Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

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GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

14:30

Freiburg v Werder Bremen - 2.25 Freiburg

  • 2-1 Werder Bremen and 2-2 in the last 2 head to heads.

Freiburg - 7th

  • Only 3 wins in 12 matches.
  • 3-1 win and 1-1 last 2 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in 10 matches.
  • No draw in 8 at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home, none at fulltime.
  • Losses at home 0-2 v 16th and 18th.
  • 2-2 earlier this season.
  • In 7 of 9 matches v 6th and lower at home, Freiburg scored just a single goal.
  • 11 of 16 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 10 of 14 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Werder Bremen - 17th

  • Only 4 wins all season.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Conceded last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Only 1 win home and away v the top 11.
  • Conceded 2+ goals away v the top 9.

Conclusions

  • I would expect a goal at halftime and ordinarily would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • The market is giving a really poor Werder Bremen a chance here but they are very untrustworthy at the moment and are conceding 2+ goals v the top 9.
  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.

Mgladbach v Leverkusen - 2.35 Mgladbach

  • Mgladbach have won the last 3 league head to heads.

Mgladbach - 3rd

  • Only 2 losses in 11 matches.
  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • Scored and conceded last 8 matches.
  • Scored in their last 12 home matches.
  • Only home losses v 2nd and 4th. 1-2 win v Leverkusen earlier this season.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 11 of 16 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Leverkusen - 5th

  • 8 wins, a loss and a draw last 10 matches.
  • 4-3-2-1-4-4 goals scored recently.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 9 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 away matches.
  • Beat 1st and 6th away.Lost to 2nd away and 1-1 v 4th away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any 2nd half 0-0.
  • Leverkusen have been very sprightly and carried on their goal scoring with 4 v Werder Bremen.
  • I am not sure of the veracity of home form v away form but Leverkusen drop in form away, Mgladbach are solid at home, only losing v 2nd and 4th.
  • Both teams may score today.
  • It is a tough match to pick a winner. 2.35 suggests as much.

Paderborn v Hoffenheim - 2.1 Hoffenheim

  • 3-0 the Hoff in the most recent head to head in 2019.

Paderborn - 18th

  • 5 losses and 2 draws in the last 7 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home losses.
  • Scored and conceded last 7 at home.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 3-0 loss to Hoffenheim earlier this season.
  • Not beaten a top 11 side at home. 2+ goals conceded in those matches.

Hoffenheim - 9th

  • No win in 6 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away 1-1 draws.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 7 matches.
  • 6 1-0 defeats at halftime away.
  • 4 wins and a 1-0 loss away v 10th and lower.
  • 13 of 16 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Hoffenheim realistically should eye the win here. 4 wins v 10th and lower away. Paderborn not beaten a top 11 side, conceding 2+ goals in those matches.
  • Take a chance and lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market but do remember the momentum was broken by 2 months and the question is whether home advantage is maintained with an empty stadium?

Wolfsburg v Dortmund - 1.73 Dortmund

  • 8 wins and a draw for Dortmund in the last 9 matches.

Wolfsburg - 6th

  • Unbeaten in 7 matches. 1-2 away win v Augsburg in the return match.
  • Draw, Win, Draw at home.
  • 2 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home is 38% of matches.
  • Lost to 1st and 2nd away without scoring.
  • Beat 3rd 2-1 at home and 4th 0-0.

Dortmund - 2nd

  • 8 wins and a 4-3 loss last 9 matches.
  • 5-5-5-3-4-2-1-2-4 goals scored recently.
  • 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Scored last 15 matches and last 7 away.
  • 2+ goals scored last 4 away.
  • Only 1 win away v the top 9.
  • 63+% goals scored and conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Dortmund are clearly worse away from home, particularly v the top 9, but the question remains whether home and away advantage is a 'thing' without a crowd.
  • Both sides are in great form too recently. If Dortmund continue their scoring run of 3-5 goals, that could be enough.

17:30 - Bayern Munich v Frankfurt - 1.14 Bayern Munich

  • 2019 head to heads 5-1 Bayern win and 5-1 Frankfurt win. Interesting...

Bayern Munich - 1st

  • 11 wins and a 0-0 in the last 12 matches.
  • 5 wins and a draw last 6 matches at home.
  • 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 2+ goals scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • 100% wins at home v 12th and lower.
  • 26 of 38 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Frankfurt - 13th

  • 4 consecutive losses.
  • 2 consecutive 4-0 away defeats.
  • Conceded in their last 12 away matches.
  • 100% defeats away v the top 8. 4-4-2-4 goals conceded away v the top 5.
  • 9 of 11 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • The odds suggest Frank will be on the end of a 3/4+ goal mauling today.
  • In the expectation for goals, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • What chance a 3rd consecutive 4 - defeat?

