Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches

  • Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

  • Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

  • Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

  • Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches ( especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds)

  • Lay the underdog  scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market , especially in BANKER matches.

I must say that it is a tough coupon today. Generally speaking, look at the odds in most major league matches ( England and Germany in particular). A favourite priced at around 2.3 is a favourite under sufferance. I like to take my cues from the market, and then justify the odds. When we have markets with favourites at around 2.3, the market tells us the matches are very tight indeed. Hence, a tough day .

12:45 UK Man City v West Brom - 1.33 home

Standout Stats

  • City have scored 3 in each of the last 3 head to heads, but also conceded.
  • This is 2nd v 13th in the Premiership. Chelsea have a game in hand and 6 points advantage. The title is not mathematically theirs just yet so this is yet another must win for City. West Brom have an 8 point cushion to the relegation zone.

Man City

  • 2 match home winning streak
  • 2 consecutive home clean sheets
  • Only 2 home losses , v 3rd and 8th when they failed to score.
  • Only 3 wins in their last 9 matches. 8 wins and 2 draws in their last 10 home matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No 0-0
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home
  • 17 of 28 goals scored in the 2nd half at home
  • Only conceded 4 home 1st half goals all season
  • Scored first in 9 of 14 home matches.

West Brom

  • No win in 9 away matches.
  • Only 2 away wins were 0-1 v 7th and 20th.
  • Only 2 losses in 10 matches v Spurs and Aston Villa.
  • Remember the Tony Pulis factor.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • 4 0-0's away
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away is 50% of matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Tony Pulis sides have to be respected but West Brom continue not to win away - 9 consecutive matches now away without a win. In true Pulis style, West Brom have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches and will give this iffy City side a run for their money today.
  • I would not be surprised if this was 0-0 at halftime.  I would wait before laying the 2nd half 0-0.
  • 8 wins and 2 draws in their last 10 home matches for City suggests they should not lose today.
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13:30 UK Arsenal Tula v CSKA Moscow - 1.15 away BANKERS

Standout Stats

  • 2-1 home win for CSKA in September 2014
  • This is 14th v 2nd in the Russian Premier league

Arsenal Tula

  • 2 match losing streak at home.
  • Only 1 win at home v 15th
  • All losses bar 1 v 14th and higher at home
  • Failed to score in 6 of 7 matches at home v 11th and higher.
  • Only 2 draws.
  • Only 1 0-0
  • Only 6 goals scored at home, only 1 in the first half.

CSKA Moscow

  • 5 match winning streak, 2 away
  • No draw in 8 matches.
  • Scored in their last 6 matches.
  • All wins bar 1 home and away v 8th and lower.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches this season.
  • No 0-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • 1.15 suggests we see a goal at least before halftime, 3/4 goals minimum from CSKA and a comfortable afternoon. The form backs this up. CSKA scored 2 minimum v lower half teams. Arsenal Tula may have trouble scoring so this should be a good DRT match,
  • Niggles? Only 2 matches since the return from the Winter Break.
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14:00 UK Dinamo Zagreb v Istra - 1.14 home BANKERS

Standout Stats

  • You probably know this off by heart now don't you? Dinamo Zagreb have not lost a home match in the league since August 2010. Ergo, let's hope Istra are leading coming to the 89th minute!
  • Little else more to say, apart from the usual - 1.14 shots should score before halftime so lay the 0-0 halftime score as late as you can.
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14:30 UK Paderborn v Hoffenheim - 2.05 away

Standout Stats

  • 1-0 Hoffenheim win in the most recent head to head.
  • This is 16th v 7th in the German Bundesliga.

Paderborn

  • 4 match losing streak overall and in their last 4 at home
  • Have scored and conceded in their last 4 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 9 home matches.
  • 75% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • All bar 1 loss at home, came v top 5.
  • Failed to score in 8 of their last 9 matches
  • Only 1 win in 15 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home
  • Have never led at halftime at home

Hoffenheim

  • Scored in their last 5 matches.
  • No win in 4 away.
  • All bar one away defeat came v teams above them in the league.
  • 2 1-1 draws away to teams either side of Paderborn.
  • Only 1 loss in 5 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 9 away matches
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • The market tends to get it right when pricing up Hoffenheim under evens. They are not under evens today.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score while Hoff continue to see goals before halftime.
  • Both teams to score today? It might come in considering the 75% over 2.5 goals at home for Paderborn.
  • Lay Paderborn if they score first.
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14:30 UK Hannover 96 v Borussia Dortmund - 1.67 away

Standout Stats

  • Dortmund tend to win head to heads, but Hannover won 0-1 last time
  • This is 13th v 10th in the Bundesliga. Dortmund are a team slowly rising up the rankings.

