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FRENCH LIGUE 1

12:00 - Nice v PSG - 1.34 PSG

  • 3-1 Nice the last time PSG visited but that is not the norm.

Nice (7th)

  • 2 draws 2 wins last 4 matches.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (20%).
  • Beat Monaco 4-0 at home (2nd).
  • Lost v 3rd and 4th at home.

PSG (1st)

  • Only 2 defeats did come away.
  • 8 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • 8 consecutive wins.
  • Unbeaten at halftime.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away (36%).

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Nice did beat 2nd at home and PSG at home last time PSG visited but the win v Monaco was a local derby.
  • PSG have failed to score only once. Note that if Nice put up a good performance.
  • PSG remain unbeaten at halftime so if Nice score first and early, lay Nice in the halftime market.

20:00 - Marseille v Lyon - 1.97 Marseille

  • 3-1 and 2-0 Lyon last 2 head to heads.

Marseille (3rd)

  • 4 losses.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • No defeat 11 at home.
  • Scored in their last 14 at home.
  • No 0-0.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home (14%).
  • Not beaten top 4. 2-2 v top 2 at home.
  • 64% of goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Lyon (4th)

  • 3 score draws and a win last 4 matches.
  • Not won in 4 away.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime in 16 matches did come last match.
  • Scored in their last 12 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (20%).
  • Lost v 1st and 2nd away.

Conclusions

  • Both teams may score today with Marseille not losing. 2-2 v 1st and 2nd suggests they perform well today.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • I would lay Lyon if Lyon scored first.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

12:30 - Dortmund v Hannover - 1.42 Dortmund

  • 1-0 Dortmund and 4-2 Hannover last 2 head to heads.

Dortmund (3rd)

  • Unbeaten in 11 matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 9/10 matches at home v top 14 teams.

Hannover (12th)

  • Only 3 wins in 16 matches.
  • 3 consecutive losses. 2 were 1-0.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Conceded in their last 11 and last 12 away.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only 1 away win v top 15.
  • 9 of 12 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Excellent form for Dortmund should see them get it today. Beware they score and concede and a hope that Hannover score first to enable a trade as Dortmund have failed to score only twice.

14:30 - Koln v Leverkusen - 1.83 Leverkusen

  • 1-1, 2-2 and 2-1 Leverkusen last 3 head to heads.

Koln (18th)

  • Scored and conceded last 7 matches.
  • 1-1, 2-3, 1-1, 2-3 last 4 matches at home. Extremely competitive but not winning.
  • No 0-0 at halftime in 9.
  • Scored and conceded last 5 at home.
  • Not beaten a top 5 team.
  • Conceded in all homes v top 12.

Leverkusen (4th)

  • 6 losses only, the last 3 came at home.
  • 3 wins in 4 away.
  • No defeat in 10 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (23%).
  • Scored and conceded in 5/6 away v 11th and lower.
  • 18 of 25 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • This should be competitive today. Both teams to score has a good chance. Koln keep it tight, scoring and conceding but are not winning at home.
  • I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on the small % for both sides.

17:00 - Leipzig v Bayern - 1.64 Bayern

  • 2-0 Bayern last head to head.

Leipzig (6th)

  • 2 defeats and 2 draws last 4 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Scored in their last 13 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v top 10.
  • Scored first in 10/13 at home.

Bayern (1st)

  • 12 wins and a 0-0 last 13 matches.
  • 6 consecutive away wins.
  • Scored in their last 11 away.
  • Only 3 0-0s at halftime away (23%).

Conclusions

  • An interesting match. Will Leipzig score first as they tend to do at home? If they do score first, Bayern are still likely to score so watch that.
  • On the percentages, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

SPANISH LA LIGA

11:00 - Leganes v Sevilla - 2.2 Sevilla

  • 2-3, 1-1, 2-1 Sevilla last 3 head to heads.

Leganes (15th)

  • Only 2 wins in 11 matches.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 win home and away v top 11 teams.
  • 0-0-1-3-0-0 scored v top 9 at home. That 3 looks anomolous.
  • 10 of 13 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Sevilla (5th)

  • 3 wins in 4 away matches.
  • 4 wins in 6 matches.
  • No draw in 14 away.
  • Inconsistent away. Wins v 6th-9th but losses v 10th, 12th, 14th, 16th away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw based on Sevilla.
  • Leganes tend to struggle to score but did score 3 once at home v top 9. That looks anomolous. In the hope that it is, lay Leganes if Leganes score first.

15:15 - Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao - 1.18 Barcelona

  • 3-0 and 0-2 Barcelona in the last 2 head to heads.

Barcelona (1st)

  • Unbeaten.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

Ath Bilbao (12th)

  • Only 2 wins in 10 matches at home.
  • 3 consecutive 2-0 losses away.
  • No away 0-0.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (21%).
  • 4/4 defeats away v top 7 conceding 2 goals at least.

