Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Some big teams showed an alarming lack of interest in the Europa League last night. Take a bow Lyon, Milan and Dortmund. Only 5 elite league matches today. We'll have the usual shorties and goals before halftime (if there are any) at the DRT Facebook page. I am nearing the end of inputting the lay the 0-0 in the halftime score selections from about November 2017 to date and at uniform odds of about 4. The 'bet and go' results are excellent. More on that when I finish this exercise, then a move to the Both Teams to Score (where I think laying rather than playing is the way to go there!)

19:45 - Monaco v Lille - 1.3 Monaco

  • 2 consecutive Monaco 4-0 wins in head to heads.

Monaco (2nd)

  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • No defeat in 14.
  • Scored in their last 15 at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in their last 9 and last 7 at home.
  • No home 0-0.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 8 1-0 leads at halftime at home.
  • 100% wins at home v 9th and lower.

Lille (19th)

  • Scored and conceded last 5, conceded last 9.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (21%).
  • All losses v top 3.

Conclusions

  • If Monaco can continue their 2 goal haul, they should take this. Lille do score and concede and the hope for us is Lille score first as we can lay them.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. % wise, Monaco 1-0 at halftime occurs a lot at home.

19:30 - Freiburg v Stuttgart - 2.52 Freiburg

  • The market is not confident about taking sides.
  • Stuttgart have scored 2+ goals in each of the last 5 head to heads.

Freiburg (14th)

  • Only 2 losses in 14 matches, one was v Bayern Munich.
  • Win, draw, win, win, draw, win, loss (Bayern) at home so solid stuff.
  • 9 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only beaten by the top 2 at home.
  • 8 of 11 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Stuttgart (10th)

  • 4 wins and a draw last 4.
  • 4 clean sheets last 5.
  • No away 0-0.
  • Only 1 away win v 17th and higher.

Conclusions

  • There is always a reason behind market hesitation. Here we have Stuttgart banging in the goals in head to heads but with only 2 away wins.
  • We then have Freiburg only losing at home to the top 2 but Stuttgart keeping 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • Strictly on form, Freiburg's home form trumps Stuttgart's away form.

19:00 - Excelsior v ADO Den Haag - 2.46 Excelsior

  • 4-1 ADO and 1-2 Excelsior in the last 2 head to heads.

Excelsior (10th)

  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Not beaten a top 12 side at home.

ADO Den Haag (8th)

  • No win in 3 with 2 consecutive defeats.
  • No win in 6 away.
  • Only 2 0-0's away.
  • Only 1 loss away v 9th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Strictly on form, ADO Den Haag should not win.
  • Lay any late 0-0.

19:45 - St Johnstone v Hibernian - 1.99 Hibernian

  • 1-1 and 1-2 St Johnstone in the last 2 head to heads.

St Johnstone (8th)

  • Only 2 wins in 11 matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (21%).
  • Not beaten a top 6 side at home.

Hibernian (4th)

  • 4 wins and a draw last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 10 was v Celtic.
  • Scored 2 goals last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 2 away losses v top 4.

Conclusions

  • On form, we favour Hibs today. Only Celtic have beaten them recently. St Johnstone have beaten Hibs this season but on form it is Hibs recent form. If they score 2 goals again, they will win.

20:00 - Levante v Eibar - 2.42 Eibar

  • 2-2 the last time these 2 met.

Levante (15th)

  • Only 4 wins. Won the last match.
  • No win in 10 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 4 at home.
  • Only scored 2 goals once at home v top 13.
  • 69% of goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Eibar (9th)

  • Only 4 defeats in 17 matches. 3 defeats were v the top 4.
  • 4 wins and a draw away v 15th and lower.
  • 8 of 10 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • On form, you'd have to be with Eibar not to lose.
  • Levante have only 4 wins all season for goodness sake. Lay Levante if levante scores first given they have scored 2 goals only once v top 13.
  • Both sides have strong 2nd half scoring stats so take on a 0-0 2nd half.