Hannover

  • No win in 9 and in 4 at home
  • Scored in their last 8 home matches and conceded in their last 4 away matches.
  • Losses at home came v 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 16th.
  • Only 1 win in 14 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 11 of their last 14 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 home matches.
  • Only 1 0-0
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime at home.
  • 14 of 17 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Dortmund

  • No defeat in 6 overall and 4 away
  • Only beaten 1 team 16th and higher away from home.
  • 4 wins and 2 0-0's in their last 6 matches. Failed to score at home v Juventus too midweek.
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 4 away matches
  • Only 2 0-0's away
  • 11 goals conceded in the last 1/2 hour of away matches

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • As with Hoffenheim, the market tends to get it right with Dortmund when pricing them at odds on. But now they have 2 consecutive 0-0's which is a concern.  In stark contrast Hannover are scoring and conceding all over the place. That might be enough to get Dortmund back on the scoring track.
  • Do not worry if this is 0-0 at halftime. Hannover conceded 14 of their 17 goals 2nd half at home. Lay the late 0-0 in the hope this continues.
  • Lay Hannover if they score first, based largely on the scoring and conceding.
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14:30 UK FC Koln v Werder Bremen - 2.25 home

Standout Stats

  • Only 1 recent relevant head to head was a 0-1 Koln win.
  • This is 12th v 9th in the Bundesliga

Koln

  • No defeat in 5 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
  • Only 2 home wins v 8th and 10th.
  • 5 0-0's at home. Failed to score in 7 home matches.
  • Only 1 win in 7 matches sees 3 0-0's and 2 consecutive 0-0's
  • 4 draws in the last 5 home matches.
  • 5 0-0's at home
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home

Werder Bremen

  • No defeat in 3 away matches.
  • Scored in their last 5 away matches
  • All defeats bar 1 away came v teams above them
  • Only 2 defeats in 9 matches came at home
  • No 0-0
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away
  • Opponents scored first in 9 of 12 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay any late 0-0  based on Werder Bremen rather than Koln.
  • A match I would probably leave alone as I cannot choose between these teams.
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14:30 UK Stuttgart v Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.4 home

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have scored in the last 5 matches. Full house last 3 head to heads, Draw Stutt win, Frank win.
  • This is 18th ( bottom) v 8th. A win would really give Stuttgart some hope today.Mid table mediocrity for Frankfurt

Stuttgart

  • No win in 9 at home and 9 overall.
  • All defeats bar 1 at home v 12th and higher.
  • Failed to score in 6 of 7 home matches v top 7 sides. Playing 8th today.
  • Failed to score in 7 of their last 8 home matches.
  • 2 0-0's at home
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only scored 1 goal first half at home
  • Scored first in only 1 of 12 at home
  • Have never led at halftime at home

Frankfurt

  • Only 2 away wins is the reason the odds are non committal. With form like Stuttgart's, an away side would be odds on if they were in better form than Frank
  • Against teams below them away from home, Frank have lost 5 and won 1.
  • A 4-5 loss  to Stuttgart earlier in the season .
  • Extremely worrying away record - have conceded 3-1-4-2-3-4 in recent away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Both teams have scored in 11 of 12 away matches.
  • No 0-0
  • 19 of 27 goals conceded came away from home.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay any late 0-0 here.
  • Both teams to score has a great chance here. Lay any side 2-0 up, particularly if that side is Stuttgart.
  • Frankfurt are conceding for fun so this should be an entertaining match given Stuttgart really need the points.
  • Frankfurt are statistically the first goalscorers today but when you concede 17 in your last 6 aways, there is a chance you could concede first too.
  • Stuttgart have real trouble scoring v top sides at home, so the both teams to score is hit and miss but 4-5 last time these 2 met gives it a good chance.
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15:00 UK Aston Villa v Swansea - 2.4 home

Standout Stats

  • Swansea are unbeaten in 4 head to heads with 2 wins and 2 draws.
  • This is 16th v 9th in the Premier League.

