Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A superb Sunday live chat. I hope you profited. The big money maker was the selecting of a 3-2 scoreline in the PAOK match. This paid out 20/1 or as near-as-damn-it. A nice lay of Man City at 1.08 proved profitable as Swansea equalised, and kept the scoreline at 1-1 long enough for live chatters to back City at 3.45 or higher. Other profits included Werder Bremen doing what Werder Bremen do (goal before halftime and both teams scoring), Leixeos equalising, correct score Frankfurt, Sociedad coming from behind to win, and a raft of profitable Desmond Tutu's!
Not the most appealing coupon today. I have not researched all of the Dutch Eerste Divisie matches, only those that appeal from an odds perspective. I like the Maritimo scoring before halftime stats today; Achilles should be opposed if scoring first; FC Oss tend towards over 2.5 goals with at least one team scoring 2/3 goals, perhaps both teams!; Volendam have scored 3 goals in each of their last 3 matches and play a side against which they should score 3 again today; Estoril have lost away v top 8 and play 4th team Braga today. Those would be my areas of focus.

17:30 - Levadiakos v Platanias - 2.38 Levadiakos

  • This is the Greek Super league.

Levadiakos 100% stats

  • No win home or away v top 9 teams - Platanias are 8th.
  • Conceded in all home matches v teams above them in the league - Levadiakos are 14th.
  • Only lost to top 4 at home.
  • No home 0-0.

Levadiakos other stats

  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 7 of their last 9 matches.
  • No win in 9 matches.
  • Scored and conceded at home v 3rd, 5th, 9th, 10th, 12th, 13th and play 8th today.

Platanias 100% stats

  • No win in 8 away matches.
  • Not scored more than 1 goal in an away match.

Platanias other stats

  • Only 1 defeat in 7 matches.
  • 0-0, 1-1, 0-0 v bottom 4 sides away, where Levadiakos reside.

Conclusions

  • An example of a match I would ordinarily leave alone and have only researched because it is a quiet Monday.
  • Despite really poor form, I can make an argument for Levadiakos at home not losing, but can also make a similar case given Platanias are unbeaten v bottom 4 away and have such a solid recent form record.
  • A match to avoid!

19:00 - Maritimo v Moreirense - 1.98 Maritimo

  • This is the Portugeuse Primera Liga. I ordinarily only focus on Sporting, Benfica, Porto, and at a push Braga.

Maritimo 100% stats

  • No home 0-0.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 3 wins out of 3 at home v teams 13th and lower (More are 15th).
  • No over 4.5 goals matches.

Maritimo other stats

  • 2-2-3-2 goals scored last 4 home matches.
  • Unbeaten in 5.
  • No defeat in 7 at home.
  • 5 wins and a defeat v bottom 6 sides.
  • 11 of 13 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Moreirense 100% stats

  • No away draw.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not beaten a top 11 side (Maritimo are 6th).
  • Conceded 2+ goals away v top 11.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.

Moreirense other stats

  • Only 3 clean sheets.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Moreirense should not be winning. Lay them if they score first. Or back Maritimo 2-1, 3-1.
  • Maritimo could, as you may have gathered, score 2/3 goals today.

19:00 - Achilles 29 v FC Eindhoven - 1.62 FC

  • This is the Dutch Juliper League.

Achilles 29 100% stats

  • No win at home.
  • All defeats at home v top 15 teams (FC are 7th).

Achilles 29 other stats

  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in 6 of their last 7 matches.

FC Eindhoven 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches v teams 15th and lower - Achilles are bottom of the league.

FC Eindhoven other stats

  • Only 2 draws.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.

Conclusions

  • Achilles have one intention. Try to keep a clean sheet as they did in a 0-0 v MVV Maastricht last match.
  • On form both teams could score today though and FC Eindhoven not lose. FC Eindhoven beat all bottom 4 teams 2-1 at home. What about away?

