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14:30 - Hertha Berlin v Ingolstadt - 2.14 Hertha

  • 3 consecutive Hertha wins in the German Bundesliga head to heads.

Hertha Berlin 100% stats

  • No home draws.
  • All 2-0 wins v bottom 3 sides  (Ingolstadt are bottom 3).
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.
  • Not conceded in both halves at home.

Hertha Berlin other stats

  • 4 losses in 5 matches.
  • In all home wins, scored 2 goals and that's 7 wins in 8 home matches.

Ingolstadt 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • All defeats came v teams above them in the league.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Ingolstadt other stats

  • Only 3 draws were score draws.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 8 away matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in 7 of 8 matches played v top 8 teams (Hertha are 6th).

Conclusions

  • I fancy Hertha here today to get 2 goals as Ingolstadt simply keep conceding that amount v top 7 teams.
  • Lay Ingolstadt if Ingolstadt score first.
  • Do not expect a 0-0.

14:30 - FC Koln v Wolfsburg - 2.2 Koln

FC Koln 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Not conceded 2 goals at home.
  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.
  • Not conceded in both halves at home.
  • No opponent has led at halftime at home.

FC Koln other stats

  • 4 draws and a win last 5 matches at home.
  • 88% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • 9 of 13 goals scored at home came 1st half.

Wolfsburg 100% stats

  • No 1-0 or 0-1 away.

Wolfsburg other stats

  • 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • Between 5th-13th - 3 matches played, a 0-0 and 3 wins. Koln are 7th.

Conclusions

  • Will Koln remain unbeaten at home. I note Wolfsburg are unbeaten when playing 5th-13th away from home.
  • Lay Wolfsburg if Wolfs score first as Koln are yet to concede 2 goals at home.

14:30 - Hoffenheim v Mainz - 1.9 Hoff

  • The famous 4-4 last time these 2 met nailed me a 50/1 return and a lot of you too I hope.

Hoffenheim 100% stats

  • Undefeated at home.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.

Hoffenheim other stats

  • Lost their unbeaten run last match when down to 10 men.
  • 3 score draws in 4 home matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home.

Mainz 100% stats

  • All defeats away v top 6 teams - Hoff are 5th.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Mainz other stats

  • 5 consecutive away defeats.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.

Conclusions

  • Hoffenheim could return to being unbeaten today. Note Mainz have lost away to all top 6 teams. Remember Hoff lost with 10 men.
  • If Mainz score first and early, lay them in the halftime market.
  • Hoff are likely to score - failing to score in only 2 matches.

14:30 - Bayern Munich v Schalke - 1.24 Bayern

  • Bayern have won the last 3 head to heads scoring 2 goals at least.

Bayern Munich 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • All wins home and away v 8th and lower (Schalke are 11th).
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.

Bayern other stats

  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 7 consecutive wins.

Schalke 100% stats

  • Not won a match v top 9 teams.
  • Not scored 2 goals away.
  • Not led at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Bayern could lead at halftime.
  • Expect 2 goals at least.
  • If Schalke score, they are unlikely to score a 2nd (remember Pescara midweek). Back Bayern/ correct scores or simply lay Schalke dependent on your risk profile.

14:30 - Mgladbach v Freiburg - 1.81 Mgladbach

Mgladbach 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 8 side this season (Freiburg are 8th).
  • Not lost to nil at home.
  • No home match with a total of 4 goals.

Mgladbach other stats

  • Only 1 win in 6 home matches, a 1-0.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • 6 of 7 home goals conceded 2nd half.
  • Only 5 wins.

Freiburg 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Freiburg other stats

  • Scored and conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 7 away matches.
  • 6 wins and a loss home and away v teams 12th and lower (Mgladbach are 13th).

Conclusions

  • Both teams could score today - look at Freiburg's record! Certainly we expect 2 goals in a Freiburg away match at least.
  • It looks as if Mgladbach have trouble beating top teams and Freiburg tend to beat lower third teams so expect Freiburg, on form, not to lose.

