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Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signaled matches.

Look out for a 0-0 at halftime in matches where we expected goals. Augsburg v Werder Bremen was a ready recent example. Research suggested over 2.5 goals (3+ goals expected). The match was 0-0 at halftime. Where are the goals? Back over 2.5 goals at enhanced odds for the 2nd half. 3 goals were scored in this case.

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialized.

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are not the pre-market favorites. The home team is usually galvanized by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).

I back BANKER bets with level stakes, re-calculating the level stakes every 20 bets and bet with that new level stake amount for the next 20 bets.

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.

Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.

Killer stats are in bold italics. MOTD signals any match(es) I would prioritise my focus on if I had to choose just one or two matches in order to shorten the work load. These are the Matches of The Day. 

12:45pm - Norwich v Liverpool - 2 away

Standout Stats

  • 1-1 when these 2 met earlier this season.
  • This is 16th v 9th in the Premiership.

Norwich

  • 2 match home winning streak.
  • No draw in 6 matches.
  • No defeat in 5 at home.
  • Scored in their last 5 at home.
  • 2 consecutive clean sheets at home.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of 10 matches home and away v top 9.
  • Failed to score more than 1 goal in a match v top 13 sides at home.

Liverpool

  • No draw in 6 away.
  • Only 2 wins in 8 matches were 1-0 v Leicester and Sunderland.
  • Inconsistent away from home.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Liverpool are unconvincing in recent matches and away from home.
  • It is interesting to note that Norwich have tended to score and concede v top 9 teams. The value then would be in laying the first goal scorer today.
  • Both sides have tended to avoid draws in very recent form. Lay the very late draw.
  • Do not be surprised if this is 0-0 at halftime.
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2:30pm - FC Koln v Stuttgart - 2.24 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 and 1-3 koln in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 9th v 15th in the Bundesliga.
  • Do remember the one month break.

Koln

  • Only 3 wins in 12 matches.
  • Wins at home v 2nd, 4th and 10th.
  • 22% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.

Stuttgart

  • No win in 5 away.
  • Only 4 wins.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 4.
  • Only 1 away win v 17th.
  • 4-4-2-3-0-3 conceded away v top 10.
  • 88% over 2.5 goals away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Again, a warning that form is taken on faith after a 1 month break.
  • Incongruous over/under 2.5 goals.
  • Pre break, Stuttgart were conceding 3+ goals, if that continues we back Koln if Stuttgart score first.
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2:30pm - Hannover v SV Darmstadt - 2.38 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-2 the last time these 2 met in the league. It took an own goal for Hannover to make it 2-2.
  • This is 17th v 13th in the Bundesliga.
  • Please note that these teams haven't played for over a month so it's killer stats only.

Hannover

  • No draw in 8 at home and 10 overall.
  • Only 2 draws all season includes that 2-2 with Darmstadt.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

Darmstadt

  • No draw in 5 away.
  • Only 4 wins.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • 3 of 4 wins have come away from home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • 8 of 10 goals scored away came in 1st half hour.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Repetition being the mother of skill, please remember all Bundesliga matches are the first after over a month's break so we cannot reasonably make any form conclusions.
  • I would note no draw for Hannover. I would lay the late draw.
  • I would note that Darmstadt won 3 of their 4 away so could be construed as being more comfortable away from home. Lay Hannover if Hannover score first?
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2:30pm - Hoffenheim v Leverkusen - 1.86 away

Standout Stats

  • 3 consecutive Bayer wins in head to heads.
  • This is 18th v 5th in the Bundesliga.
  • Please note these 2 have had a month's break so it's killer stats only.

Hoffenheim

  • Only 2 wins.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded v top 4 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 6 goals conceded last 1/4 hour of home matches.

