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Another tough set of matches. The one match I want to focus on is Elfsborg v Hammarby. It looks to be the most readable match on the coupon today.

16:30 - HIFK v KuPS - 2.56 KuPS

  • KuPS has won the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 11th v 7th in the Finnish Veikkausliiga.

HIFK

  • Only 2 wins.
  • No win in 6 at home.
  • Failed to score in their last 5 at home.
  • 7 consecutive under 2.5 goals at home.
  • Scored first in only 1 of 9 home matches.
  • Failed to score 2 goals in a match at home.

KuPS

  • Only 1 win in their last 7 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 4 consecutive under 2.5 goals away.
  • Only 2 losses away v 1st and 5th.

Conclusions

  • Another match to leave alone. Look at the form of these 2. No win in 6 at home v only 1 win in 7 matches.
  • If you wanted a play, back 0-0 pre match? Given the under 2.5 goals bias and HIFK's inability to score in 5 matches at home.

18:00 - OB v Nordjaelland - 2.24 OB

  • 7 consecutive OB wins in head to heads.
  • This is 10th v 9th in the Danish Superliga.
  • This is the start of a new season in Denmark.
  • Last year OB won only 3 matches from 15th July to 1st December but ended the season extremely strongly.
  • They had no draw in 14 home matches last season.
  • Only 6 clean sheets all season for Nordjaelland last year.
  • They were quite strong at home but conceded 21 of 27 goals in the 2nd half at home last year.
  • I would have to cite head to heads here as a potential angle and head to heads see OB consistently beat Nordjaelland.

18:00 - Kristiansund v Valerenga - 2.44 Valerenga

  • 1-0 Valerenga in the last head to head.
  • This is 14th v 7th in the Norwegian Eliteserien.

Kristiansund

  • Only 3 losses in their last 11 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 home matches.
  • Only led at halftime at home on one occasion.
  • Only 1 loss at home.
  • No 0-0.
  • 11 of 12 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Valerenga

  • Only 1 loss in 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 12th and lower. only played one team though from the bottom 6 away (won 2-4).

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Both teams are in good recent form.
  • There is a strong both teams to score pattern which leads me to back 2-1/1-2 here and trade out if lucky enough to see a 1-1 during the match.
  • Kristiansund are a strong 2nd half scoring side so if they have not scored by halftime (or are losing at halftime to nil), they are highly likely to score 2nd half.

18:00 - Jonkopings Sodra v Hacken 2.54 Hacken

  • 1-1 in the last head to head.
  • This is 12th v 10th in the Swedish Allsvenskan.

Sodra

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 6 matches.
  • Only 1 win home and away v teams above them in the league.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of 9 matches v top 9 teams.
  • No 0-0 at home.

Hacken

  • Only 4 defeats but 3 defeats within the last 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Unbeaten home and away v teams 8th and lower but only scored 2 goals on one occasion away.
  • Only 3 goals scored away.

Conclusions

  • Strictly on form, Hacken should not lose. But Hacken has only scored 3 goals away in 6 matches albeit losing only 1 match.
  • 2.54 odds does sum this up. The last 2 days have seen tough to call matches. Bring on the Premiership; Bundesliga; Seria A etc.

18:00 - Elfsborg v Hammarby - 2 Elfsborg

  • 2-4 Elfsborg in the last head to head.
  • This is 7th v 8th in the Swedish Allsvenskan.

Elfsborg

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Unbeaten in their last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home and last 11 overall.
  • Only lost to 1st and 2nd at home.
  • Tend to score 2+ goals outside of the top 2 at home.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.
  • 7 of 9 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Hammarby

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away and last 8 overall.
  • Only 2 away wins v 2nd and 14th.

Conclusions

  • One of the more readable matches. Hammarby may score and concede and should not win.
  • Elfsborg could score 2+ goals today so we should be laying Hammarby if Hammarby lead.
  • We should expect 2 goals total at least today.