15:00 - Newcastle v Derby - 1.82 Newcastle

  • 2 top 10 teams in the English Championship.

Newcastle 100% stats

  • No 0-0's.

Newcastle other stats

  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 at home.
  • Losses at home to 5th and 6th suggests possible struggles v 7th?

Derby County 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • Not beaten a top 10 team away.

Derby County other stats

  • Only 2 losses in 14 matches.

Conclusions

  • I don't think I'll be researching the Championship today. It always seems so tough to call. Here Newcastle have struggled v teams near Derby, but Derby have not beaten a top 10 team away.
  • They conceded only 1 goal away v 3rd, 4th and 5th.
  • It could be a tight match. No strong angles for me.

15:00 - Rangers v Ross Co - 1.34 Rangers

  • 1-1 the last time these 2 met in the Scottish Premier League.

Rangers 100% stats

  • No over 3.5 goals matches at home.
  • No match with exactly 4 goals.

Rangers other stats

  • Only 1 home loss v Celtic.
  • 0-0 and 1-1 v Ross this season.

Ross County 100% stats

  • Not won to nil away.
  • No away match with exactly 3 goals.

Ross County other stats

  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • 4 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Not beaten a top 4 team away - failed to score in those matches.
  • Only 2 away wins.

Conclusions

  • Rangers unlikely to lose today. Take a chance and lay the late draw and hope this draw sequence with Ross ends today.
  • Ross have been conceding heavily and failed to score away v top 4 teams so do expect a Rangers home win.

15:00 - Watford v Burnley - 2.22 Watford

  • 2-0 Burnley win earlier this season but them Burnley at home would expect the win.

Watford 100% stats

  • No draw v top 10 teams.

Watford other stats

  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded at home v top 7 and play 9th today.
  • Beat Man Utd and Everton at home.

Burnley 100% stats

  • No away win.
  • Never scored 2 goals away.
  • Not led at halftime away.

Burnley other stats

  • 3 consecutive 2-1 away defeats.
  • Only played 1 of the bottom 8 sides away (where Watford reside) - not sure how Burnley will play v the lesser sides.

Conclusions

  • Burnley are Jekyll and Hyde. I backed them 1-0 at 7.00 mid week because they were at home but would I do that away?
  • Bit of an unknown as Burnley have not met too many lower 1/3rd sides away.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • Lay Burnley on form if Burnley score first given they are yet to score 2 goals away and Watford have scored and conceded v the top 7 teams.

15:00 - C Palace v Sunderland - 1.68 Palace

  • Big Sam kept a clean sheet mid week. Is his influence finally seeping through to Crystal Palace? Oh and Sunderland kept Tottenham from scoring despite relentless pressure.

Palace 100% stats

  • Both teams have scored 2 goals in matches v bottom 2 sides (where Sunderland reside).
  • No 0-0.
  • No home match with exactly 4 goals.

Palace other stats

  • Only 1 win in 9 was last match care of a clean sheet.
  • 4 consecutive home defeats.
  • No draw in 9 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches v bottom 6.
  • 7 of 8 home defeats by one goal only.

Sunderland 100% stats

  • Conceded in every away match.
  • No halftime lead away.
  • Not met bottom 3 sides away.

Sunderland other stats

  • No draw in 9 away matches.
  • 5 of 6 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Not a match which greatly appeals. Interesting to see a team as poor as Palace at such short odds.
  • Palace are yet to have a 0-0 and that paid off midweek with 0-0 halftime, 0-2 fulltime so that is an angle.
  • This could be the battle of the defences or an all-out 2 goals each game. Incongruity suggests I leave this one to the in-play stats.

15:00 - West Brom v Stoke - 2.36 Stoke

  • West Brom have tended not to lose tight head to heads.
  • Two top 10 teams.

West Brom 100% stats

  • Unbeaten v teams below them in the league at home - (Stoke are 10th).
  • No 1-0 or 0-1 at home.