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA 2

12:00 - Darmstadt v St Pauli - 2.37 Darmstadt

  • 5 Darmstadt wins and a St Pauli win in the last 6 head to heads.

Darmstadt - 7th

  • Only 1 loss in 11 matches came last match.
  • Draw, Draw, Draw, Win, Win, Draw at home.
  • No defeat in 6 at home.
  • 3 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 loss came at home came v 1st.
  • 0-1 win v St Pauli earlier this season.

St Pauli - 9th

  • Unbeaten in 5 matches.
  • 2-3-2-1 goals scored last 4 matches.
  • 100% defeats v 3rd-10th away.
  • Scored 2 goals away only once v 13th and higher.
  • 10 of 13 goals scored away came 1st half.

Conclusions

  • Both sides are in good form but St Pauli's Achilles Heel is their 100% losses v 3rd-10th away from home. They play 7th today.
  • That would lead me towards Darmstadt.
  • With St Pauli scoring 2 goals only once v 13th and higher, it may suggest laying St Pauli if they score first but cover the 0-1 insurance.

12:00 - Osnabruck v Hannover - 2.4 Hannover

  • Only one recent head to head, 2019 was a 0-0.

Osnabruck - 13th

  • No win in 9 matches.
  • 3 losses and a draw last 4 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 9 matches.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 0-0 last head to head.
  • 5 wins at home v 2nd, 3rd, 7th, 17th, 18th.

Hannover - 11th

  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • No draw in 7 away matches.
  • Only 1 away draw.
  • Lost 2-1 away to 12th, 3 wins and a draw v 15th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Mixed form for me. An argument for Osnabruck at home v 2nd, 3rd and 7th catches the high but 3 losses and a draw last 4 at home.
  • Hannover lost 2-1 away v 12th but are strong v 15th and lower. Where does 13th in the league fit in? So, a bit unclear for me.

12:00 - Sandhausen v Jahn Regensburg - 2.25 Sandhausen

  • 2-1 Jahn, 2-2 Sandhausen, 2-2, Jahn, 1-0 Jahn in the last 4 head to heads.

Sandhausen - 14th

  • Only 3 wins since 13th September 2019.
  • 2-1-1-2-4-2-3 goals conceded recently.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Conceded last 15 matches and last 7 at home.
  • No win in 7 and in 5 at home.
  • Only 3 home losses despite the dire recent form. 1-0 loss to Jahn last time these 2 met this season.
  • 3-2-1-2-2-1-0-3 goals scored at home v 5th-15th.

Jahn Regensburg - 10th

  • Only 1 win in 7 matches.
  • 5 losses and a win last 6 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 10 away matches.
  • No draw in 6 away.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats.
  • v 7th-16th home and away, Jahn are unbeaten.
  • 16 of 25 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • There is an argument for both sides. Why? A really poor recent form for Sandhausen is shadowed by the 3-2-1-2-2-1-0-3 goals scored at home v 5th-15th. That is consistency, as are the only 3 losses at home. And in Jahn, we have a side unbeaten home and away v 7th-16th this season. That is some consistency too.
  • Both sides have poor recent form too which compounds my inability to pick one side over the other.

BELARUS PREMIER LEAGUE

14:30 - Slutsk v Ruh Brest - 2.3 Slutsk

  • No recent head to heads.

Slutsk - 4th

  • Only 3 defeats but 2 consecutive defeats.
  • Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss at home.
  • No clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 2 matches this season.
  • 5 consecutive over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Beat 5th and 6th away - surely that is a good sign v 7th at home?
  • Not scored that 2nd goal in 3 home matches v the top 8.

Ruh Brest - 7th

  • Only 2 losses were 1-0.
  • Unbeaten in 6 matches but 4 draws, 3 of which were 0-0.
  • 1-0-0-0-1-0-1-4-0- goals scored.
  • Where did those 4 goals suddenly come from?
  • All 2 defeats have come v the current top 3.

Conclusions

  • Ruh Brest clearly have a 'Tony Pulis patent-pending' plan to win 1-0. Their defeats have only been 1-0 which suggests that if the Slutsk score first, lay them and cover the 1-0. Ruh Brest's 2 defeats came v the top 3. Will that poor run extend to 4th in the league, a home side beating 5th and 6th away and playing 7th today?

16:30 - Isloch v Energetik - 2.5 Isloch

  • 3 Isloch wins and a 0-0 last 4 head to heads.

Isloch - 6th

  • No draw.
  • 3 of 4 losses came away from home.
  • 5 wins and a 2-3 in 6 matches at home.
  • 2+ goals scored in the last 4 home matches.
  • 3 consecutive home wins.
  • 4 losses came v the current top 9.
  • All wins this season came at home v 10th and lower.

