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Tennis ends. There are some interesting football matches.

14:30 - Sogndal v Rosenborg - 1.78 Rosenborg

  • 2 consecutive 3 goal wins for Rosenborg in head to heads, albeit at home.
  • This is 11th v 1st in the Norwegian Eliteserien.

Sogndal

  • Only 2 losses in 10 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 5 home matches was a 2-3 v 2nd in the league.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Not lost at halftime at home.
  • Have lost to the top 3 so far this season, conceding 3 goals in each match.

Rosenborg

  • 3-0-3-3-5 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
  • Failed to score only 3 times.
  • Vulnerable away v 5th, 7th and 8th.
  • 3-1-3-3-5-3-3 goals scored home and away v 9th - 14th in the league.

Conclusions

  • Could Rosenborg score 3 goals today? 3 , 3, 3 that's all I see above from head to heads, Sogndal v top 3, Rosenborg v 9th-14th.
  • I will favour Rosenborg today. I would not expect them to lose. I will back 3-2 / 2-3 in case Sogndal are as solid (in defeat) as they were in the 2-3 v Brann.

15:00 - FC Copenhagen v AaB - 1.45 FC Copenhagen

  • Copenhagen tend to win head to heads but it was 1-1 last time AaB visited.
  • This is the start of a new season in the Danish Superliga.
  • Copenhagen won the title last year.
  • Copenhagen was unbeaten last season.
  • 1-2-1-1 goals conceded by AaB away last year v top 4 so this might be tight today.
  • I do not expect FC Copenhagen to lose.

15:00 - Malmo FF v Sirius - 1.6 Malmo

  • No league head to heads.
  • This is 1st v 3rd in the Swedish Allsvenskan.

Malmo

  • Only 1 defeat.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • 4 consecutive wins.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • All wins at home bar the loss v 2nd.
  • 10 of 13 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Sirius

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Did beat 2nd away 0-2.
  • Only 3 losses away.
  • Clean sheets away v 2nd, 5th and 6th.
  • All 9 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • This could be a tight match. If there is a team to lead at halftime, it should be Malmo as Sirius tend to score all away goals 2nd half.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, I would expect a 2nd half goal or 2. I would back 1-1 and 2-1 2nd half if 0-0 at halftime.

17:00 - Lillestrom v Stabaek - 1.92 Lillestrom

  • 1-2 and 2-4 Lillestrom in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 10th v 5th in the Norwegian Eliteserien.

Lillestrom

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 8 at home.
  • Only 1 win v teams above them at home.
  • 0-1-0-0 scored at home v teams above them in the league.
  • No 0-0.
  • 7 of 10 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Stabaek

  • Only 3 wins in 11 matches, 2 came last 2 matches.
  • Failed to score only 3 times.
  • Not beaten a top 11 side away from home.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Conclusions

  • Tough to call this match as both sides tend to win v the bottom 1/3rd sides.
  • I would lay the late 0-0 here. Expect at least 2 goals.

17:30 - Sonderjyske v Randers - 2.6 Sonder

  • Only 1 defeat at home for Sonder last year v teams below them in the league.
  • A 1-0 win v Randers at home last year for Sonder.
  • 3 losses at home for Sonder last year came v 2nd, 3rd and 12th.
  • Last year Sonder did not score that 3rd goal at home.
  • 3 wins away last year for Randers.
  • They scored 2 goals away v 2nd, 3rd and 5th last year and Sonder were 4th last year.
  • The market cannot split the sides at the beginning of this Danish season. I would lay Sonder if Sonder lead 1-0 late on or even 2-0 late on in the hope Randers can score 2 goals away.

18:00 - Dinamo Zagreb v Istra 1961 - 1.15 Dinamo

  • Dinamo Zagreb have won the last 4 head to heads. 1-1 and 2-1 last 2 home matches.
  • This is 2nd v 4th in the Croatian HNL league.

Dinamo Zagreb

  • The start of a new season.
  • 1-1 and 2-1 v Dinamo Zagreb at home last year for Istra.
  • Dinamo Zagreb lost 2 home matches last season which were the first 2 matches lost at home in the league since August 2010.

Istra 1961

  • Last year away from home, Istra 1961 all bar 2 matches v top 7 teams.

Conclusions

  • Expect a home win. Dinamo Zagreb could concede but not lose.

19:45 - Sligo Rovers v Drogheda - 1.68 Sligo

  • 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
  • This is 10th v 12th in the Irish Premier Division.

Sligo Rovers

  • Only 2 wins in 13 matches. Only 4 wins all season.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • In the last 9 matches, Sligo only scored 2 goals once.
  • Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 2nd.
  • All draws home and away v 9th and lower were all 1-1.

Drogheda

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 4 consecutive defeats.
  • Failed to score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • No win in 11 away.
  • Unbeaten v 10th and lower with 2 draws.

Conclusions

  • I would back 1-1 and 2-2 today as trading angles here as Drogheda, despite being very poor, are unbeaten v the bottom 3 sides. And despite Drogheda failing to score in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Sligo keep drawing 1-1 v 9th and lower. Now you could go against this sequence if you wanted to and lay any late 1-1?

20:00 Rijeka v Slaven  - 1.29 Rijeka

  • 3-2 and 0-2 Rijeka last year in head to heads.
  • Rijeka were unbeaten at home last year and won all matches bar a 1-1 draw with Dinamo Zagreb.
  • Last year Slaven lost 6 matches and drew 2 away v top 4 teams.
  • Expect a home win today albeit it's a guessing game as the new season begins. I suspect the title will be between Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb.