Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A great weekend live chatting and a lesson. The big leagues, the big teams, the big players delivered, not those clowns from Rochdale, Ludogorets and the like. So decide moving forward whether you are an elite-league trader or you want an all-encompassing live chat covering all leagues. Some lesser league trades do come in, but there is an awful lot of patience tested when the liked of Ludogorets have 20+ shots on target, 15 corners and only 1 goal in a 1-1 draw.
It's the International Break now and I am afraid I will not be covering the Women's UEFA Champions League, Icelandic third division, or Moldovan Divizia A. The US Open tennis, however, well that's a different matter. I love trading Grand Slam tennis and provisionally there is a 16:00 start, presumably to cater for other-than-USA audiences. Presuming the 16:00 start is kept to, then I will see you on Twitter. I will do some basic research below.
There does not seem to be any coverage currently at matchstat.com so I may not have head to heads. See you on Twitter @drtclub at 16:00.

Kristyna Pliskova v Misa Eguchi - 1.23 Pliskova

  • 57th Pliskova. Looks more adept on clay. 2 Finals and a quarter final on clay.
  • On hard round of 16, and then qualifiers at New Haven where she went out then in first round. All 4 hard court matches at New Haven were 3 setters. Pliskova did retire in Nanchang so niggle regarding potential injury?
  • Historic struggles on Hard for Pliskova suggests she won't be going far this US Open.
  • 161st Eguchi from Japan, Eguchi has been playing clay court tennis predominantly and in 25K and 60 K events.
  • These 2 met on hard where it was a 3 setter until Eguchi retired.
  • For me Pliskova's odds look too short considering this is not one of her best surfaces but then her opponent has been plying her trade consistently at the lower levels.
  • I would lay Pliskova if she wins the first set, in fact lay the first set winner here. Consistent 3 setters from Pliskova and a 3 setter last time these 2 met on hard.

Magdalena Rybarikova v Camila Giorgi - 1.9 Giorgi

  • 384th in the rankings Magda.
  • Semi finalist at Wimbledon so playing above her rankings (note may be lowly ranked post injury/lay off).
  • Warm up hard court events round of 32 in Canada, and failed to get out of qualifying in Cincinnati and New Haven. Giorgi beat her in Cincinnati.
  • 8 consecutive hard court 2 setters for Magda.
  • First rounder last year at the US Open.
  • 90th ranked Giorgi.
  • Her warm up hard court? Lost first round in Washington, failed to get out of qualifiers for Canada, beat Magda at Cincinnati and reached the round of 16.
  • 2 3 setters v Gavrilova and Karolina Pliskova.
  • Out first round last year.
  • 1.9 odds tells us the market hasn't got a clue and usually signals a 3 setter. Certainly I would be keener I think to lay Magda if Magda wins the first set given Giorgi's recent head to head win as well as her 3 setters v better players on hard.

Richel Hogenkamp v Arina Rodionova - 1.68 Hog

  • No head to heads.
  • 134 ranked Richel.
  • No hard court warm up for the US Open. Came off clay. Walk over last clay event tells us Richel is coming off an injury given the time out.
  • Last year at US Open, she went through qualifying, and beat Heather Watson first round. Went out 2nd round. Has a generally poor hard court record, tending to need qualifying.
  • 198th in the rankings Arina. Played 3 warm ups on hard, quarter finals in Nanchang, failed to get out of qualifiers Canada and New Haven.
  • Both players looking poor on a hard court.
  • Probably a match I will not focus on. We don't have to trade every match. Injury question mark Richel.

Varvara Lepchenko v Garbiñe Muguruza - 1.1 Muguruza

  • 1-1 in head to head wins. With matchstats not covering the actual matches, I have to look at each player independently.
  • 71st ranked Lep. Round of 32, round of 64 and failed to get out of qualifying in her warm up US Open events.
  • 4 of the last 7 hard court events, Lep got to the round of 64.
  • 6th ranked Mug should be winning in 2 today.
  • Semi final at Stanford, quarters in Canada and winner over Halep in Cincinnati. How's that for a warm up?
  • No surprises today. As ever I advocate laying 1.1 and shorter as a matter of habit.

