Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

There will be a live chat webinar on DRT Facebook only. Apologies that I cannot use my usual stronger webinar software but I did not expect to still be in Guernsey 2 months after I arrived. I have only a small laptop and the webinar software and websites I use, particularly www.drtinplaystats.com, don't work well together on this less powerful computer.
https://www.facebook.com/groups/288630934852757/ is the link to DRT Facebook. Alternately, use the search facility. You have to be a 'joined' member to view the content. I do expect you to have joined DRT Facebook already but if you are not, head over and click 'Join' and I will approve you before the webinar which begins at 14:30.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

14:30 - RB Leipzig v Freiburg - 1.35 RB Leipzig

  • The home side has tended to win the last 6 head to heads. Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 head to heads.

RB Leipzig - 3rd

  • Only 3 losses all season.
  • 2 consecutive draws last 2 matches.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • No defeat 9 at home.
  • Scored last 12 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not beaten a top 7 side at home this season.
  • 2-1 loss to Freiburg earlier this season.
  • Scored and conceded in all home matches v the top 14.
  • 9 goals scored at home 76th-90th minute.

Freiburg - 8th

  • Only 4 wins in 14 matches.
  • 3 of the 4 wins came at home.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • In 9 of the last 10 matches, we saw at least a goal before halftime.
  • Conceded last 11 away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not beaten the top 6 away.
  • Only 1 away win v the top 14.

Conclusions

  • On form, the home side tend to win head to heads.
  • Leipzig have a poor record v top 7 which is a worry. Value might be in laying Leipzig if they lead but remember the head to head record.
  • Possible late goal 76th+ minute if Leipzig are drawing or losing 75th minute.

14:30 - Fortuna Dusseldorf v Paderborn - 2.22 Fortuna

  • Paderborn newly promoted.

Fortuna Dusseldorf - 16th

  • Only 5 wins all season.
  • A win and 2 draws last 3 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 7 at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Only 1 loss at home v 10th and lower.
  • 2-0 loss v Paderborn this season.

Paderborn - 18th

  • 5 losses and a draw last 6 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 6 matches.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime away, none at fulltime.
  • 2/2 wins v the bottom 3 this season.

Conclusions

  • Both sides only 3 clean sheets all season.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • Paderborn have beaten the bottom 3 this season but Fortuna are consistently unbeaten at home v 10th and lower so may survive today.

14:30 - Augsburg v Wolfsburg - 2.38 Wolfsburg

  • 0-0 last head to head. The Wolf unbeaten last 4 head to heads.
  • 2.38 suggests tough to call.

14:30 - Hoffenheim v Hertha Berlin - 2.14 Hoffenheim

  • The Hoff don't tend to lose head to heads.

Hoffenheim - 9th

  • No win in 5 matches.
  • 3 losses in 4 at home.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in the last 9 matches.
  • 6 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Conceded in their last 6 and last 8 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2-3 win v Hertha Berlin earlier this season.
  • v 7th-16th at home, no win.

Hertha Berlin - 13th

  • Loss and 2 score draws last 3 matches.
  • No defeat in 5 away.
  • 2+ goals scored last 3 away.
  • Only 3 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only 1 loss v top 10 away.
  • 13 of 18 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • I would consider lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but for this break.
  • We'd expect goals if past patterns continue.Hoff could be layable if scoring first given yet to beat 7th-16th at home.

14:30 - Dortmund v Schalke 04 - 1.59 Dortmund

  • Schalke were unbeaten in the 2 2019 head to heads.

Dortmund - 2nd

  • 7 wins and a loss last 8 matches.
  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 at home.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • No defeat 12 at home.
  • Scored last 12 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Led at halftime in 8/12 at home.
  • 0-0 last time these 2 met this season.
  • All wins at home v 4th-16th saw 7 clean sheets.
  • 28 of 41 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Schalke - 6th

  • Only 1 win in 10 matches.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • No win in 6 away.
  • Failed to score last 4 away.
  • Failed to score in 3  matches v the top 2 this season.
  • 67% of goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • On form, Dortmund should not lose. Schalke look layable if leading. They failed to score last 4 away and failed to score in the 3 matches v the top 2.
  • Strong 2nd half scoring both sides.

17:30 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Mgladbach - 2.44 Mgladbach

  • Frank are unbeaten in the last 3 head to heads at their place.

