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Dutch Eerste Divisie Football - it must be Friday. I will try to be online on Twitter @drtclub for 19:00. No promises as it is Friday night and 'er indoors might want to go out. As I work weekends I must obey she-who-must-be-obeyed.

19:00 - FC Eindhoven v Almere City - 2.12 FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

FC Eindhoven other stats

  • 6 consecutive home wins.
  • Only 2 home defeats were 0-1.
  • Lost 4-0 to Almere earlier this season.
  • Only 2 home clean sheets.

Almere 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Not beaten a top 12 side away (Eindhoven are 9th).
  • Conceded in every away match.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Almere City other stats

  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 away match.
  • 3-4-6 goals conceded in their last 3 away matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 8 away matches.

Conclusions

  • I will back 2-2 pre-match given Almere's scoring and conceding pattern away from home.
  • Slightly favour FC Eindhoven today at home as they should be different - only the 2 losses at home.
  • We should expect 2 goals bare minimum today so any 0-0 is anomolous the deeper into the match we get.

19:00 - Den Bosch v Breda - 2.28 Breda

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 met in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.
  • Breda are 5th in the league.

Den Bosch 100% stats

  • Not beaten the top 6 yet.

Den Bosch other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.

Breda 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Breda other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • All defeats bar 1 v top 9 teams, Den Bosch are 13th.

Conclusions

  • On form, Breda should not be losing today. They largely lose inside the top 10. A simple angle.
  • I would lay the late 0-0 as 2 consecutive 0-0's between these 2 would be anomolous.

19:00 - Cambuur v Helmond Sport - 1.52 Cambuur

  • 7th v 6th in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Cambuur 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at home outside of the top 2.
  • Scored in all home matches outside the top team.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.

Cambuur other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • 7 wins and 2 defeats last 9 home matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their 11 home matches.

Helmond Sport 100% stats

  • Failed to score in the 3 away matches v top 8 sides.
  • Not won to nil away.

Helmond Sport other stats

  • Failed to score only 4 times.

Conclusions

  • Cambuur should remain unbeaten today. A big scoring and conceding trend for Cambuur is in contrast with Helmond v top 8 sides away.
  • Helmond will be layed if scoring first.
  • We should expect 2 goals at least today.

19:00 - Dordrecht v Fortuna Sittard - 2.22 Dordrecht

  • Fortuna won the 2 Dutch Eerste Divisie head to heads in 2016, scoring 3 goals on each occasion.
  • These are 2 bottom 4 sides and are not in the bottom 4 because of their ultra reliability!

Dordrecht 100% stats

  • No home 0-0.
  • Unbeaten at home v 11th and lower so this may be their area of the league in which to get points.

Dordrecht other stats

  • 2-2, 3-0, 3-0 last 3 home matches so will be brimming with confidence today.
  • Only 3 clean sheets did come within the last 5 matches.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in all encounters v bottom 4 teams.

Fortuna Sittard 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

Fortuna Sittard other stats

  • Only 1 win in 12 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 10 away matches.
  • Only 1 away win v bottom side.

Conclusions

  • For me Dordrecht have the momentum coming into this match which suggests they can end the Fortuna head to head dominance.
  • Dordrecht could score 2 goals at least today.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • CAVEAT - these 2 are pants! Remember that if relying on one team to perform as we'd hope.

19:00 - MVV Maastricht v Achilles 29 - 1.23 MVV

  • Achilles remain bottom of the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

MVV 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • All wins at home v 6th and lower - 2 goals scored at least in all of those matches.
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.

MVV other stats

  • Failed to score only 3 times.

Achilles 100% stats

  • Conceded in all away matches.
  • All defeats v top 5 conceding 2 goals at least.

Conclusions

  • No need to go further. MVV should be scoring 2/3 goals today and winning. It was 2-3 earlier this season to MVV so if Achilles score first, I will back MVV.

19:00 - Jong Ajax v Waalwijk - 1.64 Jong Ajax

  • Jong Ajax are 2nd in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Jong Ajax 100% stats

  • No home 0-0.

Jong Ajax other stats

  • 7 wins in their last 8 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8/11 home matches.

Waalwijk 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Not beaten a top 12 side away.

Waalwijk other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Beat Ajax 3-2 earlier this season.

Conclusions

  • Don't expect a 0-0.
  • Jong Ajax should not lose today. Waalwijk have not beaten a top 12 side away from home.
  • Both teams could score. Waalwijk failed to score in only 4 matches.

19:00 - Emmen v Volendam - 2.18 Volendam

  • Volendam are 3rd in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Emmen 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 7 side at home.
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.

Emmen other stats

  • No win in 5 at home and 7 overall.
  • 3 consecutive draws.
  • 0-0'S at home v teams either side of Volendam in the league.

Volendam 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

Volendam other stats

  • 6 wins and 3 draws in their last 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored in their last 12 matches.

Conclusions

  • Volendam are highly likely to score. Do note Emmen's 0-0 v 2nd and 4th, they play 3rd today but I think Volendam will score.
  • Lay any late draw. Emmen's draw sequence is set to end soon.

19:00 - VVV v De Graafschap - 1.57 VVV

VVV 100% stats

  • Top of the league.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • All wins v bottom 3 where De Graaf reside, scoring 2 or 3 goals.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches.

VVV other stats

  • 10 wins and 2 draws in their last 12 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 5 consecutive wins.

De Graafschap 100% stats

  • No away win.
  • No win v top 7.

De Graafschap other stats

  • 7 losses in 9 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 9 matches.

Conclusions

  • VVV should be winning today, scoring 2 or 3 goals. Simple angle.

