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6pm – Fiorentina v AC Milan  – 1.82 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • AC Milan have not beaten any team above them in the league so Fiorentina are favoured today despite the head to heads saying the away team tends not to lose
  • Lay AC Milan if they score first today.
  • Both teams to score has an above average chance today.
  • Fiorentina have the better recent form and with AC Milan having troubles away, I will be on Fior’s side.
COMMENT: A 0-0 at halftime and Milan scored first. In line with my comments, I layed them and was pleased to see Fiorentina win 2-1 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6pm – Torino v Lazio  – 2.54 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • The odds suggest that the market cannot split these 2 teams. It is tough to call as Torino are undefeated in 6 at home, and are unbeaten at home v teams above them in the league. They have only 1 loss in 13 so recent form is strong.
  • With Lazio, they have scored 2 goals recently away to Inter Milan and Roma. If Lazio go 0-2 up today, I will lay them as they have thrown away 0-2 leads away.
  • I would not be surprised if this was 0-0 at halftime and would lay the 0-0 in the 2nd half.
COMMENT : 0-0 at halftime and as I said above no surprise. The goals came in the 71st minute+ . Lazio went 0-2 up by the 78th minute and this time they did not concede. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7pm – FC Oss v Waalwijk  – 1.39 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Motivation v lack of motivation today I feel. Oss still have something to play for. You feel Waalwijk will win ALL future matches to have a chance of staying up, but a win today will still see them bottom.
  • Oss are likely to score  so lay Waawlijk should they score the opener.
  • Given Waalwijk tend to concede  2+ goals away, take a chance on a halftime goal by laying the 0-0 halftime score.
COMMENT :  Laying the 0-0 halftime score came in here with a 10th minute goal ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7pm – Jong Ajax v Fortuna Sittard  – 1.41 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Fortuna sittard are statistically unlikely to win today, only 1 win v 15th and higher suggests struggles, as does failing to score in 6 of their last 8 matches.
  • If Jong Ajax click, they could score 3 goals.  Back Ajax if Sittard score first.
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7pm – NEC Nijmegen v Volendam  – 1.47 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams to score stands out here.And I would lay the team leading 2-0. I think Volendam are vulnerable to the top teams away but tend to score, hence laying the team 2-0 up.
  • In the expectation of goals, lay the 0-0 halftime score. It’s normally good for NEC.
COMMENT : 4 goals by halftime. NEC were on fire. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7pm – Sparta Rotterdam v Achilles 29  – 1.38 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • No draw in 8 at home for Sparta suggests home win or away win and you know which way the market is leaning!
  • Achilles’ profile is not good away -they have not beaten any top 10 side away so I would lay Achilles if they score first today.
COMMENT : No team scored here so no lay of Achilles available.  I did lay the 0-0 very late on , as this is the Dutch Eredivisie. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8pm – Roma v Sampdoria  – 1.69 home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Roma must end this draw sequence if they are to attempt to challenge Juventus at the top of the league.
  • I am going to lay the late draw with Roma until they end this run of draws. Needs must for them, leaking points.
  • If Sampdoria score first, then, lay them. Roma have not lost in 13 at home.
COMMENT : 0-0 at halftime . So laying the 0-0 2nd half was a success.  The draw sequence did end at last but not in the way we expected. 0-2 to Sampdoria and a red card to Roma ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8pm – Swansea v Liverpool  – 2.04 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Liverpool have the best of it in head to heads but do struggle when visiting Swansea.
  • In Swansea’s favour, they have beaten Arsenal and Man Utd 2-1 at home which is impressive. Liverpool for their part have kept 5 consecutive clean sheets away from home.
  • Both teams tend to score first in only 1/2 of their home/away matches.  I would personally favour Liverpool today and given they have a 50/50 chance of conceding first, I’d lay Swansea if they scored first.
COMMENT : Liverpool scored first in the 2nd half - another 2nd half 0-0 lay - and kept another clean sheet. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------