Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

Lay the 0-0 halftime score in ?l0ppcertain signalled matches

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are notfavourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds)

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market , especially in BANKER matches.

12:30 UK Dundee Utd v Celtic - 1.4 away Banker

Standout Stats

  • The Dundee United sandwich in the middle of 2 matches with Dundee FC.
  • 2-0, 4-0, 3-0 in a recent run against Dundee United was emphatic and in 3 different competitions. It all began with a 1-1 in March 2015 and ended with those 3 wins. We saw 6 red cards albeit none in the last match.
  • Celtic are 8 points clear at the top of the table with Dundee United in 4th , 6 points shy of 3rd spot.
  • 7 defeats in their last 9 for Dundee United does not augur well.
  • They did beat Celtic 2-1 recently in December 2014 at home but this is superceded by recent results.
  • 13 wins in 15 for Celtic now. They have conceded in their last 3, drawing 1 and winning 2.
  • 7 away wins in 8 away matches for Celtic.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • I'm not really researching this heavily as March 2015's results tell a story. 1-1, 2-0, 4-0 and 3-0 to Celtic seems to underline the fact they are the better side. Dundee United's poor form recently underlines struggles today.
  • If Dundee United score first , lay them.
  • Celtic still need to keep winning as they are only 8 points clear with 5 matches remaining.
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13:00 UK PAOK Salonika v Giannina - 1.55 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 PAOK league wins ended with a Giannina win last time out, 3-0 at home
  • This is 3rd v 5th in Greece.

PAOK

  • 3 matches remain and 2nd is the best that PAOK can hope for.
  • Is that enough to keep them motivated?
  • 2 match home winning streak
  • Only 4 wins in 11 matches.
  • 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
  • 3 clean sheets in their last 4 home matches.
  • No win at home to top 4, playing 5th today
  • 74% over 2.5 goals all season

Giannina

  • No defeat in 6 matches
  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
  • Only 2 losses in 16 matches.
  • All draws away v top 8. unbeaten home and away v top 8

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Not a match I will prioritise today given that PAOK have only 2nd place to motivate them, and Giannina are unbeaten v top 8 sides. The value here would be in laying PAOK if they score first as we'll get an odds on shot at shorter odds.
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13:30 UK Everton v Man Utd - 2.2 away

Standout Stats

  • Everton have won the last 2 home head to heads and won 2 of the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 12th v 3rd. Everton are safe now , not mathematically but as good as. A must win really for United who have played a game more than the top 2 yet of course remain in their deficit.

Everton

  • 4 wins in their last 5 matches sees them hit the points just as they needed them.
  • Only 1 home loss in 13 matches is interesting as some were shouting "crisis"
  • 7 consecutive 1-0 scorelines at halftime
  • Only 1 loss at home to top 8 was against Chelsea.
  • Scored 12 in each half at home

Man Utd

  • No draw in 9 matches
  • 6 match winning run came to an end v Chelsea
  • Only 2 losses in 11 away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 5
  • 5 score draws in 6 matches away v 9th-16th away
  • Both teams have scored in 61% of United matches.
  • 19 of 59 goals scored away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Everton have hit a bit of form and are solid against top teams at home . Only 1 loss in 13 at home sees the odds about right today.
  • It is tough to take sides such is Everton's recent form. United were excellent until losing to Chelsea  but 40 of their 59 goals this season are scored at home. Therein lies their problem.
  • I am sorry but an angle does not show itself for me.
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14:00 UK Genoa v Cesena - 1.57 home

Standout Stats

  • Only 1 recent relevant head to head was a 0-3 Genoa away win
  • This is 7th v 18th in Seria A. Genoa are 5 points shy of 6th place.
  • Cesena are 7 points adrift of 4th bottom and safety.

