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GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 2

19:30 - Holstein Kiel v St Pauli - 1.98 Holstein Kiel

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 13/20 Holstein Kiel home matches and in 7/10 St Pauli away matches against top-half teams. St Pauli have lost 10/14 away matches.

Holstein Kiel - 9th

  • 3 score draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Only 3 0-0's at halftime all season.
  • Scored and conceded last 9 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2 home wins came v 14th and 17th - 2-1.

St Pauli - 15th

  • Only 1 loss in 4 matches but only 2 wins in 12 matches came at home.
  • 4 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No win in 9 away, conceding in their last 9 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • No win away.
  • 7/8 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market, but can we really trust German Bundesliga 2 teams?
  • St Pauli have not won away. Kiel have 2 wins, 2-1 v 14th and 17th at home. Enough to side with Kiel not to lose?

ITALIAN SERIA B

20:00 - Salernitana v Trapani - 1.96 Salernitana

  • 1st goal: Salernitana have scored first in 6/10 home matches while Trapani have conceded first in 8/11 away matches. Trapani have lost 6/11 away matches.

Salernitana - 7th

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • 4 wins in 5 home matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 3 home matches.
  • No defeat in 8 at home.
  • Scored last 8 at home.
  • 4/4 wins home and away v the bottom 4.
  • 0-1 last time these 2 met.
  • 8/11 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Trapani - 19th

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 11 away matches.
  • Beat 5th away and drew away v 6th away but only 1 of 2 losses away (which came v 5th and 20th).

Conclusions

  • Only 3 clean sheets plays only 2 clean sheets so this should not end 0-0. On seasonal form, Salernitana are unbeaten at home in 8 matches and have 4/4 wins v the bottom 4 (who they play today) so tentatively side with the home side despite one of Trapani's 2 away wins coming v 6th in the league (they play 7th today).

TURKISH SUPER LIG

17:00 - Goztepe v Rizespor - 1.84 Goztepe

  • 1st half outcome: Goztepe SK have drawn the first half in 6/10 home matches against middle-third teams while there have been -2.5 goals in 8/10 Rizespor away matches. Rizespor have conceded first in 8/13 away matches against top-half teams.

Goztepe - 8th

  • 2 draws and 2 wins at home.
  • Only 2 losses in 11 matches came away from home.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 3 at home.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • 0-0 last head to head.
  • Unbeaten at home v the top 14 but losses came v 15th and 17th at home. Contrarian form.
  • 9 of 13 goals scored at home came first half.

Rizespor - 11th

  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches away.
  • Only 1 win home and away v the top 9 came at home v 1st.
  • 5/7 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Looking at the seasonal form, Goztepe look good at home, scoring 2+ goals recently, only 2 losses in 11 matches coming AWAY, and unbeaten at home v the top 14. Compare with Rizespor and their single win home and away v the top 9 (coming strangely at home v 1st in the league).

FRENCH LIGUE 2

19:45 - Lens v Grenoble - 1.69 Lens

  • -2.5 goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 12/17 RC Lens home matches while Grenoble have drawn the first half in 6/9 away matches against top-six teams. Grenoble have conceded first in 7/11 away matches against top-six teams.

Lens - 2nd

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • 3 draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 home matches.
  • 5 consecutive 0-0's at halftime.
  • No defeat in 9 at home.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • 73% 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 9th and lower.
  • 12 of 17 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Grenoble - 11th

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Scored and conceded last 4 away.
  • Lost away to 1st and 3rd.

Conclusions

  • On seasonal form, we are with Lens here. Grenoble have already lost v the top 3 away and Lens are unbeaten in 9 home matches.
  • Back 0-0 pre-match given the 73% 0-0 at halftime at home for Lens.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

19:00 - Jong PSV Eindhoven v De Graafschap - 1.56 De Graafschap

  • 1st goal: Jong PSV have conceded first in 10/12 home matches while De Graafschap have scored first in 7/10 away matches. There have been +2.5 goals in 6/10 De Graafschap away matches.

Jong PSV - 16th

  • Only 5 wins.
  • Won last home match.
  • 4-1 loss last head to head.
  • Beat 3rd, 7th, 13th, 14th at home.
  • 10/15 goals conceded at home came 1st half.
  • 11/15 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

De Graafschap - 4th

  • Only 1 loss.
  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • Draw, Draw, Win, Draw away.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored last 11 and last 10 away.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Jong PSV did win their last home match but win sparingly at home. De Graaf have only 1 loss all season and must be favoured.
  • Strong 2nd half goal trends if 0-0 at halftime.

19:00 - Jong AZ Alkmaar v FC Volendam - 1.8 FC Volendam

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 9/11 Jong AZ home matches against top-six teams and in 10/11 Volendam away matches. There have been +3.5 goals in 10/16 Jong AZ home matches.

Jong AZ - 14th

  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 at home.
  • Only clean sheet 1st match of the season.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 5 at home.
  • Wins at home v 2nd and 4th - but those were the only wins v the top 10 home and away.
  • 3-2 loss away v Volendam.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 home match.
  • 13 of 19 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Volendam - 3rd

  • 12 wins and a draw last 13 matches.
  • 6 consecutive away wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • 6 consecutive away wins.
  • Scored and conceded last 10 matches.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 10 matches and last 6 away.
  • All bar 1 defeat came v the top 8.
  • 14 of 19 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Both teams to score is a big trend here. Interesting that Jong AZ have beaten 2nd and 4th at home but those were the only wins v the top 10 home and away. What gives?
  • Volendam are in excellent recent form and are scoring 2+ goals. I think they'll equalise of Jong AZ score first.

19:00 - Jong FC Utrecht v Jong Ajax Amsterdam - 1.62 Jong Ajax Amsterdam

  • +2.5 goals: There have been +2.5 goals in 9/12 Jong Utrecht home matches and in 10/13 Jong Ajax away matches. There have been +3.5 goals in 7/11 Jong Ajax away matches.

Jong FC Utrecht - 12th

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 8 and last 10 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • No win home or away v the top 7. Draws at home v 1st and 4th at home.
  • 4-0 loss last head to head.

Jong Ajax - 2nd

  • No defeat in 11 and in 6 away.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0- at halftime away.
  • 3 losses away v 4th, 14th and 17th.

Conclusions

  • Recent form is hugely contrasting. Jong Ajax clearly favoured on that count. Jong FC Utrecht have not beaten a top 7 side this season yet albeit 2 draws at home v 1st and 4th. Draw best case for them today you feel.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.