Aston Villa

  • No draw in 9 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 home matches.
  • 2 match winning streak
  • All home losses v 8th and higher.
  • New manager syndrome with Sherwood who has now managed 2 consecutive wins v West Brom and Sunderland
  • That ended a run of 12 without a win.
  • 3 0-0's at home

Swansea City

  • No draw in 4 away
  • Unbeaten away v 14th and lower. 4 clean sheets in the 5 matches.
  • 3 wins in their last 9 matches were 1-0 .
  • Unbeaten home and away v 14th and lower.
  • 2 0-0's away
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • A tricky puzzle now that Sherwood has Aston Villa winning - 2 consecutive wins. Swansea have a great unbeaten record v teams 14th and lower and ordinarily I would side with them today not to lose.
  • But, as ever, new manager syndrome is the problem with Villa.They've scored in their last 3 at home and won their last 2.
  • If you want a strictly form angle, then Swansea should not lose. Villa have been vulnerable to top 8 sides.
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15:00 UK Lyon v Nice - 1.55 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive Lyon wins in the last 3 head to heads, 2 saw them score 3 and 4 goals, the other they won 1-0
  • This is 2nd v 15th in French Ligue 1

Lyon

  • Could go top with a win today!
  • No defeat in 12 home matches, scoring in each one.
  • Only 1 loss at home
  • All wins at home v 3rd-18th inclusive.
  • Solid defence at home, not conceding more than 1 goal in a single game in all home matches.
  • No 0-0 at home
  • 32 goals scored at home, nearly evenly split between both halves.
  • Scored first in 13 of 14 home matches.

Nice

  • No win in 7 and in 4 away
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 away matches.
  • Lost away to 1st and 3rd. Beat 4th and 6th.
  • The last 9 matches have all been competitive affairs, 1-2 win, 2-1 win, then 3 0-0's, 0-1 loss, 2-1 loss, 2-1 loss and 1-2 loss. So likely Lyon will need to score that 1 more than Nice to get the win

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lyon have the best of it in head to heads and an ultra clear motivation to go top infront of their home fans. They are in cracking form, unbeaten in 12 and have solid defence. If Nice score first, lay them, as Lyon rarely concede more than 1 at home.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score. Lyon score equally both halves at home
  • Nice failed to score away to 1st and 3rd but I must say they have been ultra competitive in defeats and it could be another 1-0 or 2-1 if they do lose today.
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15:00 UK Newcastle v Arsenal - 1.65 away

Standout Stats

  • 6 consecutive wins for Arsenal in head to heads.
  • This is 11th v 3rd - 2nd is a real possibility for Arsenal

Newcastle

  • Only 2 wins in 10 matches v Hull and Aston Villa.
  • Contrary home form v the best. Beat Chelsea and Liverpool, lost to Man City, Man Utd and Southampton.
  • Have been unlucky at home recently. 1-1 v Stoke saw a 90th minute equaliser. 0-1 v Man Utd saw an 89th minute United winner
  • Only 3 wins in 14 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home
  • Conceded 8 goals in the last 1/4 hour of home matches.

Arsenal

  • 5 match winning streak, 2 away
  • No draw in 12 matches and in 5 away
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 away matches.
  • All defeats away v top 9 sides.
  • Very tight and unbeaten v 10th-14th inclusive away
  • No 0-0
  • Scored first in 10 of 15 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is Arsenal's to lose tonight.This could be a tight match, a 1-2, 2-2 something like that. There is nothing in Newcastle's form to suggest they will shock so lay them if they score first. Recent wins came v strugglers Hull and Aston villa.
  • Lay any late draw in the hope Arsenal avoid the draw again.
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15:00 UK Southampton v Burnley - 1.44 home

Standout Stats

  • Burnley won 1-0 in the last home Premiership match. A 73rd minute goal.
  • This is 6th v 18th in the Premier League.