Petra Kvitova v Jelena Jankovic - 1.25 Kvitova

  • 4-3 in head to heads is a surprise here as jelena is on the wain.
  • 15th ranked Petra. Reached the final on grass in Birmingham but bombed out at Wimbledon.
  • Unspectacular warm ups but if we look on hard in 2016, we see Semi Final, Semi Final, round of 16 US Open, Round of 16, Final, Quarter Final, Final. Solid but contradicting the warm up events.
  • Kvitova if I remember was out for a while and is re-building her ranking?
  • 55th ranked Jankovic should be layable all day if winning the first set.
  • A career on the slide and little form of any worth.

Lauren Davis v Sofia Kenin - 1.59 Davis

  • No head to heads.
  • USA v Russia. Wonder if Trump will be watching.
  • 35th ranked. Not lasted more than 1 round in her 4 hard court warm ups.
  • Highlight? Beating Radwanska at Eastbourne on grass.
  • Lot better on hard last year, Finalist at Washington, Finalist in Auckland in warm up for Australia, quarters in Doha and Dubai, again contrasts with this year's hard court US Open warm ups.
  • Kenin has been playing 60K events, Final, Semi and Final so some capability on hard. However, stumbled at Cincinnati on the main tour, failing to get out of qualifiers. 177th and US player we may see her 'over-perform' today.
  •  A tentative lay of Davis if first set winner based on a) Kenin being USA and b) Kenin consistent finals albeit at much lower level than WTA.

Heather Watson v Alizé Cornet - 1.65 Cornet

  • Gawd love our Heather, Pride of Guernsey. She tends to ignite with home audiences but does not tend to travel well.
  • 0-1 Alize in head to heads.
  • 111th ranked Heather. The ranking says it all. Unlikely to challenge.Round of 32 and round of 64 Hard court before failing to get out of qualifiers in Cincinnati.
  • Hit form on hard in Monterrey and Miami last year but this does not seem sustainable or consistent.
  • 41st ranked Cornet is usually reliable.
  • Cornet's warm up form is poor. She lost twice to Cibulkova.
  • Not a match I can get a strong angle on. Both players warm up form for US Open is indistinguished. I would lay our Heather if she wins first set.

Kyle Edmund v Robin Haase - 1.85 Haase

  • 42nd v 46th in the rankings. No wonder the market is non committal. Remember this is best of 5 sets so plenty of scope for a player to get out of a mess!
  • Edmund has something to work with. Semi final in Atalanta, beating strong yardstick Chung in Washington, losing to Ferrer in Canada, and Sousa in Cincinnati but ending with a run to the semi finals in Winston-Salem, and that after going through qualifiers. Perfect confidence boosting form.
  • Edmund losses typically tended to see him winning a set so I would not expect a Haase 0-3 today.
  • 2 warm up events for Haase,  who reached the semi finals in Canada and lost in Cincinatti first round.
  • Both players are similarly ranked. Both players can take heart from their warm ups. As I said, my main angle is to oppose a 0-3 Haase, particularly if Haase wins the first set.
  • In matches as tight as this, lay the 2-0/0-2 leader if there is one.

Horacio Zeballos v Hyeon Chung - 1.31 Chung

  • 84th v 94th in the rankings. I like this Chung. He tends to fly under the radar.
  • Only 1 warm up at Winston Salem and he did beat solid yardstick Verdasco.
  • Unspectacular on clay.
  • Chung had an excellent clay court season. In Canada on hard he beat the likes of Lopez and Goffin. Those were the eyecatchers.
  • Last year Chung was on the asian challenger tour and reaching semi finals and finals on hard.
  • I do think he is an up and coming player and should win today. 10 year age difference.

Nicolas Almagro v Steve Johnson - 1.14 Steve

  • Spain v USA. Go USA!
  • 1-0 Almagro in head to heads.
  • 57th ranked Almagro retired twice during the clay court season and has not played on hard. On that basis alone, he looks ill-prepared to take on a local lad.
  • 25th ranked Johnson had an unspectacular warm up on hard. He did lose to Medvedev, Monfils, Ferrer and Kyle Edmund in the quarter finals.
  • I get the feeling Johnson's odds are so short because there is a question mark surrounding Almagro's fitness.