West Brom other stats

  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 7 at home.
  • 2-4 goals scored in all bar 1 match at home v teams below them in the league.

Stoke City 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • No win away v top 7 - West Brom are 8th.

Stoke City other stats

  • Scored and conceded last 4 away.
  • No win home and away v top 8 teams.

Conclusions

  • It does look clear. West Brom are unbeaten v teams below them. Stoke cannot beat top 7.
  • As with mid week, both teams could score and West Brom not lose (4 clean sheets for a Pulis side! - but scoring 2-4 goals regularly at home!).
  • Lay Stoke therefore if Stoke score first.

15:00 - Hull v Liverpool - 1.48 Liverpool

  • Hull will gain great confidence from the 0-0 mid week at Man Utd.

Hull 100% stats

  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Not beaten top 11 home or away.

Hull other stats

  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score last 2 matches v Man Utd and Chelsea.
  • 3-0-2-3 goals scored in recent home matches.
  • Conceded last 11 at home.
  • All defeat v top 5.
  • 15 of 21 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Liverpool 100% stats

  • Scored 2 goals at least in all matches home and away v bottom 8 sides.

Liverpool other stats

  • Only 3 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Scored in their last 11 matches.

Conclusions

  • It seems that Hull lose to top 5 teams. If that continues today, that's our angle. Liverpool may concede and Hull have scored 3-0-2-3 goals recently at home but note Hull failed to score 2 consecutive matches v top 6 teams.
  • Liverpool are likely to score at some point if Hull maintain a 0-0 til halftime.

15:00 - Southampton v West Ham - 1.83 Southampton

Southampton 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at home v 10th and lower.

Southampton other stats

  • 5 defeats in 6 matches.
  • Beat West Ham 0-3 away.

West Ham 100% stats

  • No 0-0.

West Ham other stats

  • Only 6 clean sheets.
  • No draw in 8 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • All wins bar 1 all season v teams 14th and lower (Southampton are 12th).

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0. Saints are on a poor run and West Ham tend to beat teams 14th and lower exclusively so not a match which greatly appeals.

15:00 - Everton v Bournemouth - 1.79 Everton

  • Bournemouth won the last head to head.

Everton 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.
  • Not conceded in both halves at home.

Everton other stats

  • Unbeaten in 6.
  • 3 clean sheets last 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • 8 goals scored home last 15 mins.

Bournemouth 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.

Bournemouth other stats

  • In 10 of the last 11 matches, at least one team has scored 2 goals.
  • No draw in 7 away.
  • 8 of 11 goals scored away came first half.

Conclusions

  • Everton are great for laying 0-0 2nd half. We keep seeing an eventual goal.
  • Will we see 2 goals again in a Bournemouth match. Take a chance if 1-0/0-1 or 1-1 late on.
  • Bournemouth tend to score first half away so lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

15:00 - Aberdeen v Partick - 1.5 Aberdeen

Aberdeen 100% stats

  • Not conceded in both halves at home.

Aberdeen other stats

  • Only lost at home to 1st in the league.
  • 4 wins in their last 5 matches, the loss was v Celtic.

Partick 100% stats

  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Partick other stats

  • Failed to score last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • 9 of 12 goals scored away came 2nd half.
  • 10 of 13 goals scored away came 1st half.
  • 3 consecutive losses.

Conclusions

  • Aberdeen could score 2 goals today and should really be winning. Partick have had 2 0-0's in their last 3 matches.
  • Lay Partick if Partick score first.

15:15 - Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao - 1.25 Barcelona

Barcelona 100% stats

  • Not lost to nil.

Barcelona other stats

  • Failed to score only once.
  • No defeat in 13 matches.
  • 1-2-1-1-1-1 goals scored home and away v top 7 teams (where Bilbao are).
  • 9 goals scored at home directly after halftime.