Southampton

  • Losses at home have come v 2nd, 4th, 5th and 9th.
  • Have beaten 17th, 19th and 20th at home and are meeting 18th today. 2+ goals scored in each of those wins.
  • Only 1 win in 5 matches. Southampton beat Crystal Palace 1-0 at home.
  • A recent worry about scoring at home. 0-0-0-1 scored in the last 5 home matches.
  • Saints have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Outside of the top 10 at home, Saints are excellent defensively, keeping 7 clean sheets and conceding only 1 goal.
  • 2 0-0's at home
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 15 of 25 goals scored at home came in the 2nd half.

Burnley

  • No win in 8 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 12 away matches.
  • Only 1 win away was v Stoke City.
  • Drew away v 1st and 2nd. Lost away to 3rd, 4th, 5th and 7th.
  • Only 2 wins in 13 matches came at home , 1 was a 1-0 last time out v Manchester City.
  • Only 2 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 18 of 28 goals conceded away came at home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Burnley " did a Burnley" against Southampton earlier in the season. A 1-0. Similar to the smash and grab v Manchester City.
  • Southampton have had a poor run of late but outside of the top 10 at home are really tough to score against.
  • I am not sure where a DRT will come from if Saints show another clean sheet. I suppose a concerted period of 0-0 is possible and I would have faith in that 0-0 ending .
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15:00 UK Stoke v Crystal Palace - 2.15 home

Standout Stats

  • 1-0 Palace and a 1-1 draw in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 8th v 12th in the Premiership

Stoke

  • 2 match winning streak at home
  • Scored in their last 6 at home
  • 2 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Losses at home v 1st , 2nd, 16th, 18th and 20th.
  • Only 4 losses in 15 matches were against Chelsea, Arsenal, Man City and West Brom.
  • No 0-0

Palace

  • No draw in 4 away
  • Conceded in their last 5 matches
  • A solid enough look to away form, with defeats only v 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, and 15th.
  • Only 2 defeats in their last 9 away matches were v Man City and Southampton.
  • Not beaten the top 9 away yet but draws v 7th and 9th away
  • 8 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • A tricky coupon today. Stoke are solid in recent weeks. It has taken the likes of Chelsea, Arsenal, Man City and West Brom to beat them recently ( West Brom the odd man out!)
  • Palace themselves are solid away, 4 of 5 defeats came v top 6 away
  • This is another match which could go either way. Stoke have lost to 16th, 18th and 20th at home but only recently beaten generally by big guns.
  • Palace as I say look good away. The head to heads say it all!
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15:00 UK Tottenham v Leicester - 1.6 home BANKERS

Standout Stats

  • 1-2 Spurs win, 1-2 Leicester win in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 7th v 20th. A win still leaves Leicester bottom and time is running out, and matches are running out

Tottenham

  • No defeat in 9 at home
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
  • Wins v all bottom 4 at home
  • Have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 14 matches.
  • 5-2-2-2-3 scored in recent home matches.
  • 2-2-1-2-1-2-1-3 goals before halftime in recent matches.
  • 79% over 2.5 goals overall
  • Only 2 0-0's at home

Leicester

  • No win in 7 overall and in 5 away
  • Have conceded in their last 5 away matches.
  • Only 2 away wins were 0-1. Will they really stop Harry Kane and co?
  • Wins only v Leicester and Hull recently were 1-0.
  • No 0-0 away
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away
  • Conceded 13 first half and 14 2nd half away
  • Opponents have scored first in 11 of 15 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams could reasonably score today although it's slightly risky with leicester's failure to score in 7 matches away v top 12.
  • Spurs are scoring regularly. Leicester have only beaten poor teams 1-0 and should not keep Spurs from scoring, ergo they should not win. Take a chance and lay Leicester if they score first, despite their 1-0 win record.
  • Over 2.5 goals looks highly likely. With that in mind, perhaps, lay the 0-0 halftime score in the expectation of goals.
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15:00 UK Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.22 home BANKERS

Standout Stats

  • It's like deja vu all over again. Recent matches for these 2 have been in the cups, 1-1, 0-2 Celtic and 4-0 Celtic at home. Celtic remain unbeaten  and there have been red cards galore , 2 last game, 3 first game and 1 in the middle I believe. So perhaps a bookings bet for you bettors?
  • Celtic have had the best of these very very recent encounters and has anything really changed to make Dundee United spring a surprise? I don't think so.
  • My theory before was that the familiarity of so many matches in succession would lead to Dundee United knowing a little more each match but they are somehow getting worse!

