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See you for a live chat 14:00 for Italian Seria A. Brighton v Southampton looks a tough nut to crack.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

13:30 - Brighton v Southampton - 2.4 Southampton

Brighton

  • Only loss was at home v Man City.
  • 2 wins and a draw since.
  • Defence to the fore last 3 home  conceding a maximum of 1 goal.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime at home and yet to see a fulltime 0-0.
  • No team has scored in the first half hour of Brighton home matches.

Southampton

  • Only 3 wins, 2 at home, and the last 2 were 1-0 wins.
  • 0-1-1 scored away did result in a win but also a 2-1 loss.

Conclusions

  • Defensively driven Brighton tend not to concede that 2nd at home and Southampton cannot score that 2nd away.
  • It makes for a tight match. I would back 0-0 pre match and hope it is as defensive as it seems. Trade out at halftime. This 0-0 could be helped if Brighton home matches continue to avoid goals in the first 30 minutes of matches.

16:00 - Leicester v Everton - 2.22 Leicester

  • Everton won the last 2 Premiership head to heads, scoring 2 goals at least.
  • These 2 are in the bottom 7 currently.

Leicester

  • Only 2 wins. 2-1-2-1 scored at home but only 1 win even when 2 goals were scored.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • All defeats have currently come v the top 9.
  • Opponents have scored first in 3/4 at home and remember Leicester have scored in all home matches.

Everton

  • Only 2 wins came at home and Koeman is doing his Houdini escape from the sack impression.
  • 1-0-0-1 scored away. I say this every week. Everton have had a tough fixture list - Man City, Chelsea, Tottenham, Man Utd, Arsenal. Wins came v the lesser lights as did draws, but they also lost at home to Burnley. ' Come back Lukaku' they are all screaming as dougnut afficionado Rooney continues to score the odd goal but is a poor replacement.
  • Only clean sheet first match of the season.
  • 5 goals conceded away last 15 mins of matches.

Conclusions

  • Both of these 2 sides' defeats tend to be concentrated around the top 9 in the league so this should be an easier encounter for both.
  • Everton and Leicester have such muddling form that I cannot get a real angle into the match.

ENGLISH CHAMPIONSHIP

19:00 - Birmingham v Aston Villa - 2.18 Aston Villa

  • Birmingham derby so only minimal research as form tends to be thrown out the window.
  • 1-1, 1-0 Villa, 1-1, 1-0 Villa in the last 4 head to heads. Tight.
  • A quick glance at the form and Villa are in really good nick.only 3 defeats came away and 2 of those v the current top 2.
  • Birmingham have 2 consecutive home 1-0 wins and have beaten 2nd and 7th at home.
  • 1-1 does look the best angle into this match but I remind you it is a blood and thunder Derby.

FRENCH LIGUE 1

14:00 - Lyon v Metz - 1.23 Lyon

  • 5-0 and 0-3 to Lyon in the last 2 head to heads.

Lyon

  • Only loss came v PSG.
  • 4-3-2-3-3 goals scored at home.
  • 3-3-2-0 goals conceded without losing the matches in their last 4 matches.
  • No 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Scored first in all home matches.

Metz

  • All defeats bar a solitary win.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • 0-0-1-0-1 goals scored away.

Conclusions

  • Lyon should outscore Metz today.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on the expectation for Lyon goals.
  • Metz have had a couple of 1-0 defeats v top 3 and I am banking on Lyon's goalscoring winning the day.

16:00 - Toulouse v St Etienne - 2.18 Toulouse

  • 0-0, 0-0, 0-3 St Etienne in the last 3 head to heads.

Toulouse

  • 2 consecutive 1-0 wins.
  • 3 1-0 scorelines in 4 home matches (2 wins).
  • Only 3 over 2.5 goals matches.
  • Not played a top 6 side at home (St E are 6th) but lost v top 7 teams.

St Etienne

  • Only 2 wins in 7 matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Win, loss, win, loss away.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Not a match that greatly appeals.
  • Lay the late 0-0 based on St Etienne.

20:00 - Lille v Marseille - 2.3 Marseille

  • 2-0 Marseille and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Lille find themselves 2nd bottom of the league early on.

Lille

  • Only 1 win came 1st match of the season.
  • 0-0-0-2 scored last 4 home matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 4 of 5 goals scored at home came 2nd half but remember they scored 3 goals in one match, their sole win.

Marseille

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in all of their last 5 matches.
  • Scored in every match.
  • 3 consecutive matches seeing a 2-2 at some point during the match.

