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Not the most inspiring set of matches this International Break. There are 2 matches with potential for goals before halftime but confidence is tempered by the fact we are not plundering Elite Leagues. I have done a shorties list today which I feel is the best way to work today.

ENGLISH LEAGUE ONE

16:00 - Portsmouth v Oxford - 1.93 Portsmouth

  • 3-0 Oxford last head to head.

Portsmouth (10th)

  • 4 defeats in 6 matches.
  • No win in 6 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 8 at home.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 9 at home v 15th and lower.

Oxford (16th)

  • only 2 wins in 9 matches
  • losses away v 4th, 5th, 9th and wins away v 6th, 7th, 8th. Tough to read
  • 17 of 23 goals scored away came 2nd half

Conclusions

  • As is typical of these lower leagues it seems any one team can beat the other on their day.
  • On form Portsmouth like meeting 15th and lower but lost convincingly v Oxford earlier in the season. Are you taken by their only 1 loss in 9 at home v 15th and lower?
  • But then Oxfrod have 3 wins and 3 defeats v top 9. So what is it to be v 10th?
  • I would note strong 2nd half scoring Oxford if 0-0 at halftime. Other than that, tough to call.

ENGLISH LEAGUE TWO

13:30 - Chesterfield v Notts County - 2.22 Notts County

  • 2-0 Notts County last head to head.

Chesterfield (23rd)

  • Only 1 win in 7.
  • 4 defeats in their last 5 at home.
  • Beat 1st and 5th at home but lost to 2nd.

Notts County (4th)

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • Only 1 win in 7 away.
  • Good record v 18th and lower with only 1 loss in 11 matches home and away.

Conclusions

  • On overall form, it looks as if Notts County will be unbeaten v another side 18th and lower. Good recent form too.
  • Again though we see a struggler beating top 5 teams at home. They meet another today who, as I say, look in the better form and we should side with them.
  • Lay any 0-0 at halftime. Strong conceding away both teams.

DUTCH EERSTE DIVISIE

13:30 - Almere City v Emmen - 2.42 Emmen

  • 3-1 Almere and 2-2 last 2 head to heads.

Almere City (12th)

  • 7 losses in their last 8 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 17 of their last 19 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Dcored in their last 14 at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Tend to lose to top 5 but did beat 2nd at home 3-2.

Emmen (6th)

  • Only 2 losses in 18 matches.
  • Scored in their last 6 away.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Only away losses v 15th-17th.

Conclusions

  • Almere do tend to concede 2/3 goals v top 5 teams. Will that extend to 6th? Do expect Almere to concede -only 1 clean sheet.
  • Emmen themselves tend to concede 2 goals away but have gone out of it with a couple of 2-2's.
  • I will expect Emmen not to lose, even if conceding 2 goals.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

13:30 - Dordrecht v Go Ahead Eagles - 2.1 Dordrecht

  • 0-3 Dordrecht most recent head to head.

Dordrecht (8th)

  • 8 wins in their last 11 matches.
  • 4 wins and a 2-3 loss last 5 at home.
  • No draw in 20.
  • Scored last 12 matches.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Unbeaten at home v 11th and lower.
  • 70% of goals conceded and 60% of goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Go Ahead eagles (18th)

  • Only 1 loss in 5 matches.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away (20%).
  • Only 2 away wins.

Conclusions

  • On the very basis that Go Ahead do not tend to win away, lay them if they score first. Dordrecht are scoring regularly.
  • Small % 0-0's at halftime so lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Expectation for Dordrecht not to lose.

13:30 - Jong Ajax v Jong AZ Alkmaar - 1.3 Jong Ajax

  • 4-2 Jong AZ last head to head.

Jong Ajax (1st)

  • Only 3 losses in 16 matches.
  • 7 wins in 8 at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • No draw in 11 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 9 wins, a draw and a loss v 9th and lower at home.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Jong AZ (15th)

  • Only 1 loss in 8.
  • Only 3 clean sheets but kept 2 in their last 3 matches.
  • No draw in 15 away.
  • Lost v 3rd and 4th away and beat 5th and 6th away.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw while these 2 keep avoiding draws recently.
  • Jong Ajax highly likely to score and score 2+ goals if recent pattern can continue.
  • Jong AZ have kept 2 clean sheets recently but only 3 all season. They should be vulnerable to at least 2 goals today so lay Jong AZ if they score first.

13:30 - Volendam v Den Bosch - 1.78 Volendam

  • 2-1 Volendam and 3-1 Den Bosch last 2 head to heads.

Volendam (14th)

  • All 5 defeats this year came away.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 9 at home.
  • Conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss v 7th and lower.

Den Bosch (10th)

  • Only 2 losses in 7 matches.
  • No win in 8 away.
  • Conceded in their last 8 away.
  • v 9th and lower away, only 1 loss but 6 score draws.

Conclusions

  • Score draw seems best case today for Den Bosch so work along those lines. If Volendam continue scoring 2 goals, lay any Den Bosch lead.