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Expect Celtic domination as they have in the last 3 very recent meetings, albeit in the cup.
  • If Celtic repeat the last 4-0, then lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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15:00 UK Atletico Madrid v Getafe - 1.3 home BANKERS

Standout Stats

  • 8 consecutive clean sheets for Atl Madrid. They have won the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 13th in La Liga.

Atl Madrid

  • No defeat in 6 at home
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • Only 1 home loss, a 0-1 v Villareal.
  • 3 consecutive draws, 2 0-0's came away from home
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in all home matches played v 7th and lower
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home
  • No 0-0 at home
  • 35 goals scored at home , 21 in the first half.

Getafe

  • Conceded in their last 12 overall and last 13 away
  • No draw in 11 matches
  • Failed to yet score v top 4 home and away
  • Lost all away matches played v top 9
  • Only 1 win in 8 away matches came in their last match
  • No 0-0 away
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away
  • Opponents have scored first in 11 of 13 away matches

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Getafe are yet to score against Atl Madrid in quite some time. If this continues of course, Atl Madrid may score their 2+ goals as they do v 7th and lower at home. As if to re-inforce this, Getafe have failed to score in all matches played v top 4 sides.
  • With 21 goals scored in the first half for Atl Madrid, lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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17:30 UK West Ham v Sunderland - 1.85 home

Standout Stats

  • Sunderland, Draw, West Ham, Draw in the last 4 head to heads.
  • This is 10th v 17th and all matches now are critical for a Sunderland side keeping their heads above the relegation zone.

West Ham

  • Have conceded in their last 3 home matches.
  • No win in 7 matches.
  • 3 match losing streak, 2 at home
  • All bar 1 of West Ham's losses at home came v the top 7.
  • Against 15th and lower at home, West Ham have kept 4 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 12 yet still a top 10 side suggests West Ham are living on earlier season glories.
  • West Ham have played all London sides in their last 4 matches, with a draw and 3 losses.
  • Only 1 win in 5 home matches was a 3-0 v Hull, so Sunderland might be within West Ham's compass.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.

Sunderland

  • No win in 6 matches overall and in their last 6 away matches.
  • Have conceded in their last 5 away matches.
  • Only 3 wins all season v 8th at home, 11th and 12th away.
  • That win v Stoke was the only win, home and away v top 10 sides.
  • Only 2 wins in 19 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away
  • 14 of 21 goals conceded away came in the 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Head to heads are inconclusive.
  • Both teams are in poor form and Sunderland's needs for points suggests a less than clear cut match today.
  • Form wise, well West Ham's last win was against Hull at home, and they do not concede ( yet) at home v 15th and lower ( they play 17th today).
  • From a form perspective then, West Ham must be favoured.
  • Lay Sunderland if they score first.
  • Do not be surprised with a 0-0 at halftime but do expect a goal as Sunderland have conceded in their last 5 away matches.
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17:30 UK Schalke 04 v Bayer Leverkusen - 2.37 away

Standout Stats

  • 2 Schalke wins and a Bayer win in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 5th v 4th in the Bundesliga.

Schalke

  • No defeat in 5 at home
  • Scored in their last 4 at home
  • Only 1 loss at home v 12th
  • 1-0-1-1-1-3 scored in recent matches at home.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches
  • Only 1 0-0 at home

Leverkusen

  • Scored in their last 7 and last 5 away
  • 3 match winning streak
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Lost only 5 matches, 3 were v top 2 sides.
  • 3 consecutive wins to nil
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Leverkusen only really lose to top 2 sides, but here they play 5th in the league in what will be a tough game for them.
  • This is too tough to call again. Schalke have lost only 1 at home and Leverkusen only 5 all season. I will watch this match.
  • Lay any late 0-0
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6pm - Rio Ave v Benfica  - 1.38 away

Standout Stats

  • Rio Ave have failed to score in the last 5 head to heads ( in all competitions).
  • A 1-0 win for Benfica with home advantage last time out.
  • This is 8th v 1st. This is really a must win for Benfica. If they lose or draw, and Porto win, they could be within 2 points of Benfica

Rio Ave

  • No win in 3 at home.
  • Only played one of the top 6 at home, losing 0-2 to Braga
  • All wins at home v 12th and lower.
  • Recent troubles scoring at home. 0-0-0-2( 90th minute) - 1-1 scored in recent home matches. Rio will need 2 you'd think to beat Benfica today.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home