Conclusions

  • Strictly on form, Marseille should be scoring 2+ goals as they have v the bottom quarter sides.
  • Guess what? Europa League for Marseille on 2nd November. Is that the reason for the less than flattering odds against a clearly struggling Lille.
  • Lille did score 2 goals in their last home match. Is that signs of recovery? We know with Marseille that even a 2 goal lead for the opposition will not be enough.
  • Faith in the Marseille attack for me despite this being pre-European competition.

ITALIAN SERIA A

14:00 - Crotone v Fiorentina - 1.68 Fiorentina

  • 1-1 and 0-1 Fiorentina in the last 2 head to heads.

Crotone

  • Only 1 win.
  • 2 goals scored in each of their last 2 home matches.
  • Lost all matches v top 9 and play 7th today.
  • Failed to score in all matches v top 8.

Fiorentina

  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Loss, Win, Loss, Loss, Win away.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 2 consecutive 3-0 wins.
  • All wins v 11th and lower, with Crotone 17th.

Conclusions

  • The form is clear. Crotone struggle v top 9 and Fiorentina win v 11th and lower.
  • Do note Crotone have scored 2 goals in each of their last 2 home matches. they did score 2 v Torino who conceded 3 v Fiorentina so you may not want to read too much into that.
  • Really Fiorentina should not lose today.

14:00 - Napoli v Sassuolo - 1.16 Napoli

  • 1-1 and 2-2 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • Napoli lead Seria A.
  • Champions League match with Man City on 1st November.

Napoli

  • All wins bar a 0-0 v Inter Milan.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in all bar 2 matches.
  • Scored 3+ goals in 8 matches this season.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.

Sassuolo

  • Only 1 wins came away 0-1.
  • 5 under 1.5 goals matches in their last 6.
  • Scored in 3 defeats v top 9.
  • 8 of 11 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • Scored first in 4/5 away.

Conclusions

  • It should be a Napoli win, scoring 3 goals if clicking. This does not look like a team who drop points pre-Champions League.
  • Napoli should score before halftime. Sassuolo though have really tightened their defence with 5 under 1.5 goals matches recently but the fact remains they concede heavily away v top 9 teams.
  • Sassuolo may score but it is likely in defeat.

14:00 - Spal v Genoa - 2.68 Genoa

Spal

  • Only 1 win 3-2 v Udinese.
  • 7 defeats in 8 matches.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of 5 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came 1st match - that was the only 0-0 at halftime.
  • 6 of 9 goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Genoa

  • Only 1 win was a 2-3 away v Cagliari.
  • 2-3 and 0-0 last 2 away.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Not met any team in the bottom 4 - where Spal are.

Conclusions

  • 2 out-of-form teams. Genoa are unbeaten in 2 away and could come out of this with a draw at least.

14:00 - Sampdoria v Chievo - 1.91 Sampdoria

  • 2-1 Chievo and 1-1 in the last 2 head to heads.

Sampdoria

  • 4 home wins scoring 2 goals at least.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not conceded a 2nd half goal at home.

Chievo

  • Only 3 defeats v Lazio, Juventus and AC Milan.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • 2-0-1-0 goals conceded away.
  • Lost to 3rd and 4th.

Conclusions

  • Sampdoria are having a good season but then Chievo are only losing to top teams.
  • Chievo are unbeaten in 2 head to heads.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Chievo for me cannot be discounted.

14:00 - Udinese v Atalanta - 2.02 Atalanta

  • Udinese are unbeaten in the last 4 head to heads but this Atalanta were 4th last season for a reason?

Udinese

  • No draw.
  • 3 wins only 2 were 1-0.
  • Scored in every match.
  • No 0-0 at halftime.
  • 6 defeats and an anomolous 4-0 home win v Sampdoria v top 12 sides. Atalanta are 9th. Both teams scored in all defeats there.
  • No 0-0.

Atalanta

  • Only 1 loss in 8 matches was v the Sampdoria that Udinese beat.
  • Loss, Draw, draw, Loss away.
  • Failed to score in only 1st match of the season.
  • Scored and conceded in the 4 away.
  • 7 of 8 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late draw while Udinese keep avoiding them.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Udinese have a good head to head record but Atalanta look good this season and I don't expect them to lose.
  • Atalanta are the likelier first goalscorer given they concede the majority of their goals 2nd half.

19:45 - Torino v Cagliari - 1.52 Torino

  • 5-1 and 2-3 Torino in the last 2 head to heads.

Torino

  • No win in 5 matches.
  • Conceding for fun! have conceded 2-2-4-2-2-1-3 goals recently. In 4 of those matches, amazingly, Torino did not lose!
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Losses only v top 7 teams with Cagliari in 14th.
  • No 0-0.
  • Scored 5 of 7 goals in the first half.