Genoa

  • 2 match home winning streak
  • Only 1 loss in their last 8 matches at home
  • Only 1 loss at home v teams below them.2-0 wins at home to bottom 2
  • Only 1 0-0

Cesena

  • No win in 5 away and 6 overall
  • 4 draws in their last 6 away matches.
  • 3 consecutive away draws.
  • Only 1 win in 10 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
  • Only 1 away win v bottom of the league
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 28 goals conceded away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Despite needing points, a draw seems the best Cesena can hope for today. Only 1 away win attests to that.
  • Genoa could score 2 goals if at their best today .
  • Lay any late 0-0
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14:00 UK Lazio v Chievo - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 wins to nil for Lazio and a 0-0 last time out.
  • This is 2nd v 13th in Seria A. Lazio are 15 points shy of Juventus. Chievo are 13 points ahead of the relegation zone

Lazio

  • 4 match home winning streak
  • No draw in 13 overall and in 15 at home
  • 8 wins in their last 9 matches, only beaten by Juventus
  • No draw at home, all wins bar 4 defeats, 3 of them were 0-1
  • 2/3/4 goals scored in home wins.
  • 73% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • No 0-0 at home
  • 17 first half and 16 2nd half goals scored at home

Chievo

  • No draw in 6 away
  • 6 of the last 7 wins were to nil
  • 5 clean sheets in their last 7 matches.
  • Only 2 away draws.
  • Lost to nil to 1st and 3rd away
  • 9 0-0's at halftime away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This could be a win to nil for Lazio if Chievo fail to score as they did v top 3 away.
  • Lay any late draw.
  • 3-1, 3-0 correct scores.
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14:00 UK Torino v Juventus - 1.91 away

Standout Stats

  • This is the Turin Derby - 7 consecutive wins for Juventus in head to heads.
  • The last win was care of a 90th minute winner. The first Juve goal was a penalty.
  • This is 8th v 1st in Seria A. Juve are 15 points clear.

Torino

  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 2 losses in 18 were against Udinese and Lazio.
  • Only 1 loss in their last 8 home matches.
  • Only 3 losses at home v 2nd, 12th and 14th at home
  • 9 0-0's at halftime at home.

Juventus

  • Only 2 defeats all season were 1-0 away
  • Only 1 win in 5 away matches. Lost 1-0 to Parma last match away
  • 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Failed to score in their last 4 away matches.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime away
  • No 0-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • 7 matches remain this season ( 21 points) and Juve are 15 points clear, so not champions just yet.
  • Torino are in excellent form and this will be a very tight match . The last head to head needed a Juve penalty and 90th minute winner. I would lay Juventus if they score first today.
  • This might be 0-0 at halftime so don't be surprised.
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15:45 UK Twente v AZ Alkmaar - 1.67 home

Standout Stats

  • Dutch sides seem to have started playing with the handbrake on since PSV won the title last week so I will not be researching this match.
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16:00 UK Arsenal v Chelsea - 2.45 home

Standout Stats

  • This game is too high profile for me to trade. A case of "best on the day" . The market agrees with me also.
  • This is a must win for Arsenal as they can shorten the gap to 7 points at the top.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 7 head to heads, keeping 4 consecutive head to head clean sheets now.
  • 13 wins for Arsenal in 15 matches. They have a 9 match winning streak at home
  • Only Man Utd have beaten Arsenal at home.
  • Against top 7 away, Chelsea have a 1-1 v 3rd, 1-1 v 4th, 1-2 v 5th, 5-3 v 6th and 1-1 v 7th.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • On form, it is Arsenal who have the momentum. Chelsea keep scoring and conceding away to top 7 sides and have only the one win. Chelsea will sense the title if they win here today. 18 points are available for these 2. 10 points is far enough for Arsenal.
  • I would think about laying the first goalscorer today, particularly if Chelsea with their draw-itis. They did beat Man Utd 1-0 though so ended that string of results v top sides and you sense they'll need another 1-0 to win today ( 2 consecutive 1-0's now)
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16:30 UK Borussia M'gladbach v Wolfsburg - 2.37 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 Wolfsburg wins and a 2-2 draw in their last 4 matches.
  • This is 4th v 2nd in the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg are 15 points shy of Bayern Munich. 15 points remain this season. If Wolfsburg don't win, then Bayern are champions.