Ath Bilbao 100% stats

  • Not played 2nd to 8th away but no away win v top 14 teams played to date.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Ath Bilbao other stats

  • No win in 6 away matches.

Conclusions

  • Barcelona tend to get the best of Ath Bilbao consistently.
  • Do note that poor scoring record v top 7 for Barcelona this season. If they continue to only score 1 goal, then they must be layed if a late 1-0.
  • If 0-0 at halftime or if Barcelona have not scored by halftime, they tend to score very quickly 2nd half.

16:00 - Monaco v  Nice - 1.64 Monaco

  • Nice won 4-0 in the most recent French Ligue 1 encounter between these 2. The market has not taken this into account today.
  • This is 1st and 2nd in the league. You'd have thought the market would be tighter?

Monaco 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • 100% over 2.5 goals at home.

Monaco other stats

  • Failed to score only once in that loss to Nice.
  • Only 4 under 2.5 goals matches this season.
  • No draw in 10 at home.
  • Scored in their last 16 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss.
  • Scored 2+ goals in all other home matches.
  • 25 of 38 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Nice 100% stats

  • Unbeaten home and away v top 17 teams.

Nice other stats

  • Lost only once.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No defeat in 10 matches.
  • In 8 of 10 away matches, Nice have only managed a maximum of one goal in a match.

Conclusions

  • The market thinks Monaco will continue there amazing scoring record at home against 2nd in the league. Do you agree? Form wise expect 2 goals from Monaco.
  • 3 goals at least again at home for Monaco? It is in stark contrast to the poor scoring of Nice away.
  • Both teams to score today and Monaco to score 2 goals at least?

17:30 - Atletico Madrid v Leganes - 1.29 Atl Madrid

  • Points needed by both sides for different reasons. League title looks out of Madrid's grasp. Leganes are just above the relegation zone.

Atl Madrid 100% stats

  • Unbeaten home and away v teams 7th and lower.
  • All wins at home v 13th and lower.

Atl Madrid other stats

  • 6 clean sheets in 8 matches but a 0-0 last match.

Leganes 100% stats

  • Not led at halftime away.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.
  • No away 0-0.

Leganes other stats

  • Only 4 wins.
  • 4-3-3-1-2-2 goals conceded in recent away matches.
  • 7 of 8 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Atl Madrid should remain unbeaten and repair that 0-0 last match. Expect at least one goal but if hitting stride, 2-4 goals from Madrid today.
  • Leganes have not led at halftime away. lay them in the halftime market if they lead early first half.
  • Atl Madrid should be the first goalscorer though if there is to be a first half goal.

17:30 - Tottenham v Middlesbrough - 1.27 Tottenham

Tottenham 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 7th and lower (Boro are 15th).
  • Have been able to equalise at home when needed to.

Tottenham other stats

  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • 2 consecutive draws.
  • 6 consecutive home wins.
  • All wins bar a draw at home.

Middlesbrough 100% stats

  • Not beaten a top 13 team.
  • Failed to score 2 goals in a game v top 12 sides home and away.
  • No over 4.5 goals matches away.

Middlesbrough other stats

  • Only 4 wins.
  • No win in 10 away matches.
  • Only 1 win away.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • 1-1 and 0-0 for Boro away v Man City and Arsenal. Can Boro produce another defensive powerhouse performance v a top 5 side?
  • Boro are unlikely to score 2 goals today so if scoring first, there is a hope that Tottenham can equalise despite the 0-0 mid week.
  • Still tottenham have failed to score in only 3 matches so note that.
  • We may see a 0-0 at halftime and if so I would keep faith in Tottenham scoring.

17:30 - Dortmund v RB Leipzig - 1.88 Dortmund

  • This could be a toughie in the German Bundesliga. Leipzig are having a superb season.

Dortmund 100% stats

  • Unbeaten at home.
  • Have managed to equalise in 100% of matches they have needed to at home.

Dortmund other stats

  • Failed to score in only 3 matches and kept 3 clean sheets only.
  • 4 scored draws in 5 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 7 matches.

