Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

I saw this weekend that there is a niggle with these matches. Last matches played 22nd December 2016 so there is a gap in the form. I research on the faith that pre-Christmas form will be retained. That was not the case over the weekend though. Teams seem a little ring-rusty.

17:30 - Panathinaikos v AOK Kerkyra - 1.22 Panathanaikos

  • This is the Greek Super League. 'Super' in inverted commas if you followed PAOK yesterday. 20+ shots on goal 13+ corners, these 1.3 shots failed to score. What will the form say about Panathanaikos?
  • 2 consecutive 1-1 draws in head to heads.

Panathanaikos 100% stats

  • No home draws.
  • Scored in every home match.
  • No over 4.5 goals.

Panathanaikos other stats

  • Failed to score in their last 2 matches.
  • In their last 6 matches, scored 1-1-1-0-0.
  • Only 1 loss at home v 3rd.
  • Only conceded a maximum of 1 goal home and away v teams below them in the league.

Kerkyra 100% stats

  • No away wins.
  • Not scored 2 goals in a match away.
  • No over 4.5 goals away.
  • No total goals exactly 2 away.

Kerkyra other stats

  • Only 3 wins were 2-0 at home.
  • Failed to score in their last 4 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of 5 away matches. 0-0's v 1st and 3rd away and a 1-0 loss away v 2nd.

Conclusions

  • 0-0 is in-play here given Kerkyra's record away v top 3 teams so note that.
  • Panathanaikos have scored in every home match so if 0-0 late on, I would back Panathanaikos late on.
  • Kerkyra are highly unlikely to score 2 goals so if they score first, oppose them.
  • It would not surprise me if this is 0-0 at halftime. 0-0 is 18.5. That is high enough for me to back pre-match and hope Kerkyra's defence is as strong as it has been v the top 3 sides. I would trade out if lucky enough to get 0-0 at halftime or near to halftime.

19:45 - Osasuna v Valencia - 2.04 Valencia

  • No head to heads since 2014.

Osasuna 100% stats

  • Bottom of the league.
  • No win at home.
  • No over 4.5 goals at home.
  • Not scored in both halves at home.
  • No opponent has equalised in an Osasuna home match probably because Osasuna keep getting tonked!

Osasuna other stats

  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 12 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in all bar 2 matches at home.
  • Opponents tend to score first at home.

Valencia 100% stats

  • No clean sheets.
  • All wins and  defeats away came by 1 goal.
  • No away match total goals 4 away.
  • Have not led at halftime away.

Valencia other stats

  • Scored and conceded in 12 of their last 13 matches.
  • Valencia are unbeaten v bottom 6 sides scoring and conceding in those matches.

Conclusions

  • Note - first match since pre-Christmas so we need to trust these teams to show their form (or lack thereof!) from pre-Christmas.
  • On form, if we can trust form, Valencia could score and concede and not lose today. Osasuna keep conceding 2 goals so 1-2 correct score if Valencia show their form v bottom 6 sides.
  • Osasuna pre-Christmas failed to score. If they score first today they must be opposed. 0-2 as well as 1-2 if the match is 0-0 at halftime.