Mgladbach

  • 7 match home winning streak
  • Only 1 loss in the last 12 matches.
  • Scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 loss at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • Scored first in 12 of 14 home matches.
  • Led at halftime in 9 of 14 matches.

Wolfsburg

  • Scored in their last 5 matches.
  • Only 4 losses all season.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 2 wins away v top 13 this season were 4-5 v 3rd and 3-5 v 9th.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of 9 away matches v top 11.
  • No 0-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • A must win for Wolfsburg as Bayern win the title otherwise.
  • Mgladbach are the form side here as Wolfsburg are poor away from home v top 11.
  • Both teams should score today. I will lay any team 2-0 up.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score here as goals are appreciated.
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16:30 UK Zenit St Petersburg v Arsenal Tula - 1.2 home Banker

Standout Stats

  • 0-4 in the league and 2-3 in the cup, where Zenit led 2-0 in the only 2 head to heads .
  • This is 1st v 14th. Zenit are 8 points clear of 2nd spot.
  • Arsenal Tula are 3rd bottom and 3 points could take them to top 10. So this match is as equally important for both sides.

Zenit

  • Only 2 defeats all season
  • No defeat in 5 at home and 9 overall.
  • Scored in their last 7 at home
  • 2 consecutive draws.
  • 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • All wins v 11th and lower at home
  • Only 1 0-0 at home
  • 20 of 31 goals scored 2nd half at home

Arsenal Tula

  • 3 match winning streak overall and away
  • No draw in 14 and in 11 away
  • Scored in their last 6 matches
  • 3 consecutive 1-0 wins.
  • 5 0-1 wins in their last 6 away matches.
  • Only 2 draws all season.
  • Not beaten any top 5 side home or away
  • No 0-0 away
  • Scored only 6 away
  • All wins bar 1 all season were 1-0

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Zenit know the plan . Tula will want a 1-0 win. I don't think they'll keep the Hulk et al quiet. If Arsenal Tula score first, lay them and also back 0-1 correct score as insurance bet.
  • Zenit may meet resistance today but it remains Tula have lost away to all top 6.
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17:00 UK Fiorentina v Cagliari - 1.44 home

Standout Stats

  • Draw, Cagliari , Fiorentina in head to heads  - that clear's that up then.....NOT!0-4 Fiorentina last match
  • This is 6th v 19th in Seria A
  • Fiorentina have a real chance at a top 4 spot. Cagliari are 9 points shy of safety

Fiorentina

  • 2 consecutive defeats.
  • Prior to that defeat at home, they went 8 at home without a loss.
  • Only 3 home losses v 2nd, 4th, and 15th.
  • Not yet played the bottom 3 at home
  • No 0-0
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home ( 53% of matches)

Cagliari

  • No win in 11 and in 10 away
  • Conceded in their last 16 and last 7 away
  • 9 losses in their last 11 matches
  • Only 2 clean sheets all season
  • Conceded 2+ goals in 9 of their last 11 matches.
  • Not beaten any top 6 home or away
  • 11 goals scored in the quarter hour directly before halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • At their worst, Cagliari will concede 2-4 goals today. Fiorentina need to end a run of 2 losses without scoring though.
  • Cagliari with only 2 clean sheets all season are likely to concede at some stage.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score based only on Cagliari scoring 11 goals in the last 1/4 hour of the first half away. IF they are going to score, it will be first half stats wise.
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17:00 UK Benfica v Porto - 2.37 home