Benfica

  • 5 match winning streak
  • No draw in 5
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 away matches.
  • All wins home and away v 7th and lower.
  • Only 2 defeats away v 4th and 6th
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • No 0-0
  • 30 scored away and pretty evenly distributed between the halves.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Benfica have recently been caught out through conceding away  - a 1-0 loss and a 1-1 draw, but they did concede in their last 2 aways and won 1-3 so there is hope here.
  • Tough to gauge Rio Ave who are yet to meet the big boys at home so just head to heads which are very tight but significantly show Rio Ave unable to score. Indeed they have had troubles scoring recently at home and I think this may be a case of Benfica simply outscoring them today.  Benfica have failed to score in only 1 match.
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18:45 UK Willem II v Dordrecht - 1.33 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive Willem II wins scoring 2+ goals.
  • This is 10th v 18th in the Dutch Eredivisie

Willem II

  • No win in 2 at home
  • Scored in their last 5 at home
  • Conceded in their last 5 overall.
  • Only 3 losses at home v top 6.
  • 3 wins at home v  bottom 4.
  • Unbeaten at home v 7th and lower
  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. 2 consecutive score draws at home
  • Only 1 0-0
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home

Dordrecht

  • No win in 12 away
  • Conceded in their last 11 away matches.
  • No draw in 5 away matches.
  • 5 match losing streak away
  • Only 1 win away was v 7th.
  • All defeats away v 12th and higher, bar 1 match.
  • Only 3 wins this season.
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 21 of 32 goals scored 2nd half
  • Opponents have scored first in 11 of 13 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is about how poor Dordrecht are rather than how good Willem II are. Dordrecht have lost all bar 1 away v top 12.
  • Willem II don't tend to lose v 7th and lower. If Dordrecht score first, lay them given their record.
  • If this happens to be 0-0 at halftime, lay the 0-0.
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19:45 UK AC Milan v Cagliari - 1.8 home

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have scored in the last 4 matches.
  • A 1-1 draw in the last head to head.
  • This is 10th v 18th. Points are critical for Cagliari.

Milan

  • No defeat in 4 at home.
  • 4 losses at home v 1st, 10th, 12th, and 17th at home.
  • Wins at home v 1st and 2nd bottom
  • Only 2 wins in 12 matches
  • 3-1-2-2 scored in their last 4 home matches.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Scored first in 10 of 14 home matches.

Cagliari

  • No win in 8 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 12 matches and last 5 away
  • Only 4 wins all season
  • No win in 7 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Cagliari look in a bad way. Strictly on form, AC Milan should not lose,and could even score 2 goals Cagliair have no win in 7, are conceding regularly, not won in 8 away and play a Milan side scoring again at home
  • If Cagliari lead, they should concede. Only 2 clean sheets all season.
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21:00 UK Athletic Bilbao v Almeria - 1.5 home

Standout Stats

  • 6 Ath Bilbao wins in the last 7 head to heads.
  • This is 8th v 16th in the Spanish La Liga

Ath Bilbao

  • 4 match winning streak, 2 at home
  • Scored in their last 6 matches at home and kept 2 consecutive clean sheets
  • 5 losses at home v 1st, 4th, 15th, 19th and 20th. 0-1 losses v bottom 2 and playing 4th bottom today.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, a solid run at present.
  • 3 of the last 4 wins were 1-0, so doing barely enough here.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home

Almeria

  • No draw in 8 away matches
  • Conceded in their last 6 away matches.
  • No win in 5 matches.
  • 2 match losing streak away
  • Only 1 away draw suggests home win or away win
  • Failed to score in their last 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 15 of 23 goals conceded away came in the 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Ath Bilbao tend to perform well against Almeria. This is an Almeria failing to score in 4 matches too, so it must be advantage home team. They have , though, lost 0-1 to 19th and 20th at home so while I would lay Almeria if they score first, I would back the 0-1 as cover here incase this is another 0-1 loss for the home side v minnows.
  • Ath Bilbao have won 3 of  their last 4 matches 1-0 so if 0-0 for a while, have faith in a goal coming and lay said 0-0 as late as possible.
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