Frankfurt - 12th

  • 3 consecutive losses.
  • 2 wins and a loss last 3 at home.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Scored in their last 5 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 3 wins and a 2-2 at home v the top 5.
  • 4-2 loss to Mgladbach earlier this season.
  • 18 of 27 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Mgladbach - 4th

  • Only 3 losses last 13 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 3 away.
  • Scored 2+ goals in each of their last 3 away.
  • Only 4 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only 1 loss home and away v 8th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Watch out for Mgladbach v the top 5, unbeaten with 3 wins and a 2-2 so we may see a surprise.
  • both teams scored in Mgladbach matches before the break.
  • Mgladbach lost only 1 match v 8th and lower but Frankfurt, as I say, 3 wins and a 2-2 v top 5. So tough to split these 2.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 2

12:00 kick off

Jahn Regensburg v Holstein Kiel - 2.62 Holstein Kiel

  • Both sides won the 2019 head to heads.
  • 2.62 does not appeal so just basic research.
  • Jahn have 3 consecutive losses. Only 3 0-0's at halftime at home for Jahn.
  • 1-2 win for Holstein Kiel earlier this season.
  • Jahn were unbeaten at home v 9th-16th.
  • 13 of 17 goals conceded by Jahn at home came 2nd half.
  • Holsten Kiel scored in each of their last 10 away.
  • Only 4 wins for Holsten Kiel home and away v the top 14.
  • In 8/11 matches Kiel played v the top 16 away, they conceded at least 2 goals.
  • Angles? Not a fan of 2.62 matches. If Kiel keep conceding 2 goals away, that could seal their fate!

Bochum v FC Heidenheim - 2.68 Bochum

  • Heidenheim won the head to heads 2018, Bochum won the 2 head to heads 2019.
  • No win in 4 at home for Bochum. They conceded in their last 5 at home.
  • Bochum beat Heidenheim 2-3 earlier this season, the only win v the top 7 home and away (Bochum are 15th, Heidenheim are 4th).
  • No draw in 6 away for Heidenheim. They did not beat the bottom 5 away.
  • 11 of 12 Heidenheim goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • Angles? 2.68 the favourite again suggests caution. I would note the strong Heidenheim 2nd half scoring record so take on any 2nd half 0-0?

Karlsruhe v SV Darmstadt - 2.66 Karlsruhe

  • A very tough coupon in the Bundesliga 2. 2.66 the favourite here.
  • No win in 5 at home for Karlsruhe. They conceded in their last 9 at home.
  • 17th in the league, Karlsruhe have not beaten any side in the top 6 home or away. Darmstadt are 6th.
  • Darmstadt were unbeaten in their last 10 and last 5 away.
  • Darmstadt are unbeaten home and away v the bottom 5. 1-1 the last time these 2 met.
  • Angles? The market suggests leaving this alone. On all available form, Darmstadt should be expected to come out of this unbeaten.

Erzgebirge v SV Sandhausen - 2.64 Erzgebirge

  • Another 2.6+ the favourite suggests in-play stats only.
  • Erzgebirge and draw in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Only 1 loss at home for Erzgebirge. 100% wins v 10th and lower. SV are 13th.
  • 2-2 the last time these 2 met.
  • 8 of 11 goals conceded at home by Erz came 2nd half.
  • No win in 6 for SV. They conceded in their last 14 and last 10 away.
  • Only 2 away wins for SV.
  • Angles? Not happy with 2.64 the favourite. On seasonal form, Erzgebirge should be favoured here.

BELARUSSIAN PREMIER LEAGUE

13:00 - Energetik v Dinamo Brest - 1.75 Dinamo Brest

  • Dinamo Brest are unbeaten in the last 6 head to heads.

Energetik - 5th

  • No draw.
  • 5 wins and 3 losses. 3 losses saw them fail to score.
  • Win, Win, Loss at home.
  • Not played 2nd-10th at home.

Dinamo Brest - 6th

  • Sign of recovery for the Champions? After 3 losses in 4 matches, they won 0-3 and 2-1. Impressive shots on target stats last match at 1-1.
  • 0-1, 1-0, 0-3 away from home.

Conclusions

  • Your angle here will be determined by whether you believe Champions Dinamo Brest are back on track. 2 consecutive wins, 5 goals scored suggests they could be. Let the in-play stats guide you as they did last match where they thoroughly deserved the win.
  • Bit of a gap in form for Energetik.

15:00 - Shakhter Soligorsk v Slavia Mozyr - 1.36 Shakhter

  • Shakhter have not lost any of the last 32 head to heads! Get the idea!

Shakhter - 7th

  • Only 2 losses came at home were 0-1 and 1-2.
  • 2 wins and a draw last 3 matches.
  • Loss, Draw, Loss, Win at home.
  • 6 clean sheets in their last 7 matches.
  • Losses at home came v 2nd and 3rd.
  • They kept clean sheets in all matches v 4th and lower.

Slavia Mozyr - 9th

  • 3-1 loss, 1-2 win, 2-1 loss, 2-3 win away from home.
  • Losses away v 2nd and 4th.

