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Pretty much all of the matches hit the shortlist mark today bar Levante's match. A good selection of short priced favourites could produce some in-play angles this evening. An encouraging Monday coupon!

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

19:30 - Dortmund v Augsburg - 1.48 Dortmund

  • 1-1, 1-1, 1-2 Dortmund in the last 3 head to heads.

Dortmund (2nd)

  • 5 wins and 3 draws in the last 8 matches.
  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 11 matches at home.

Augsburg (10th)

  • Only 1 win in 5 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 3-3-1-2-2-2 conceded away v teams above them in the league.

Conclusions

  • On form, Dortmund should be scoring 2 goals at least today in a win.
  • Augsburg may score without winning.
  • Dortmund seem to have found an able replacement for Aubameyang so a hope they continue with their goals record at home.
  • I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Cagliari v Napoli - 1.35 Napoli

  • 3-3-3-5-3-3 goals scored by Napoli in recent head to heads.

Cagliari

  • Only 2 wins in 12 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • All defeats v top 5.
  • 7 defeats and a draw at home v top 16 teams.

Napoli (1st)

  • 9 consecutive wins, 5 away.
  • No defeat in 12 away.

Conclusions

  • It does all look rather straightforward today (but then so did Bayern Munich and Ajax this weekend!).
  • Any Cagliari lead should be taken on.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Levante v Betis - 2.48 Levante

  • 3 consecutive Betis wins to nil in head to heads.

Levante (17th)

  • Only 3 wins all season.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home (1/3rd of matches).

Betis (11th)

  • 2 wins in 3 matches.
  • Scored 3 goals in defeat to Real Madrid last match.
  • 5-3-0-2-2-1-3 goals scored recently.
  • No draw in 11 and in 7 away.
  • 3 home wins and 2 away wins and a loss v teams 16th and lower.

Conclusions

  • For me, if Betis continue scoring their goals as they have done recently, that would be enough. Yes, they have had 1-0 defeats away v 15th and 18th and that may signal the cautious market.
  • I would have to lay Levante if Levante scored first. They may win 1-0 but have conceded 2 goals at least in 6 of their last 7 matches and play a Betis full of goals as I mention above.

PORTUGEUSE PRIMEIRA LIGA

19:00 - Braga v Tondela - 1.4 Braga

  • 2-0 Tondela and 2-1 Braga last 2 head to heads.

Braga (4th)

  • 7 wins in 9 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No draw in 12 and in 12 at home.
  • Scored in their last 10 at home.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only home losses v the big 2.
  • Not conceded a 2nd goal at home outside of the top 2.

Tondela (12th)

  • 4 losses in 5 matches.
  • No draw in 7 away matches.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • All defeats v top 5.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Tondela are unlikely to score 2 goals today so lay them if they lead.
  • Braga should be eyeing the win today. Both teams are avoiding draws of late so you may want to take on the late draw.

21:00 - Sporting Lisbon v Moreirense - 1.19 Sporting

  • 2-3 Sporting and 1-1 in the last 2 head to heads.

Sporting Lisbon (3rd)

  • A critical match for Sporting who have a game in hand over the top 2 but are 8 points shy of Porto, reduced to 5 with a win today.
  • Only 1 loss, a shock loss, v Estoril.
  • 6 consecutive home wins.
  • No defeat in 12 at home.
  • 6 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 100% home wins v 5th and lower, with 8 clean sheets in those 10 wins.
  • Scored first in 11/12 at home.

Moreirense

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 10 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 8 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • All away defeats v top 7.

Conclusions

  • Moreirense drew 0-0 with Porto and lost to Benfica recently so really should struggle today.
  • 100% wins at home v 5th and lower plays 100% defeats away v top 7 so it should be a straightforward win for Sporting Lisbon.
  • The halftime stats are incongruent. 5 0-0's at halftime at home for Sporting, only 1 for Moreirense.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

19:00 - Jong Utrecht v Jong Ajax - 1.4 Jong Ajax

  • 2 consecutive Jong Ajax wins in head to heads.

Jong Utrecht (20th)

  • 13 defeats in 15 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 10 and in 8 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 10 and their last 8 at home.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 100% defeats v top 11 home and away.
  • Scored and conceded in defeat v top 4.
  • 19 of 24 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Jong Ajax (1st)

  • 8 wins in 11 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored 2+ goals in their last 5 matches.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 away.
  • Scored in their last 13 and last 13 away.
  • 13 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Scored and conceded in the 6 aways v 15th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Jong Ajax may yet concede today but in victory, so says the form.
  • Jong Ajax should be scoring 2+ goals today.