Leverkusen

  • 2 match winning streak.
  • Scored in their last 8 and last 4 away.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • All away losses v top 7.
  • All wins home and away v 14th and lower.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Remember the one month break. It makes me reluctant to take any cues from the form.
  • On the strength of the standout stats, Leverkusen like playing 14th and lower and are likely to win.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score based on Hoffenheim.
  • Back Bayer Leverkusen if Hoffenheim score first.
  • Bet and go - Lay the 0-0 halftime score - 3.5.
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3pm - Celtic v St Johnstone - 1.26 home

Standout Stats

  • 3-1 and 3-0 to Celtic in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 1st v 4th in the Scottish Premier League.

Celtic

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • 3 match winning streak, 2 at home.
  • No defeat in 4.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • Scored 3 v St Johnstone twice this season.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 17 first half and 16 second half goals at home. Conceded only 1 goal first half at home.
  • Led at halftime in 7 of 11 matches.

St Johnstone

  • No draw in 10 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 4 away.
  • Failed to score last 4 matches.
  • scored and conceded away v top 6.
  • 80% over 2.5 goals away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Back Celtic if St Johnstone score first (and they could, as both teams tend to score in St Johnstone away matches v top 6 teams).
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score. If Celtic can score 3 goals in the last 2 head to heads, then logically there is a chance they can score before halftime.
  • Expect over 2.5 goals.
  • A good chance Celtic can lead at halftime.
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3pm - Malaga v Barcelona - 1.36 away

Standout Stats

  • 0-0, 0-1 Malaga, 1-0 Barcelona in the most recent head to heads.
  • This is 12th v 2nd in the Spanish La Liga.

Malaga

  • 2 match home winning streak.
  • Scored in their last 6.
  • 2 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • Only 3 over 2.5 goals matches in their last 12.
  • All 4 matches played by top 4 sides have been 1-0 or under.
  • v top 8 at home, have conceded 0-1-0-0-0-0.
  • 22% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 5 of 9 home matches.
  • No opponent has led at halftime at home.

Barcelona

  • No defeat in 4 away and in 12 overall.
  • 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Much more vulnerable away where they have their 2 defeats and also 2 draws.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 9 of 12 away goals scored 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • I am going to back 0-0 pre-match. High 0-0 % at halftime for both sides. Malaga have a growing reputation for clean sheets v top 8 teams.
  • I would lay a very late 0-0 given that Barcelona forward line.
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3pm - C Palace v Tottenham - 2.24 away

Standout Stats

  • 2-1 palace and home, 1-0 Tottenham (Spurs) at home last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 8th v 4th in the English Premiership.

Crystal Palace

  • 3 match losing streak.
  • No win in 5.
  • Conceded in their last 3 matches and failed to score last 5 matches. How Palace need Ian Wright Wright Wright.
  • 6 losses and a 0-0 v top 6 sides.
  • 1-0-0-0-0-0-1 scored v top 6!!
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home.

Spurs

  • No defeat in 9 away.
  • Scored in those 9 away.
  • Only 3 defeats this season. 2 of 3 defeats were 1-0.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime in their last 13 matches.
  • Only away loss was v 5th.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 17 v 8 total goals first and second halves away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • What is up with Crystal Palace? If you continue to fail to score, then you have no chance of winning (No Sh** Sherlock!)
  • I must side with Spurs today. Palace have scored 1-0-0-0-0-0-1 in matches v top 6. Palace have 6 losses and a 0-0 v top 6.
  • Spurs have lost only 3 matches all season. Should Palace score first, lay Palace.
  • I would not be surprised with a 0-0 at halftime but would lay a very late 0-0.
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3pm - Leicester v Stoke - 2.12 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-1 Leicester, 0-1 Stoke and 2-2 in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 2nd v 7th in the Premiership.

Leicester

  • No win in 2 at home.
  • No defeat in 6 at home and 4 overall.
  • 2 consecutive home 0-0's.
  • 5 consecutive under 2.5 goals matches.
  • Bar a 2-5 at home v 1st in the league, Leicester have had a tough time of it v 8th and higher with 0-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-0.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home now.

