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Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signaled matches.

Look out for a 0-0 at halftime in matches where we expected goals. Augsburg v Werder Bremen was a ready recent example. Research suggested over 2.5 goals (3+ goals expected). The match was 0-0 at halftime. Where are the goals? Back over 2.5 goals at enhanced odds for the 2nd half. 3 goals were scored in this case.

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialized.

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are not the pre-market favorites. The home team is usually galvanized by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).

I back BANKER bets with level stakes, re-calculating the level stakes every 20 bets and bet with that new level stake amount for the next 20 bets.

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.

Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.

Killer stats are in bold italics. MOTD signals any match(es) I would prioritize my focus on if I had to choose just one or two matches in order to shorten the work load. These are the Matches of The Day. There is no DRT stripped Bulletin today as there are not too many matches.

6pm - Lazio v Sassuolo - 1.77 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive Lazio wins scoring 3 goals ended with a Sassuolo 2-1 win last head to head.
  • This is 8th v 7th in Italian Seria A.

Lazio

  • No defeat in 3.
  • 3 0-0's in their last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 11 despite this was v Napoli.
  • All defeats at home v top 6.
  • 38% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 17 goals scored at home last 1/2 hour of matches.

Sassuolo

  • No win in 3 away.
  • Scored in their last 7 away and conceded last 8 overall.
  • 2-2-1-2 goals conceded in recent matches.
  • Only 6 clean sheets.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime in their last 13 matches.
  • Only 2 wins in 11 saw 6 score draws.
  • Have scored at least one goal away v top 10 played to date.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Scored first in 8/13 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lazio are in excellent form considering they failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches. Only the in-form Napoli have beaten them in the last 11 matches. In contrast, Sassuolo have only 2 wins in 11 matches but 6 score draws which does suggest we could lay Sassuolo if Sassuolo score first (and they have in 8/13 away).
  • Take note Lazio score a huge number of goals 60th minute onwards, so if we see a 0-0, score draw or Sassuolo lead coming into the 60th minute, we may be able to lay it in anticipation of said Lazio onslaught!
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6pm - Fenerbahce v Besiktas - 2.12 home

Standout Stats

  • This is a possible title decider and I do not think that any form research will do us much good. This is one of those one-off matches with so much at stake.
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7:30pm - Cagliari v Novara - 1.61 home MOTD

Standout Stats

  • 1-0 to Novara the last time these 2 met in Seria B.
  • This is 1st v 7th in Seria B.

Cagliari

  • Only 5 losses, all came away. Lost their last match.
  • Not lost 2 consecutive matches this season.
  • Failed to score in only 2 of their last 18 matches.
  • 5 match home winning streak.
  • No draw in 10.
  • No defeat in 14 at home.
  • Scored in all those 14 at home.
  • All wins at home bar a draw v bottom.
  • 71% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 12/14 at home.
  • Led at halftime in 10/14 at home.

Novara

  • Only 1 win in 9.
  • Conceded in their last 8 and last 6 away.
  • Only made 2 of the top 8 away.
  • 4 1-0 wins, albeit at home v top 7.
  • 29% over 2.5 goals away.
  • 11 scorelines at halftime away were 0-0 or 0-1.
  • 12 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Cagliari tend to score first. If they do there is unlikely to be  DRT here. Novara have kept things tight v top teams, albeit mostly at home.
  • Incongruous over/under 2.5 goals stats.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score but do delay. Cagliari tend to lead at halftime at home.
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7:45pm - Brighton v Leeds - 1.83 home MOTD

Standout Stats

  • 4 consecutive Brighton wins in head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 17th in the English Championship.

Brighton

  • 3 match winning streak at home.
  • No draw in 9 at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 7 came away v Cardiff.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in the last 10 matches.
  • 2-3-3 scored at home last 3 home matches.
  • All home wins v 14th and lower.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 12 of 15 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Leeds United

  • No win in 4 and in 4 away.
  • Conceded in their last 5 away.
  • 3 draws in their last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 10 matches.
  • 1-1-0-1-1-0-0-1 scored in recent matches.
  • v top 11 away Leeds have lost to 3rd, 6th, 9th, 11th.
  • Only 4 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only 2 0-0's away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This looks good for Brighton today. They have won all matches v 14th and lower at home.
  • I would lay the 0-0 halftime score based on Brighton, if conceding, likely to concede first half.
  • Leeds United recently have had trouble scoring 2 goals so I would certainly oppose Leeds if Leeds scored first.
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7:45pm - Benfica v Uniao Madeira - 1.13 home MOTD

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 met. As you know by now, I hope, 1.13 suggests 3/4 goals from Benfica.
  • This is 2nd v 14th in Portugeuse Primera Liga. A must win really with Sporting away from home today.

Benfica

  • Only 4 defeats all season, 2 have come v Porto.
  • No draw in 11 matches at home.
  • Scored in their last 10 matches overall and last 6 at home.
  • 14 wins, a loss and a draw in their last 16 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in the last 8 matches.
  • 3 of 4 defeats v top 3 only.
  • 91% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 21 of 34 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Scored first in 9/11 at home.

Uniao Madeira

  • No draw in 6 away.
  • No win in 4.
  • 3-1-0-3-3 conceded in recent away matches and today are against a Benfica side used to scoring 3+ goals at home.
  • Not played top 4 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Not led at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • The number 3 tends to crop up for Benfica at home to those outside the top 3 and Uniao have conceded 3 goals away in 3 of their last 5.
  • Expect a Benfica win. Expect a comfortable Benfica win 3+ goals scored.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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8pm - Guimaraes v Sporting Lisbon - 1.65 away

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive Sporting wins in head to heads, the last 2 came at home.
  • This is 7th v 1st in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.

Guimaraes

  • 3 match drawing streak.
  • No defeat in 8 and in 4 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
  • 5 draws in their last 7 matches were all score draws.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • 5 consecutive score draws at halftime.
  • Beat Porto 1-0 at home; Lost 0-1 at home v Benfica.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

Sporting Lisbon

  • 2 match winning streak, 3 away.
  • No draw in 7 away matches.
  • Only 1 loss.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • All wins away v top 13 teams.
  • Only 4 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Conceded only 1 goal in the first half away.
  • Scored first in 9/11 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Sporting are highly unlikely to be losing at halftime so react accordingly if Guimaraes look as if they might lead at halftime.
  • Guimaraes have beaten Porto 1-0 and lost 0-1 v Benfica at home. Will Guimaraes keep this match tight? Do note though that Guimaraes have had 5 score draws in 7 matches.
  • The expectation is for Sporting not to lose today but do note those tight Guimaraes matches.
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8pm - Fiorentina v Napoli - 2.44 away

Standout Stats

  • 4 consecutive Napoli wins in head to heads. The market suggests a tighter match today.
  • This is 4th v 2nd in Italian Seria A.

Fiorentina

  • 2 match winning streak, 3 at home.
  • No draw in 6 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 matches.
  • Scored in their last 13 at home.
  • 2 losses at home v 3rd and 8th.
  • All losses at home v top 3 (2 were away).
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Scored first in 9/13 at home.

Napoli

  • No draw in 7 away.
  • Only 3 losses.
  • No win in 2.
  • Failed to score in only 4.
  • Losses away v 1st, 7th and 9th.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 17 of 26 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Fiorentina have yet to win v top 3. They have scored in their last 13 matches at home so expect a goal?
  • With Napoli failing to score in only 4 matches, can we expect both teams to score? I would lay Fiorentina if Fiorentina scored first.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
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