19:00 - FC Oss v MVV Maastricht - 1.98 MVV

  • 4-2 and 3-0 MVV in the last 2 head to heads in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

FC Oss 100% stats

  • Conceded in every match.
  • All defeats home and away v top 6 teams (MVV are 4th).
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.

FC Oss other stats

  • Conceded 3 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • All over 2.5 goals matches at home bar 1.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 matches at home.

MVV 100% stats

  • Not won to nil away.

MVV other stats

  • Not won in 3 matches. 0-0 last match.
  • 0-0-0-1 scored last 4 away matches.
  • All wins bar that 0-0 last match home and away v teams 13th and lower. Oss are 14th.

Conclusions

  • MVV are in poor recent form but really should be beating teams in Oss's position in the league.
  • Oss tend towards over 2.5 goals, scoring and conceding and losing in the process.
  • We have to trust MVV to score again though, 0-0-0-1 scored in their last 4 away matches.

19:00 - Volendam v Den Bosch - 1.49 Volendam

  • This is the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Volendam 100% stats

  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.
  • No 0-0.

Volendam other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 10 matches came last match.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home wins scoring 1-3-3-3 goals.
  • Scored in last 13 matches.

FC Den Bosch 100% stats

  • All defeats v top 4 and play 3rd today.
  • No 1-0 or 0-1 away.

FC Den Bosch other stats

  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches.
  • 5 defeats and a 0-0 away v teams 10th and higher conceding 3-5-3-0-5-4 goals.
  • 82% over 2.5 goals away.

Conclusions

  • Both sides are in good form but note Den Bosch tend to concede 3+ goals away v top teams. Enough to side with Volendam today? They have scored 3 goals in each of their last 3 home matches.
  • Back Volendam if Den Bosch score first and Den Bosch have scored and conceded against top 3 teams in defeat.
  • If 0-0 after 20 minutes, I would lay under 4.5 goals and hope for goals.

19:00 - Breda v Dordrecht - 1.4 Breda

  • This is the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Breda 100% stats

  • All wins home and away v 16th and lower (Dordrecht are 19th).
  • Not lost to nil at home.

Breda other stats

  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • No defeat in 9 at home.
  • Only 1 home loss.

FC Dordrecht 100% stats

  • All defeats away v top 14 teams.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in those matches.
  • 91% over 1.5 goals away.

FC Dordrecht other stats

  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • No win in 7 away.

Conclusions

  • Breda really should be winning today, scoring 2 goals at least.
  • I do not have any halftime stats for the Dutch Eerste Divisie but I would take a chance and lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market in the expectation for goals.
  • Back Breda if Dordrecht score first.

19:45 - Granada v Las Palmas - 2.46 Las Palmas

  • Not a match I would be interested in ordinarily but it is a quiet Monday and this is the Spanish Primera Liga.

Granada 100% stats

  • No over 3.5 goals matches.
  • Not won to nil.

Granada other stats

  • Only 1 win.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded in their last 11 matches.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only scored 2 goals in a match once at home and twice all season.
  • Opponents scored first in 7/9 home matches.

Las Palmas 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 14th and lower (Granada are bottom).

Las Palmas other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No win in 8 away.

Conclusions

  • A totally under-whelming match. On bare form, Las Palmas should not lose today and could even sneak in another 2 goals.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Granada are highly likely to concede.

21:00 - Braga v Estoril - 1.48 Braga

  • This is the Portugeuse Primera Liga.

Braga 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • All wins at home v 11th and lower (Estoril are 16th).
  • Scored 2 goals at least in those wins.

Braga other stats

  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • 6 of 8 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Estoril 100% stats

  • All defeats home and away v top 8 teams (Braga are 4th).

Estoril other stats

  • 7 consecutive defeats, 4 came away.
  • Conceded last 8 matches.

Conclusions

  • Although Estoril should lose today, note that Benfica at home only beat them 1-0 and Porto away only beat them 1-0. Estoril might be set up to be hard to score against.
  • Strictly on form, Braga are capable of scoring 2 goals at least today in a win.