Conclusions

  • I'm expecting 2 goals at least from Barcelona today. I would lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

17:30 - Villarreal v Atletico Madrid - 2.04 Atl Madrid

  • 0-1 Villareal and 1-1 last 2 head to heads. No wonder the market is cautious regarding Madrid.

Villareal (6th)

  • Only 2 wins in 7 matches.
  • 2 losses in 3 at home v Alaves and Getafe should not have Madrid concerned.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home (30%).
  • Losses in 3 played at home v top 7.
  • 10 of 14 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Atl Madrid (2nd)

  • Only 2 losses.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No draw in 8 and in 9 away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away (36%).
  • 2-5 v 5th and 2-2 v 7th away is not the norm.Those the only 2 matches Madrid conceded 2 goals in ALL SEASON.

Conclusions

  • Villareal do well in head to heads so note that. On form though, 2 recent home losses v Alaves and Getafe should not have Madrid concerned.
  • Villareal's losses v top 7 at home suggests we take them on, even if they score 2 goals today (Madrid conceded 2 v 5th and 7th without loss away).
  • With Madrid I tend to wait 2nd half and rely upon their scoring. 11 goals last 1/2 hour away.

19:45 - Real Madrid v Girona - 1.19 Real Madrid

  • 2-1 Girona last head to head.

Real Madrid (3rd)

  • 8 wins, a 2-2 and a loss last 10 matches.
  • Scored 2+ in 9 of their last 10.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (21%).
  • Poor v top 8 with 3 losses, a 2-2 and a 5-0 win.
  • 22 goals scored first half at home.

Girona (7th)

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • 5 clean sheets in 7.
  • Not beaten top 4 away.
  • Scored v top 4 away.

Conclusions

  • With 0-1 losses v 5th and 7th, Real Madrid may be vulnerable but recently are back to their best, scoring 2+ goals regularly.
  • Girona have been defensively strong. Best case a 0-1? But I don't think so so would lay a Girona lead.
  • With Real, it is an idea to expect a goal before halftime but Girona have kept 6 recent clean sheets, but Real have scored 22 goals first half!

ITALIAN SERIA A

14:00 - AC Milan v Chievo - 1.34 AC Milan

  • 1-3, 3-1 and 1-4 Milan last 3 head to heads.
  • Utter contempt for the Europa League stands them in good stead for the league.

Milan (6th)

  • 7 wins in 8. Gattuso has them purring.
  • 4 consecutive clean sheet wins.
  • Unbeaten at home v 10th and lower.

Chievo (15th)

  • 9 defeats in 11.
  • Last 4 defeats were only 1-0.
  • 7 consecutive away defeats.
  • All defeats away v top 9.

Conclusions

  • On form, Milan should eye 3+ goals but would take a 1-0. Chievo have been stubborn bar stewards of late losing only 1-0 last 4 losses.
  • I would not lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market as Chievo may defend strongly.
  • I expect a Milan win. As I say, form points to 3+, Gattuso would take another 1-0.

14:00 - Torino v Fiorentina - 2.18 Torino

  • 2-2 and 3-0 Fiorentina last 2 head to heads.

Torino (10th)

  • 3 consecutive defeats.
  • 3 consecutive home wins ended with a loss v Juventus.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 10 goals scored in the last 15 mins of first half.

Fiorentina (9th)

  • 2 consecutive home wins.
  • Failed to score only 5 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away.
  • All wins v teams below them in the league. Only 2 wins away though v 18th and higher.

Conclusions

  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market. Note Torino's late scoring first half.
  • Strictly on form, Torino should not lose but do note these 2 are tightly positioned in the league.

14:00 - Benevento v Cagliari - 2.64 Benevento

  • 2-1 Cagliari last head to head.

Benevento (20th)

  • Relegated but giving home fans something to shout about.
  • 3 wins in 4 at home.
  • No draw in 12 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Wins v 15th and 16th at home so a shout today.
  • 11 of 13 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Cagliari (14th )

  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • Unbeaten in 7 of 8 v bottom 5.

Conclusions

  • I do think Benevento could be competitive today but may take to the 2nd half to score.
  • They have 3 wins in 4 at home. Too little too late but relishing these scraps v fellow strugglers.
  • So, you may want to lay Cagliari if Cagliari lead today despite them remaining unbeaten in 7 of 8 v bottom 5.
  • Definitely take on any 0-0 you see at halftime.

14:00 - Verona v Atalanta - 1.56 Atalanta

  • 2-1 Verona and 3-0 Atalanta last 2 head to heads.