Stoke City

  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 away.
  • Only 1 loss v teams above them in the league was an away loss v Arsenal.
  • Have scored 2 goals v 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th.
  • 27% over 2.5 goals away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away matches Leicester's home HT record.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • At their current rates, these 2 will serve up an under 2.5 goals match. But what do we make of Stoke scoring 2 goals v 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th. Just a coincidence? A game for the in-play stats as Leicester have suddenly lurched from both teams to score/over 2. 5 goals bankers to anything but!
  • Bet and go - Back 0-0 Halftime score - 2.82.
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3pm - Man Utd v Southampton - 1.9 home

Standout Stats

  • The away side has lost the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 5th v 10th in the Premier League.

Man Utd

  • No defeat in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss v 16th.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 10 2nd half and 2 first half goals scored at home.

Southampton

  • 4 match losing streak away.
  • No draw in 7 and in 5 away.
  • Conceded in their last 4 away.
  • Only 1 draw in 12.
  • Last 3 wins came at home.
  • All defeats bar 1 have come v top 11.
  • Losses v 3rd-8th home and away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Don't be surprised with a 0-0 at halftime. But do not expect a full time 0-0.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • Southampton, v 3rd to 8th inclusive simply lose. Is this the stat to go to war with and therefore lay Southampton if Southampton scored first?
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3pm - Watford v Newcastle - 2.12 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 consecutive Watford wins, latterly in the Fa Cup.
  • This is 12th v 18th in the Premiership.

Watford

  • 4 match losing streak.
  • No win in 5 matches.
  • No draw in 9 at home.
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • All wins v bottom 3, albeit away - a good sign for today?
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 8 goals conceded at home in the last 1/2 hour.

Newcastle

  • No draw in 8 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 7 and last 4 away.
  • 2 away wins v 4th and 15th.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • 13 of 21 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • Opponents have led at halftime in half of away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay any late draw whilst these 2 continue to avoid them. Distinct promise from Newcastle albeit at home but they are consistently conceding away.
  • Expect Newcastle to concede again today so lay them if they score first.
  • Watford have beaten the bottom 3 away so logic dictates an element of confidence with home advantage?
  • Bet and go - Lay the draw - 3.6.
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4pm - Paris St-G v Angers - 1.2 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 teams met.
  • This is 1st v 4th in the French Ligue 1.

PSG

  • Unbeaten.
  • 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 7 match home winning run.
  • Scored in their last 9 at home.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Not met top 5 at home.
  • Scored 2+ at home.
  • Led at halftime in all home matches.

Angers

  • 2 match losing streak away.
  • Only 5 defeats. Lost 2 of their last 3 matches.
  • Lost away to top 6.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 9 of 12 goals scored away came 1st half.
  • Interestingly, Angers have led at halftime in 7 of 10 matches away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This could be another tight match as per the previous head to head.
  • Current strong sequences though? PSG likely to score 2 goals at home and PSG lead at halftime.
  • Lay Angers if Angers score first.
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5:30pm - West Ham v Man City - 1.74 away

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have won alternate head to heads in the last 4.
  • This is 6th v 3rd in the Premiership.

West Ham

  • Only 5 losses.
  • 8 match unbeaten run ended with defeat v Newcastle.
  • No defeat in 8 at home.
  • 2 losses at home v 2nd and 15th.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of 10 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.

Manchester City

  • No defeat in 5.
  • Only 1 win in 7 away matches.
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 4 matches.
  • No win away v top 7 sides.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Manchester City flatter to decieve. All wins v 8th and lower. They are having trouble beating current inform sides. For that reason, I will lay Manchester City if City score first.
  • Incongruous halftime stats - will leave the halftime score market alone.
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5:30pm - Mgladbach v Dortmund - 1.76 away

Standout Stats

  • Mgladbach have won the last home head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 2nd in the Bundesliga.
  • Please note these 2 are returning from a month break. You saw how Bayern Munich struggled yesterday.

