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18:00 - Nantes v Dijon - 1.84 Nantes

  • A singIe away goaI saw a Nantes win in the previous French Ligue 1 meeting.

Nantes 100% stats

  • AII wins at home by 1 goaI.
  • No match with exactIy 4 goaIs.

Nantes other stats

  • OnIy 2 defeats in 9 matches, one was v PSG.
  • Conceded 2 goaIs in each of the Iast 3 home matches.

Dijon 100% stats

  • No away win v teams 19th and higher.
  • Conceded in aII away matches v teams 18th and higher.
  • Not won to niI away.

Dijon other stats

  • Both teams have scored in 10 of their Iast 13 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 7 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Nantes are the form team. We might see both teams score but I would expect on form that Nantes would not lose today.
  • If Dijon keep it tight first half, they have a dire conceding record 2nd half.
  • Dijon are highly likely to concede.

19:00 - ADO Den Haag v Twente - 2.18 Twente

  •  A comprehensive Twente win in the last head to head in the Dutch Eredivisie.

ADO 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Lost every match played v top 7 teams and play 6th today.
  • Failed to score in every home match v the top 8.
  • No over 3.5 goals at home.

ADO other stats

  • Only 2 wins since 28th August 2016.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 6 of their last 9 matches.
  • No draw in 13 matches.

Twente 100% stats

  • No 1-0 or 0-1 away.

Twente other stats

  • Only 5 defeats since 21st August 2016.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Unbeaten away v 13th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Do not expect a 0-0, Twente are highly likely to score at some stage if the match is 0-0 for a while.
  • ADO probability wise are highly unlikely not to win today so if they lead they must be opposed.
  • Lay any late draw while ADO keep avoiding them.

19:30 - Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen - 1.93 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg 100% stats

  • Not scored in both halves at home.

Wolfsburg other stats

  • Only 4 draws, 3 were 0-0 so if a goal is scored the match is unlikely to end a draw.
  • Wins in their last 4 home matches, 2 were 1-0.
  • Not met bottom 3 at home yet (where Werder reside).
  • 9 goals conceded at home last 1/2 hour of matches.

Werder Bremen 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Are actually unbeaten in the 4 matches played v 14th and lower (2-1 wins and 2 2-2 scorelines) - Wolfsburg are 14th.

Werder Bremen other stats

  • Only 2 clean sheets and failed to score only twice.
  • 2 consecutive matches without both teams scoring.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.

Conclusions

  • We are likely to see a goal and statistically avoid a Wolfsburg draw. I would however have to back 2-2 given Werders record v teams 14th and lower. A concern that Werder, usually reliable for both teams scoring, have seen 2 consecutive matches with only 1 team scoring.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market keeps paying out!

19:45 - Inverness v Rangers - 1.92 Rangers

  • 3 consecutive 1-0 wins.

Inverness 100% stats

  • Not won to niI at home.

Inverness other stats

  • No win in 14 matches and in 8 at home.
  • 3 draws in their Iast 4 matches.
  • No win in 8 at home.
  • Unbeaten v 4th-8th at home and 0-1 Ioss at home v Rangers.

Rangers 100% stats

  • No 0-0 away.
  • No matches with exactIy 4 goaIs.

Rangers other stats

  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their Iast 6 matches.
  • FaiIed to score onIy twice.
  • Scored Iast 10 matches.
  • 2 1-0 wins v Inverness this season.

ConcIusions

  • Inverness may be tough to beat today but not win. I wouId even consider a 0-0 pre match back and hope Inverness's defence is strong but they eventuaIIy capituIate 2nd haIf.
  • Rangers have scored in their Iast 10 matches so do expect an eventuaI goaI from them.

19:45 - Nice v Montpellier - 2.08 Nice

Nice 100% stats

  • 3rd in French Ligue 1 and I would have thought that warranted lower odds.
  • No home defeat.
  • Not lost at halftime at home.
  • All wins at home v top 13 sides.
  • No opponent has scored first at home.

Nice other stats

  • Only 2 defeats all season.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 13 goals scored at home in the first half hour of matches.

Montpellier 100% stats

  • No 0-0 away.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not beaten any top 17 team away.
  • All defeats v the top 8 away.
  • Scored and conceded in all defeats v the top 6 away.

Montpellier other stats

  • 3 wins in 4 matches so a decent run of form but remember the context! Dire away v top 8!
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime.
  • 3-6 goals conceded away v top 6 sides.

Conclusions

  • There is always a reason why the market puts up the odds that it does but in this case I would have expected a very short odds Nice side based on form.
  • Nice are highly likely to score first and before halftime and really negate any trading angle.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market or back Nice and hope they score first and early.
  • Montpellier may yet get on the scoresheet, albeit in defeat. At their worst, Montpellier will concede 3-6 goals but Nice's odds do not suggest that!

19:45 - Burton Albion v Blackburn Rovers - 2.42 Burton

  • 2-2 when these 2 met earlier in the English Championship saw Burton twice come from behind.

Burton Albion 100% stats

  • 2 sides in the bottom 9.
  • No over 4.5 goals at home.

Burton Albion other stats

  • 2 consecutive 2-1 home wins.
  • No draw in 8 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 8 home matches.
  • 10 halftime scores at home were either 1-0 or 0-0.
  • Actually lost 2 and won 1 match v teams below them in the league at home (where Blackburn reside).

Blackburn 100% stats

  • No 0-0 away.
  • Not led at halftime away.
  • Not beaten any side 12th and lower in the league away.

Blackburn other stats

  • No win in 6 away matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 away matches.
  • 9 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 11 of 14 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Opponents scored first in 12 of 15 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Manchester United v Arsenal this ain't! I can make as equally a bad case for Burton as for Blackburn..
  • What I would take from the match is the likelihood of 2nd half goals.

19:45 - Las Palmas v Sociedad - 2.74 Las Palmas

  • 0-1 Las Palmas then 4-1 Sociedad in the 2 2016 head to heads in Spanish La Liga.

Las Palmas 100% stats

  • Not won a match v top 6 albeit 5 of the 7 matches played came away.
  • No home match with exactly 3 goals in total.

Las Palmas other stats

  • Only 2 wins in their last 10 matches, with 3 consecutive defeats.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 defeat at home was a 0-1 v 3rd.
  • 14 of 21 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Sociedad 100% stats

  • No away draw.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.
  • No 0-0.

Sociedad other stats

  • Only 2 draws all season.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • All defeats bar one have come v top 8 teams - Las Palmas are 12th.

Conclusions

  • If season long form is to continue, Sociedad could threaten to score 2/3 goals and go unbeaten today. I do note that Las Palmas have only lost once at home and drew 2-2 at home with real Madrid so are confident. They have lost all matches away v top 6 but only played the 2 top 6 teams at home so a slight unknown there.
  • Are you taken more by Sociedad basically losing v top 8 and generally winning v the rest?

19:45 - Wolverhampton v Birmingham City - 1.93 Wolves

  • This is a derby of sorts which Wolves actually do well win albeit 2 consecutive 0-0's now at Wolves in head to heads.

Wolves other stats

  • 4 defeats in 5 matches. 2 consecutive 0-1 defeats.
  • Only 1 home 0-0.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home, nearly 50%.
  • 7 of 8 home defeats came from teams above Birmingham's position in the league.
  • 14 of 18 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Birmingham 100% stats

  • Not won an away match v teams below them in the league (where Wolves reside).

Conclusions

  • These 2 have the most inconsistent and unreadable form. Talk about sticking the poor Championship match.