Verona (19th)

  • 2 consecutive wins - getting points when points are needed! A win today hugely important.
  • Roma only beat them 0-1 at home recently so a concerted effort to exit the relegation places.
  • No draw in 11 overall and 11 at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (21%).
  • Wins at home v 6th, 10th and 15th and 20th.

Atalanta (8th)

  • Only 3 losses in 14 matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Unbeaten away v 12th and lower.
  • Score draws away v 16th and 18th.
  • 13 of 18 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Caution for Atalanta. Verona need points. Atalanta are drawing 16th and lower.
  • On form, Atalanta should not lose.
  • Lay any late draw based on Verona.
  • I would not be surprised with a 0-0 at halftime as Roma only beat Verona 0-1.

14:00 - Crotone v Roma - 1.51 Roma

  • 1-0 Roma last head to head.

Crotone (16th)

  • Scored and conceded last 6 with only 1 win , a 4-1 v Samp last home match.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Failed to score v top 6 at home and v top 4 home and away.

Roma (3rd)

  • 5 wins in 6 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5.
  • Only 1 away loss v 1st.
  • Unlikely to concede 2 goals away v 10th and lower.

Conclusions

  • Crotone on form should struggle to simply score today. Any first goal they do score therefore is a shock and they are layable.
  • Roma are scoring 2+ goals  so that should seal this match for them today.

19:45 - Lazio v Bologna - 1.37 Lazio

  • 0-2 and 1-2 Lazio last 2 head to heads.

Lazio (4th)

  • Only 2 wins in 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • No draw in 7 at home.
  • Unbeaten at halftime at home, 6 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Losses at home v 1st, 2nd, 10th and 13th.
  • Only 1 loss v 13th and lower home and away.
  • Failed to score only twice at home.
  • 12 of 14 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Bologna (12th)

  • Only 3 draws.
  • No draw in 13 away.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • All defeats away v top 10.

Conclusions

  • Lazio on a poor run but play a side with 100% defeats v top 10. Bologna may score, they have had a few 2-1 defeats v top 10.
  • A strong 2nd half scoring and conceding stat for both sides so take on any 0-0 at halftime.

19:45 - Napoli v Genoa - 1.22 Napoli

  • 2-0 Napoli and 2-3 Napoli last 2 head to heads.

Napoli (2nd)

  • Only 2 losses.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at home.
  • Only losses have come v top 3.
  • All wins bar a 0-0 home and away v 10th and lower.

Genoa (13th)

  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • 9 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Failed to score in all bar 1 match away v top 14 teams.
  • Conceded only 2 goals twice away v top 14.

Conclusions

  • This might be tighter than Napoli would like. Genoa are hard to score against but find it hard to score themselves.
  • 1-0, 2-0 would not surprise today.
  • Do not be concerned with a 0-0 at halftime. This tends to be Genoa's habit.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

11:30 - AZ Alkmaar v Groningen - 1.24 AZ

  • 1-4, 4-1, 1-1 last 3 head to heads.

AZ (3rd)

  • Only 2 defeats since 15th October v top 5 teams.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime at home (38% of matches).
  • Unbeaten home and away v 11th and lower.
  • Scored 2+ in all bar 2 v 13th and lower.
  • 18 of 25 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Groningen (13th)

  • 4 draws and a win last 5.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • No win in 7 away.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 6 losses in 7 away v top 10 conceding 2+ goals.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • AZ should be scoring 2+ goals today and winning.

13:30 - Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax - 1.25 Ajax

  • Ajax like meeting Sparta.

Sparta (16th)

  • 2 consecutive wins.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • All defeats v top 6 home and away.
  • 61% of goals conceded at home came 1st half.

Ajax (2nd)

  • Only 4 defeats.
  • Ajax have missed their first choice forward but he returned last match in a 4-1 win.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • All wins bar a 3-3 home and away v 10th and lower.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • 22 of 35 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Sparta should be losing today and conceding 2+ goals, especially as we know Ajax's first choice centre forward is back.
  • I was going to lay the 0-0 halftime score market but nearly 50% 0-0's away for Ajax puts me off.

15:45 - Zwolle v Feyenoord - 1.67 Feyenoord

  • 2-2 and 0-0 last 2 head to heads.

Zwolle (7th)

  • Only 1 win in 8 matches.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home (23%).
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Only defeats at home v teams above them.
  • 1-1 though v 3rd and 4th.
  • Not beaten top 6.

Feyenoord (5th)

  • 4 losses in 7 matches.
  • 4 losses in 5 away matches.
  • No 0-0 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (23%).
  • Only 1 win v top 8 away.
  • 14 goals scored away first 30 mins.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Strictly on form, Zwolle likely to struggle v another top 6 side but note the 1-1 draws v 3rd and 4th - a possibility given Feyenoord are in poor recently form - 4 losses in 5 away.
  • I would lay Feyenoord if they scored first - the value angle I feel.