Leipzig 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • Not conceded in both halves all season.

Leipzig other stats

  • Only 2 losses this season came last 2 away matches.
  • Those were the only 2 matches where they failed to score.
  • Scored and conceded away v 5th-9th inclusive. Dortmund are 4th.
  • 12 of 17 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • With top 4 teams there is always a chance that the teams cancel each other out and form study is redundant.
  • I would lay any late 0-0.
  • Dortmund have a very strong scoring and conceding trend and that might end Leipzig's losing without scoring away sequence.
  • I am afraid these kinds of matches are tough to foretell. In-play stats will tell us with of these top 4 teams has the best of it on the day.

18:45 - AZ Alkmaar v PSV - 1.87 PSV

  • 6 consecutive PSV wins in head to heads in the Dutch Eredivisie.

AZ Alkmaar 100% stats

  • No 0-0.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.

AZ other stats

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 2-2's v 2nd, 4th, 7th and 18th at home.

PSV 100% stats

  • Undefeated away from home.

PSV other stats

  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Unbeaten in 14 matches.
  • Both teams scored in 3 aways v top 6, where AZ reside.

Conclusions

  • I put forward 2-2 as a trading angle last time AZ played and it did not materialise. I will do so again today given PSV's 1-1 and 1-2 scorelines v top 5 away and AZ's 2-2 draws at home.
  • I do not expect AZ to win today so that is the main angle.
  • I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • I would lay AZ if they score first or even lead 2-0.

19:00 - Dijon v Paris St-G - 1.36 PSG

Dijon 100% stats

  • Scored and conceded in home matches v top 4 teams.
  • Scored in all home matches v top 10 teams.
  • No home match exactly 4 goals.

Dijon other stats

  • 7 goals scored at home last 15 mins of home matches.

PSG 100% stats

  • No away draw.

PSG other stats

  • 3 clean sheets last 4 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • All wins bar 1 match home and away v teams 11th and lower (Dijon are 13th).

Conclusions

  • Dijon could score today but PSG have a solid look when playing bottom half teams home and away.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • PSG have failed to score only 3 times so note that if 0-0 or if they are losing.

19:45 - Bologna v Napoli - 1.52 Napoli

  • 3-4-5-6-4 total goals in recent head to heads sees Napoli usually not lose.

Bologna 100% stats

  • Not beaten any top 7 side (Napoli are 3rd in Italian Seria A).
  • No over 4.5 goals matches at home.

Bologna other stats

  • Only 6 clean sheets but 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.

Napoli 100% stats

  • Unbeaten home and away v 7th and lower.
  • Not conceded in both halves away.
  • No away match with 2 goals exactly.

Napoli other stats

  • Scored and conceded last 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No defeat in 11 matches.
  • Scored last 15 matches.
  • 7 goals scored directly after halftime away.

Conclusions

  • We should see goals today and Napoli really should win scoring 2+ goals. Bologna have been keeping clean sheets of late so may put up some resistance.
  • If Bologna score first, lay Bologna.

19:45 - Valencia v Eibar - 1.96 Valencia

  • Eibar won 1-0 last head to head in the Spanish la Liga.

Valencia 100% stats

  • Scored in all home matches.
  • No draw v top 13 teams where Eibar reside (10th).
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0.

Valencia other stats

  • 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Scored 2 goals in 5 of 6 goals at home v teams above them in the league.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in 9/11 matches home and away v top 11 teams.

Eibar 100% stats

  • No away 0-0.
  • All away wins v bottom 3 sides.
  • Conceded all aways.

Eibar other stats

  • Only 4 clean sheets and failed to score only 4 times.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of 9 aways.

Conclusions

  • Strong Both teams to score angles for both teams. I will back 2-2 on that basis and hope Valencia score 2 goals yet again and concede too.
  • I expect Valencia not to lose given Eibar's wins away are v the bottom sides.