for Rangers. Both teams scored in the 3 wins.1-2 and 1-3 away for Rangers.
- A suggestion that Rangers should boss this. Even when conceding away, they have wins.
- Partick struggle so if scoring first, I must be with Rangers.
19:45 - Bray v Limerick - 2.38 Limerick
- 0-1 Limerick in the sole recent head to head.
- This is 5th v 7th in the Irish Premier Division.
- Only 3 wins in 14 matches.
- A couple of recent 0-0's ended with a win.
- 2-2-2-3 -2-3-1 goals conceded at home recently.
- No draw home or away v top 6.
- Wins v 3rd and 4th at home.
- Only 2 wins in 10 matches.
- 4 losses to nil in 5 matches.
- 6 clean sheets.
- Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
- Beaten 5th 7th and 8th away already this season.
- Bray are conceding heavily at home and on that basis I would be laying Bray were they to score first.
- You may want to lay a late draw as Bray tend to avoid draws.
- Limerick are going through a poor scoring period. That is the only problem.
19:45 - Galway v Derry - 2.12 Derry
- 0-0 and 2-1 Derry last 2 head to heads.
- This is 11th v 4th in Irish Premier Division.
- Galway FC have conceded first in 7/13 home matches while Derry City have scored first in 8/14 away matches.
- Derry City have drawn the first half in 8/10 away matches against bottom-six teams.
- Both teams have scored in 13 of the last 15 matches.
- Only 1 clean sheet.
- Failed to score in only 5 matches.
- Conceded last 15 matches.
- Only 4 wins.
- Only 1 win home and away v top 5.
- 5 wins in 7 matches.
- 3 consecutive away wins to nil.
- 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Only 3 away defeats.
- Did draw with bottom 3 away.
- Both teams may score and Galway not win. So lay Galway should they score first. Their record for conceding is atrocious. Derry rarely lose away. Galway rarely win at home.
20:00 - Bournemouth v Brighton - 2.24 Bournemouth
- All defeats for Bournemouth this season.
- Brighton lost their first 2 matches, managed a 00-0 v Watford (3 matches without scoring) and won at home v West Brom.
- Bournemouth have scored only 1 goal this season.
- This match could be a 0-0 for a while I feel as both sides generally speaking are poor in front of goal.
20:00 - Eibar v Leganes - 2.14 Eibar
- Eibar won the last 2 home matches to nil. One of the matches was a friendly.
- A win and 2 losses in 3 matches for Eibar. 1-0-0 goals scored.
- 2 wins for Leganes were 1-0, and a 1-2 loss v Getafe.
- 2 also-rans in the Primera Liga.
- No draws for either side. Is that a ready angle. Only 3 matches played though is too small a sample.
- Will Eibar continue their strong home record v Leganes. Enter the match expecting Eibar not to lose?