Mgladbach

  • 3 match home winning run.
  • No defeat in 7 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 12 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets
  • Only failed to score in 5 matches.
  • Beat Bayern 3-1 at home. Lost 4-0 earlier this season to Dortmund.
  • 7 of 9 home matches over 2.5 goals.
  • 82% over 2.5 goals this season.

Dortmund

  • Only 3 losses.
  • Scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime all season.
  • 2 losses in their last 3 away.
  • No draw in 10.
  • 88% over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
  • Back over 2.5 goals - stretch to over 3.5 goals given the superb % for both sides?
  • Both teams to score? I would back 2-2 pre match and hope for some fun and games to enable a trade.
  • Bet and go - lay the 0-0 halftime score at 4.5; Back over 2.5 goals at 1.52.
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6:30pm - Benfica v Arouca - 1.2 home

Standout Stats

  • 4 Benfica wins ended with an Arouca win last match.
  • Benfica tend to score 3+ at home v Arouca.
  • This is 2nd v 9th in the Portugeuse Primera Liga.

Benfica

  • 5 match winning streak, 4 at home.
  • No draw in 9 at home.
  • No defeat in 11 matches.
  • 10 wins and a 0-0 in their last 11 matches.
  • Only home loss v 1st.
  • Scored 3+ goals at home in all bar 2 matches.
  • 89% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 20 of 30 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Arouca

  • Scored and conceded last 4 away.
  • No win in 8 away.
  • Only 3 wins in 16 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away 2-2's.
  • Only 1 away win but 7 draws.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Acknowledge Arouca's 1-0 win earlier this season. Benfica though tend to score 3 goals at home and of course hitting those heights signals a home win and a back of Benfica if Arouca score first. Arouca have had 7 draws away so are unable to keep hold of any leads.
  • With 89% over 2.5 goals at home for Benfica, we can lay the 0-0 halftime score and hope for at least a goal before halftime.
  • Bet and go - back 3-1, 3-0 and 4-0 - 13.5, 8.2 and 4-0 only available with bookies.
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7:45pm - Empoli v AC Milan - 2.54 away

Standout Stats

  • 2-2, 1-1 and 2-1 Milan in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 8th v 6th in Seria A.

Empoli

  • No draw in 7 at home.
  • Only 2 losses in 12 v Juventus and Inter Milan.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 4 wins at home v 7th, 9th, 16th and 18th.
  • No win v top 6 this season.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 7 of 9 at home.

AC Milan

  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 away.
  • Only 2 losses in 13 v Juventus and unexpectedly Bologna.
  • 3 of 4 away losses v top 4 teams.
  • Opponents have scored first in 6 of 10 away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • No wonder the odds are so non-committal. Both sides are losing infrequently. A tough match to call featuring 2 very solid sides. The in-play stats will reveal all. I am chickening out of a commitment here.
  • Both teams to score though does look like an obvious starter.

9:05pm - Rayo Vallecano v Celta Vigo - 2.54 away

Standout Stats

  • Celta won the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 19th v 5th in La liga and a surprise to see Celta's inflated match odds given the changing fortunes this season.

Rayo Vallecano

  • No win in 9 matches and in 4 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 11 matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in their last 8 matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in their last 4 at home.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • All defeats home and away v top 9 sides.
  • 70% over 2.5 goals.
  • Only 2 0-0'sat halftime at home.

Celta Vigo

  • 3 defeats in their last 4 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 draw in 13 matches.
  • All wins home and away v 17th and lower.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • There is usually a story behind the odds. Seeing 5th in the league Celta at 2.54 odds, there must be a reason. On form, Celta are clear favourites today. It may be the head to heads that are the leveler for the market makers.
  • If Rayo continue to concede 2+ goals as has happened recently, then we must back Celta Vigo if Rayo score first.
  • Given the tendency towards goals, lay the 0-0 halftime score, especially as all Celta away goals have seen a goal before halftime.
  • Bet and go - lay the 0-0 halftime score - 3.35.