19:00 - ADO den Haag v Vitesse - 2.02 Vitesse

  • 2-2, 2-2, 1-2 ADO in the last 3 head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

ADO Den Haag 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Failed to score at home v top 6 teams (Vitesse are 7th).
  • Failed to score more than 1 goal in a match v teams above the in the league.
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.

ADO other stats

  • 13 losses, 2 wins and a draw in the last 16 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.

Vitesse 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

Vitesse other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 8 was v league leaders.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches and only 3 clean sheets so lends itself to both teams scoring.
  • Scored last 7 away.
  • Scored all away matches bar 1.

Conclusions

  • Note Vitesse wins v teams around ADO away have been only 0-1 but still they are wins.
  • A team only beaten by Feyenoord recently should be targeting an ADO team losing hand over fist.
  • ADO actually have failed to score at home v top teams and I would have to lay them if they score first as they rarely score a 2nd at home.
  • Do not expect a 0-0.

19:30 - Hamburg v Leverkusen - 2.12 Leverkusen

  • Leverkusen tend to have the better of head to heads but Hamburg are unbeaten in their last 3 home head to heads in the German Bundesliga.

Hamburg 100% stats

  • No home 0-0.
  • All defeats bar a draw v top 10 teams (Leverkusen are 9th).
  • Not scored in both halves at home.

Hamburg other stats

  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • But a draw and 2 wins last 3 at home.
  • 10 goals conceded at home last 30 mins of matches.

Leverkusen 100% stats

  • No 0-0 away.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches v the bottom 6 (Hamburg are 2nd bottom).
  • All wins and defeats away have been by a single goal.
  • No away match with exactly 4 goals total.
  • Not led at halftime away.

Leverkusen other stats

  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
  • 7 of 8 away matches saw both teams score. 5 of those matches were 2-1/1-2.
  • Opponents scored first in 7/8 away matches.

Conclusions

  • It does look like Hamburg will not win again v a top 10 team. That said, Leverkusen give teams a chance away with their conceding and scoring.
  • Don't be surprised if Hamburg score first. Given Leverkusen score and concede, Hamburg could concede after leading so note that.
  • Looking at Leverkusen's patterns v bottom sides, we could see a variant of 2-1, 3-1 or 3-2 for either side today.

19:30 - Lokeren v Anderlecht - 1.79 Anderlecht

  • Very tight matches in head to heads.
  • This is the Belgian Pro League.

Lokeren 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 7 side - Anderlecht are 2nd and go top with a win.
  • Not scored more than 1 goal in a match at home v top 9 teams.
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.

Lokeren other stats

  • 2 consecutive home 0-0's.
  • Scored either 0 or 1 goals at home last 6 home matches.
  • No defeat in 5 at home.

Anderlecht 100% stats

  • Not lost to nil away.

Anderlecht other stats

  • 7 wins and 2 draws last 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 2-3-3-2-4 goals scored in their last 5 away matches.
  • Scored in their last 10 away matches.
  • 4 consecutive away wins.

Conclusions

  • Anderlecht's momentum should ensure they do not lose.
  • Lokeren simply cannot beat top teams and cannot score that 2nd goal so must be layed if scoring first.
  • Anderlecht should score 2 goals at least at their best today. Both sides have relatively high halftime 0-0%.

19:45 - Wigan v Sheff Wed - 2.34 Sheff

  • Bottom 3 in the English Championship, Wigan are struggling.

Wigan 100% stats

  • Not beaten top 12 teams at home (Sheff are 7th).
  • Failed to score in all home matches v top 11 teams.

Wigan other stats

  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • Conceded last 7 homes.

Sheff Wed 100% stats

  • No over 4.5 goals away.

Sheff Wed other stats

  • Only 2 defeats in 12 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Only scored more than 1 goal away in 2 matches.
  • Only 4 away wins, 3 were 0-1.
  • 7 goals conceded last 15 mins of away matches.

Conclusions

  • I would speculatively back 0-0 pre match and hope this is a tight match. Note Wigan cannot even score at home v top 10 teams. Note Sheff Wed have only scored 2 goals away on 2 occasions. Yes, they could score a single goal first half but nearly 1/2 of away matches have been 0-0 at halftime.
  • Sheff Wed should not lose today.

19:45 - Metz v Marseille - 1.93 Marseille

  • Marseille won 1-0 in the only recent head to head in French Ligue 1.

Metz 100% stats

  • 2nd bottom of the league.
  • Not beaten a top 9 team home or away - Marseille are 6th.
  • No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

Metz other stats

  • Only 2 wins in 14 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 89% over 1.5 goals at home.

Marseille 100% stats

  • All wins v bottom 4.
  • Not won to nil away.

Marseille other stats

  • 5 of 6 draws were 0-0.
  • All defeats bar 1 v top 9 teams.
  • Scored and conceded away v teams below them in the league.

Conclusions

  • If Metz cannot beat a top 9 team home or away and if Marseille have beaten all bottom 4, then logically we assume a good result for the away side.
  • Both teams could score with Marseille not losing. I would want Metz to score first for the trade.

19:45 - Deportivo v Betis - 2.18 Deportivo

  • Draws in the 2 Primera Liga head to heads recently.
  • These 2 sides are in the bottom half of the table in Spain.

Deportivo 100% stats

  • All defeats at home by 1 goal.
  • No home match with exactly 4 goals in total.

Deportivo other stats

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 3 draws and a loss last 4 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 8 of 10 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Real Betis 100% stats

  • No away draw.
  • All away defeats v teams above them in the league (Depor are 16th to Betis's 13th).

Real Betis other stats

  • 6 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • 0-1-0-0 scored last 4 away.
  • Unbeaten v teams below them.

Conclusions

  • I am taken by Betis's unbeaten record v teams below them in the league. That might swing things against a Depor team with only 4 wins all season.
  • That will be my key angle, to side with Betis even if Depor score first.