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I don't tend to do a live chat Monday because Monday seems to be the graveyard for matches. I would focus on Inter Milan and Brondby matches as the most readable today.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

20:00 - Burnley v Newcastle - 2.72 Newcastle

Burnley

  • Only 2 defeats v West Brom and Man City.
  • Loss, Win, Draw, Draw at home.
  • The only time Burnley scored 2 goals was in playing 9 men.
  • Only 2 over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Not played the top 12 at home.

Newcastle

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • 3 1-0 scorelines away and then a 2-2.
  • Only 1 away win was 0-1 v 17th.

Conclusions

  • The market is clear. They haven't got a scooby doo.
  • And looking at the form of these 2 teams it seems a win is likely to be a 1-0 or 0-1 as these 2 sides are struggling scoring that 2nd goal (Burnley though are making opponents struggle to score that 2nd goal).
  • A match for the in-play stats or to leave alone.

ITALIAN SERIA A

19:45 - Verona v Inter - 1.41 Inter Milan

Verona

  • Only 1 win came last match of the season at home v newly promoted Benevento.
  • 1-0-0-0-1 scored at home.
  • Not led at halftime at home.
  • 3 goals conceded in 3 defeats v top 5 teams (Inter go 2nd with a win today).

Inter Milan

  • Unbeaten - all wins bar 2 draws.
  • The 2 draws came away from home.
  • Failed to score in only one match.
  • Only 1 win at halftime away but did not lose at fulltime.
  • 4 wins v bottom 6, 3 of them saw Inter scoring 2 goals.
  • 5 goals scored in the last 15 minutes of away matches.

Conclusions

  • Note Inter Milan have not led at halftime in 3 matches away but as you see are unbeaten this season. A good angle if Verona score first or lead at halftime.
  • Verona have not managed to score that 2nd goal so are layable if scoring first. With Inter scoring 2 goals in 3/4 wins away Inter should be eyeing the win today.
  • If a draw or loss for Inter coming to the 75th minute, keep faith in Inter who are late late goal scorers away from home.

SPANISH LA LIGA

20:00 - Espanyol v Betis - 2.34 Espanyol

  • Espanyol won the 2 head to heads last season.

Espanyol

  • Losses have come v Leganes, Barcelona and Real Madrid.
  • Loss, Win, Win, Draw at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 6 matches was v Real Madrid.
  • Failed to score in 5/8 matches.
  • Not beaten any top 9 team and are playing 8th today.
  • 4 goals scored first half came within the first half hour.

Real Betis

  • Barcelona, Villareal and Valencia have beaten Betis this season, 2 defeats came away.
  • Failed to score in only the first match of the season v Barcelona.
  • 2-3-0-4 goals conceded away. 0-1-1-4 goals scored in same matches.
  • Not led at halftime away.
  • Only played one team below them in the league away but at home, 4 wins out of 4.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Strictly on form, Betis are unbeaten v teams below them in the league and playing an Espanyol who have failed to score in 5/8 matches, Betis (with 4 goals last away match) could simply outscore Espanyol.
  • Remember this is Monday football, where football matches go to die!!
  • Betis tend to score first away.
  • So a good argument for Betis and then we see Espanyol only beaten by Levante, Barcelona and Real Madrid. Loss, Win, Win, Draw at home for Espanyol. But Espanyol have not beaten any top 9 team and Betis are 8th.
  • So.....favour Betis?

20:00 - Las Palmas v Deportivo - 2.22 Las Palmas

  • Head to heads are inconclusive.

Las Palmas

  • No draw sees all defeats bar 2 wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
  • Not led at halftime at home.
  • Wins v 14th (home) and 19th (away) and play 16th today.
  • No 0-0.
  • Not scored a first half goal at home.

Deportivo

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • 0-0 away v 17th and 1-0 at home v 20th. Play 18th today.

Conclusions

  • Oh Lordy! A typical Monday match. 2 sides in poor form with poor form.
  • I have to research these matches as they are elite league matches but that does not mean I have to play.
  • If you want an angle, will Las Palmas continue to avoid the draw? Maybe you might want to back 0-0 pre match to trade out at halftime. Las Palmas have not scored first half at home.

DANISH SUPER LIGA

18:00 - Brondby v Randers - 1.45 Brondby

  • 0-1 Brondby and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.

Brondby

  • Only 2 defeats came away from home.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 6 wins and a draw at home.
  • 16 of 20 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 0-0 away v Randers earlier this season (Randers are bottom of the league).

Randers

  • Only 1 win.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 5 losses in 6 away matches.
  • Opponents have scored first in 5/7 away matches.
  • All defeats away v top 6, conceding 2 goals at least.

Conclusions

  • On form Brondby should be winning today, scoring 2 goals at least. Randers tend to concede first away.
  • Note Brondby tend to score the bigger proportion of their home goals in the 2nd half so if they have not scored by halftime, fear not.

GREEK SUPER LEAGUE

17:30 - PAOK v Asteras Tripolis - 1.31 PAOK

  • 3 consecutive PAOK wins in head to heads.

PAOK

  • 4 consecutive home wins.
  • 5 clean sheets this season.
  • 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Only loss v Olympiakos.

Asteras Tripolis

  • Only 1 win.
  • 2 consecutive 1-0 defeats.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • 1-1-0-0 scored away.

Conclusions

  • This being Greece, it could end up 0-0 or 1-0 to PAOK.
  • 2 recent PAOK wins at home were 1-0 but they have had a 3-1 and 4-0 set of wins at home And that is what 1.31 suggests, more so than a 1-0.
  • Asteras should not be able to score 2 goals so lay them if they score first.

TURKISH SUPER LIG

17:00 - Fenerbahce v Kayserispor - 1.52 Fenerbahce

  • Fenerbahce have scored 3 goals at least in each of the last 4 head to heads.
  • Kayserispor are 4th after 9 matches so having a good season.

Fenerbahce

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • Scored 2+ goals in each home match, drawing and losing their first 2!
  • Only 1 clean sheet came last match (0-0).
  • Scored and conceded in 4 home matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.

Kayserispor

  • Only 2 losses.
  • 1-2-1-0 scored away.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match away.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Fenerbahce tend to score 2 goals at home. If we can rely on that today, then we lay Kayserispor if Kay score first.
  • Kayserispor have failed to score only once.
  • There is an argument for backing 2-2 pre match in the hope a) Fenerbahce score 2 goals and b) Kayserispor continue to score.