Standout Stats

  • Benfica have won the last 2 home head to heads. They beat Porto away last time out.
  • If Porto win, they will be on equal points with Benfica at the top. If Benfica win, they will be 6 points clear.
  • Benfica have a 12 match winning streak at home and are unbeaten at home. A 1-1 draw with 3rd.
  • Porto lost to Benfica earlier in the season. They are more vulnerable away from home

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Too tight to call, but a feeling here that Benfica are going to be tough to beat. 1-1 might be a good correct score to begin the match with. The need is more with Porto than Benfica here as far as needing points is concerned.
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17:00 UK Galatasaray v Gaziantepspor - 1.28 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 Galatasary wins in the last 4 head to heads, but these matches tend to be tight. 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 and 0-1 .
  • This is 3rd v 10th in the Turkish Super Lig.1st is on 59 points, 2nd and 3rd on 58 points. Gaziantepspor are in mid-table mediocrity

Galatasary

  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 home matches.
  • Conceded in their last 10 matches.
  • Only 2 defeats in their last 17 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 9 of their last 19 matches.
  • 9 over 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches.
  • Only 1 loss at home
  • Have scored 2+ goals in all bar 2 matches this season
  • 85% over 2.5 goals at home
  • Both teams have scored in 77% of home matches

Gaziantepspor

  • 2 recent wins but no strong patterns
  • Have failed to score in the 4 matches played home and away v top 3, with 3 1-0 losses.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Limited stats for the away side but 85% over 2.5 goals for the home side in compelling. That said, Gaziantepspor have only lost 1-0 3 times v top 3 sides.
  • I prefer to see congruency so may not venture with an over 2.5 goals bet today.
  • I will be on the side of the home side today.
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19:45 UK Napoli v Sampdoria - 1.4 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 Napoli wins and a 1-1 draw in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 5th in Seria A.Napoli are 5 points shy of top 5 spot.

Napoli

  • 2 match winning streak
  • No defeat in 6 at home
  • Scored in their last 14 at home
  • 2 consecutive 3-0 wins
  • Only 2 losses at home v 1st and 14th.
  • Only twice at home did Napoli not score 2 + goals.
  • 67% over 2.5 goals at home
  • No 0-0
  • 21 of 34 goals scored at home 2nd half

Sampdoria

  • Only 3 wins in their last 9 away matches. Did beat Roma 0-2 away recently.
  • Only 1 win away v top 8
  • Only 2 wins away v 14th and higher
  • Only 1 0-0 away
  • 8 0-0's at halftime away ( 50%)

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Sampdoria are poor away from home which suggests Napoli are favoured today. Napoli tend to score 2 goals at home. Will they do so again?
  • 2/3rd of home matches for Napoli are over 2.5 goals. I will lay Sampdoria if they score first.
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20:00 UK Celta Vigo v Real Madrid - 1.53 away

Standout Stats

  • 2-1, 1-2, 2-0 when Real visit Celta , no wonder the market is a little cautious.
  • This is 9th v 2nd. Real must win with barca winning and temporarily 5 points clear at the top.

Celta Vigo

  • 2 match winning streak
  • Conceded in their last 4 at home
  • Only lost 0-1 at home to Barcelona recently.
  • 8 of their last 9 wins were to nil. Ask yourself if Celta will really keep Real Madrid out?
  • Beat Atl MAdrid 2-0 at home but that's the only win v teams above them in the league.
  • Only 1 0-0 at home

Real Madrid

  • Benzema and Bale are out of the attacking line up. The excellent Modric is absent. Chicarito will get a run out. He'll find it strange not sitting down for 90 minutes as usual.
  • This is a must win for Real Madrid and will be a very tough match .
  • No draw in 16 away
  • 4 match winning streak
  • 9-2-3-3 scored in their last 4 matches
  • 3 losses in their last 5 away matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 1 draw all season

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is going to be a real toughie for Real Madrid today and I certainly wouldn't be a backer pre-match. I think their odds could get bigger in-play.
  • Lay any late draw such is the need for Madrid.
  • Tough to get a strong angle in.