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SPANISH PRIMERA LIGA

20:00 - Espanyol v Celta Vigo - 2.48 Espanyol

  • 0-2 Celta and 2-2 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is the Spanish Primera Liga. Remember when you see a favourite at odds of 2.4 or higher, it suggests the market cannot split the teams and by default we have a tough match to decipher.
  • A draw and 2 defeats for Espanyol saw them scoring 1-0-0. They have met Sevilla and Barcelona so you could argue that their season is yet to start as far as earning points.
  • 2 losses and a win for Celta. Celta scored 2 goals v Real Sociedad without winning.
  • Neither side has had a 0-0 at halftime, albeit after only 3 matches played.
  • Usual tough to decipher Monday fare. If you think these 2 can avoid another 0-0 at halftime then lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market, particularly if 0-0 after 20 minutes.

RUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

I head off to Mother Russia because I like Zenit St Petersburg. A team who have an air of reliability about them. Also this is a league with 9 matches played. You will see that there are better stats patterns now. Wait until the Premiership has 9 or so matches played (indeed all elite leagues); The research will get infinitely better and more detailed.

17:30 - Lokomotiv v Amkar - 1.57 Lokomotiv

  • 0-0 and 3-3 in the last 2 head to heads.

Lokomotiv

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Failed to score only in that defeat. The inference is that if Lokomotiv score, they are unlikely to lose.
  • Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 head to heads.
  • 1-0 wins v 14th and 15th and with Amkar in 16th, do Lokomotiv find the strugglers tough to break down?
  • Maybe not. Loko have scored 2 goals only once so if their defence does not keep a clean sheet they may not win (3 1-0 wins at home).
  • No 0-0 this season.
  • 4 of 5 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Amkar

  • Only 1 win came last away match.
  • Failed to score in 7 of 9 matches.
  • 4 1-0 defeats and a 1-1 home and away v top 7.

Conclusions

  • Lokomotiv may get away with their profligacy infront of goal at home, as they are playing an Amkar failing to score in 7 of 9 matches.
  • It does look set up for a 1-0 win. I would note any 0-0 at halftime. Loko tend to go loco 2nd half so that 0-0 should be vulnerable.
  • Remember Loko have yet to have a 0-0 this season.

18:00 - Zenit St Petersburg v FC UFA - 1.25 Zenit

  • 0-0 and 2-0 Zenit in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Zenit are league leaders currently.

Zenit

  • 1-0-0 scored by Zenit last 3 matches. Struggles up front?
  • 2 consecutive 0-0's. 0-0 sequences will inevitably end sooner rather than later.
  • 4 consecutive clean sheets.
  • 2 + goals scored in 3 wins at home.
  • 8 of 11 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

UFA

  • 3 defeats in 4 matches.
  • 2 1-0 defeats so may keep Zenit honest.
  • Not played top 7 away from home yet but in the away matches they have played, they have not conceded 2 goals.

Conclusions

  • 0-0 sequences will end so expect 0-0 to end today (react if 0-0 at halftime or 0-0 75th+ minute).
  • UFA are yet to play top 6 so little to work with. Against bottom half sides they have kept the teams to 1 goal maximum. With Zenit scoring 1-0-0 last 3 matches, will we see struggles from a normally reliable Zenit.
  • My angles? If 0-0 halftime I will react with perhaps a 1-0 or 2-0 Zenit correct score play. 8 of Zenit's 11 goals came 2nd half.

DANISH SUPERLIGA

As this league is covered at www.soccerstats.com I will check out the solitary match today.

18:00 - FC Nordsjaelland v AGF - 2.08 FC Nord

  • At least one team has scored 3 goals in the last 4 head to heads.
  • 2-3-3 scored by FC Nord in the last 3 home matches .....but 0-3-2 conceded also.

FC Nords

  • Top of the league at the moment.
  • Failed to score 2 goals at least only once this season.
  • Scored in every match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime came last match.

AGF

  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • 1-0-0 scored away.
  • Not scored a 2nd half goal away.
  • Not met top 6 away but intriguingly beat 2nd and 4th 2-0 at home.

Conclusions

  • Nords should outscore AGF today.
  • Expectation is for FC Nords to score at least 2 goals today.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market if you want. FC Nords did have a 0-0 at halftime last match but that is not the norm.
  • AGF at home are beating top 4 teams with ease and away have yet to meet the top 6 so a slight ? about how they will perform today.
  • Head to heads suggest FC Nord could score 2/3 goals today. If AGF score, you have an option to simply late them or back 2-1, 2-2, 3-1?

NORWEGIAN ELITESERIEN

Plenty of matches played in this less-elite leagues and an odds-on favourite means I'll research this one.

18:00 - Odds BK v Aalesunds - 1.8 Odds

  • 2 consecutive home wins for Aalesunds in league head to heads.
  • This is 10th v 11th.

Odds BK

  • Only 1 home loss.
  • Have yet to concede 2 goals in a home match.
  • Failed to score in 6 of 10 matches but seem ok at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home - 50% of home matches.
  • Scored 2 goals in home wins v 8th, 12th,13th, 14th and play 11th today.

Aalesunds

  • Only 1 win in 11 was, very oddly, 5-1 at home to Odds BK.
  • 3 score draws in 4 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 11 matches.
  • Only 2 away wins.

Conclusions

  • Very strange this one. Aalesunds are really poor in recent matches but their solitary win in 11 matches was a 5-1 tonking of Odds BK.
  • Odds BK at home though are yet to concede 2 goals in a single match. This suggests a lay of Aalesunds if Aalesunds scores first (as does their 3 score draws recently).
  • Only 3 clean sheets for Aalesunds does suggest that they will concede at some point.