Conclusions

  • I have to be with Shakhter given the head to heads are so emphatic and the fact that Shakhter have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 matches. Both teams could score but Shakhter not lose, that's what the form says.

17:00 - BATE Borisov v Slutsk - 1.3 BATE

  • 5 consecutive wind for BATE in head to heads. 3-1-3-3 goals scored in the last 4 head to heads.

BATE Borisov

  • 2 losses opened the season but since then, 5 wins and a 0-0.
  • 3 goals conceded v Smolevichi needed BATE to score 5 goals. 2 consecutive both teams to score matches with BATE winning.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 1-0, 0-0, 3-1 at home.

Slutsk

  • 2 losses came at home. 0-1 v Dinamo Brest and 1-2 loss v Energetik at home last match.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 match.
  • 2-3, 1-2, 1-2 away. 3/3 wins.

Conclusions

  • The Slutsk look solid enough away from home, conceding but winning their 3 matches. BATE though have started to click. They were 1-3 up v Smolevichi though recently, that went to 3-3 and then onto 3-5. Will BATE be as generous today against an away side 3/3 away?
  • Smolevichi did score first in that match and BATE replied very quickly so have a record for equalising from behind.

BELARUS PERSHAYA LEAGUE

12:00 - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk v Lokomotic Gomel


14:00 - Orsha v Mikashevichi (Granit) - 1.91 Orsha

  • Orsha win, Granit win last 2 head to heads.
  • 100% defeats for Granit. 4 losses. They failed to score last 2 matches.
  • Orsha are on a 2 match 0-0 sequence so look for that to end. 3-2 and 0-0 at home for Orsha.

15:00 - Volna Pinsk v Chimik Svetlorgorsk - 1.3 Volna

  • 3 consecutive home wins for Volna, 3-1, 1-0, 1-0 in head to heads.
  • 4 consecutive 1-0 scorelines in head to heads.
  • 4/4 defeats for Chimik this season saw them fail to score. So if they do score today, lay them if they score first.
  • 2 consecutive wins for Volna.
  • Chimik look in trouble.

16:00 - Lida v Oshmyany - 1.71 Lida

  • These 2 last met in 2016 so head to heads are not relevant.
  • Same form for both sides. 2 losses, a draw and a win.
  • Lida have played only 1 match at home, a 3-0 win.
  • Oshmyany away saw a 0-3 win and a 3-2 loss.
  • Little to get stuck into here.

BELARUS RESERVE LEAGUE

  • I won't repeat the words 'reserves' after each team.

11:00 - Belshina v Vitebsk - 1.67 Belshina

  • No head to heads since 2016.

Belshina

  • Loss, Win, Win, Draw for newly promoted Belshina.
  • 4-0, 6-2, 0-0 at home recently.

Vitebsk

  • Only 1 clean sheet came last match.
  • All over 2.5 goals matches bar 1.
  • Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss away conceding 4-4-3-4- goals.

Conclusions

  • On available information, Vitebsk look far too generous away from home to survive a Belshina who have scored 4-6-2 goals at home. I do not expect a 2nd consecutive home 0-0 for Belshina.

11:00 - Dinamo Minsk v Isloch - 1.42 Dinamo Minsk

  • Dinamo Minsk tend to win and tend to win to nil in head to heads.
  • All wins bar a 2-2 in a derby v Minsk for Dinamo Minsk.
  • They have scored 2+ goals in all bar 1 match this season.
  • This is another Minsk derby v Isloch Minsk who are on a 6 match winning streak. In 5 of their last 6 matches, Isloch scored 2 goals at least.
  • Despite this being a Minsk derby, Dinamo Minsk have quite simply won, won, won when these 2 have met. Do note that the only other derby this season was a 2-2 v Minsk. Will an in form Isloch Minsk provide sturdier resistance?
  • Don't expect a 0-0! Use the in-play stats to see if Isloch's recent solid form could buck the head to head trend.

11:00 - Ruh Brest v Smolevichi - 1.65 Ruh Brest

  • No head to heads.
  • No draw for either side this season. Both sides have 5 wins and 3 losses.
  • 3/3 wins at home for Ruh Brest scoring 3-3-2 goals.
  • Ruh Brest failed to score in only their first match of the season.
  • Win, Win, Loss, Win away for Smolevichi saw both teams score.
  • No strong angles here with 2 newly promoted sides who have identical form (5 wins, 3 losses and no draws).
  • Don't expect a 0-0. Perhaps lay the late draw.

FAROE ISLANDS PREMIER LEAGUE

14:00 - TB Tvoryri v Klaksvik - 1.23 Klaksvik

  • TB won the last home head to heads but Klak tend to win head to heads.
  • Both sides lost their opening match.
  • Little to work with.