Energetik - 3rd

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • 2 of 3 losses came away.
  • Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Win away from home.
  • No draw.
  • Beat 4th and 7th away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw. Both sides are currently avoiding draws.
  • Strong home form for Isloch needs a context, all wins v 10th and lower and they play 3rd today so that exciting form will be tested v a top 3 side.

18:30 - Vitebsk v Dinamo Minsk - 1.85 Dinamo Minsk

  • Minsk, Vitebsk, Draw last 3 head to heads. That clears that up then.......................not.

Vitebsk - 10th

  • All 3 wins were 1-0.
  • Win, Win, Loss, Draw at home. 1-0-1-1-1-0-2-0-1 goals scored. Scored 2 goals only once and still lost.
  • Only 1 over 2.5 goals match.

Dinamo Minsk - 9th

  • No draw.
  • Loss, Loss, Win, loss away from home.
  • 2-0-3-1 goals scored away despite not the best away form in the world.
  • Sole away win v 2nd bottom.

Conclusions

  • If Vitebsk struggle for that 2nd goal, then they are obviously gettable if scoring first.
  • Dinamo Minsk do have goals in them away from home and, despite the losses, that may stand them in good stead.

SOUTH KOREAN K LEAGUE 1

08:30 - Gangwon v Seongnam - 1.95 Gangwon

  • Gangwon, Gangwon, Seongnam in the last 3 head to heads.
  • Only 2 matches into the season. Gangwon won 3-1 at home, lost 2-0 away.
  • Seongnam have yet to concede in a 0-2 win and 0-0 draw.
  • Little else to work with.

08:30 - Suwon Bluewings v Incheon - 1.73 Suwon

  • 0-1 Incheon and 1-1 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Suwon lost their 2 matches this season albeit the last loss saw them score 2 goals.
  • 2 0-0 draws for Incheon.
  • I would look for that 0-0 sequence to end.

11:00 - Sangju v Gwangju - 2.4 Sangju

  • These 2 last met in 2017 so one, or both, are newly promoted.
  • Both sides have lost their openers. Sangju did score 2 goals in defeat last match.
  • Gwangju are yet to score. No wonder this is 2.4 the favourite.

CZECH FIRST LEAGUE

17:00 - Teplice v Liberec - 2.6 Liberec

  • 2-2, 1-0 Teplice, 1-1, 2-0 Liberic home cup in recent head to heads.

Teplice - 12th

  • Only 1 win in 11 (last played 8th March).
  • 6 0-0's at halftime at home, only 2 0-0's at fulltime.
  • Only 1 home win v the top 10.
  • 1-1 last time these 2 met in the league.
  • Scored 2 goals only once at home v the top 13.
  • 9 of 11 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 10 of 15 goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Slovan Liberec - 7th

  • 4 consecutive wins prior to 9th March.
  • 3-2-3-4 goals scored.
  • 3 clean sheets last 4 matches.
  • No draw in 10 matches.
  • Sporadic away form. Losses v 1st, 2nd, 6th, 10th, 11th,14th.
  • 3/4 wins away required Liberec to score 2 goals at least.
  • 9 of 13 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Teplice have poor form. Only 1 home win v top 10 and they play 7th today but can we trust Slovan Liberec? Really sporadic form losing to teams all throughout the league. Drum roll please.......hence 2.6 the favourite!
  • You might want to lay any 2nd half 0-0 and look to lay the late draw given Slovan Liberec have not had a win in 10 matches.

HUNGARIAN MAGYAR KUPA

17:00 - Mezokovesd v Fehervar - 2.3 Fehervar

  • 1-0 Fehervar, 0-0, 2-1 Fehervar in the last 3 head to heads.
  • I won't research this league. 2 2.3 favourites puts me off. A league not covered at either soccerstats.com or fcstats.com puts me off.

19:05 - MTK Budapest v Honved - 2.35 Honved


HUNGARIAN NB 1

14:55 - Ferencvaros v Debrecen - 1.4 Ferencvaros

  • 3 consecutive Ferencvaros wins in head to heads.

Ferencvaros - 1st

  • Only 2 losses this season.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No defeat in 12 at home.
  • 5 consecutive home clean sheets.
  • 1-6 win v Debrecen earlier this season.

Debrecen - 8th

  • 4 losses in 5 matches.
  • Not beaten the top 3 away.
  • Beat 5th and 10th away.

Conclusions

  • We expect the home win on what we know. The 1-6 win was a standout piece of form. Ferencvaros have kept 5 clean sheets and if that form continues after the break, it will be a comfortable afternoon for the home side.