Cagliari

  • No draw with all defeats bar 3 wins.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Lost all matches v top 16.
  • No 0-0.
  • Opponents have led at halftime in 4 aways.

Conclusions

  • Torino should have an advantage here. Cagliari have lost all matches v top 16 teams. Torino are conceding 2 goals for fun though but their defeats have only come v top 7 teams. Cagliari are 14th.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Torino are highly likely to score in the first half.

GERMAN BUNDESLIGA

14:30 - Werder Bremen v Augsburg - 2.42 Werder

  • Both teams have scored in the last 7 head to heads.

Werder Bremen

  • No win.
  • 3 0-0's in 4 matches for a team tending to score and concede normally.
  • Failed to score in their last 4 matches.
  • 0-1-0-0 scored at home.

Augsburg

  • Loss, Win, Draw, Draw away.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • 2 of 3 defeats came at home.

Conclusions

  • Until Werder start being the Werder of old, they are totally unreadable.
  • Inplay stats only for me for this match.

17:00 - Stuttgart v Freiburg - 1.79 Stuttgart

Stuttgart

  • Unbeaten at home, 3 wins and a draw.
  • 2 wins were 1-0 and the draw 0-0.
  • All wins at home v 12th and lower, Freiburg are 15th.
  • Conceded only 1 goal at home.

Freiburg

  • Only 1 win 3-2 v Hoffenheim.
  • 5 draws, 3 0-0's.
  • 1-0-0-0-scored away.

Conclusions

  • Stuttgart have conceded only 1 goal at home. Freiburg have scored only 1 goal away.
  • Favour Stuttgart today? They are beating teams 12th and lower. Freiburg are 15th in the league.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE

11:30 - Vitesse v PSV - 1.71 PSV

  • PSV simply tend to win head to heads.
  • These are top 3 teams.

Vitesse

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Both teams scored in all bar 1 match.
  • Unbeaten at home.
  • 3 score draws in 5 matches.
  • Not played the top 5 at home.

PSV

  • All wins bar a single loss.
  • Scored 3+ goals in 6 matches.
  • Not in European competition.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.
  • Not played the top 4 yet this season (Vitesse are 3rd).
  • 12 of 16 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • This will be a challenge for PSV and they are yet to meet the top 4 this season so not sure how, this season, they cope with rivals for the title.
  • On form, lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Lay Vitesse if Vitesse score first based on PSV's ability to score 3 goals consistently.
  • If PSV have not scored 1st half, they tend to score a vast majority 2nd half.

13:30 - Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen - 2.34 Sparta

  • 3 consecutive score draws.
  • These 2 are bottom 6.

Sparta Rotterdam

  • Only 1 win.
  • 1-1-0-1 scored at home.
  • Only 1 clean sheet came in that win.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.

Groningen

  • Only 2 wins came at home.
  • Both teams scored in all bar 1 match.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score only in their last match.
  • 6 of 8 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Not an inspiring pair.
  • Groningen have only failed to score in one match so I would expect them to get a goal today at least.
  • In fact both teams to score based on Groningen although I am worried that Sparta have scored only 1-1-0-1 at home.

13:30 - Utrecht v Breda - 1.39 Utrecht

  • 4-2 Utrecht, 2-2, 1-5 Utrecht, 2-4 Breda in the last 4 head to heads.

Utrecht

  • Win, Win, Loss, Win at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • 2-0 home wins v 15th and 18th. Playing 16th today.
  • No 0-0.

NAC

  • 3 consecutive defeats without scoring. Only 2 wins.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • 5 defeats and a win v top 8 teams and play 9th today.

Conclusions

  • Head to heads are exciting goal laden matches.
  • Utrecht are the form side currently. NAC have lost the vast majority of matches v top 8 teams with Utrecht 9th.
  • Lay any late 0-0.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market based on Utrecht.

15:45 - Heerenveen v AZ Alkmaar - 2.46 Heerenveen

  • AZ are unbeaten in the last 6 head to heads.

Heerenveen

  • 3 losses in a row.
  • 2 consecutive 0-4 losses at home.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Only 2 under 2.5 goals matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only home losses v 2nd and 3rd.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals.

AZ Alkmaar

  • 3 losses this season.
  • Only 1 win in 4 matches.
  • Loss, Win, Win, Draw away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • Scored first in all aways.
  • Let at halftime in 3/4 aways.

Conclusions

  • AZ do enjoy meeting Heerenveen historically.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Heerenveen's only home losses were v the current top 3.
  • It is a muddling match as I can make a fair argument for either side so I will leave it to the in-play stats.

SPANISH LA LIGA

11:00 - Getafe v Sociedad - 2.52 Getafe

Getafe

  • Loss, Loss, Win, Loss at home.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • No team has scored and conceded in the first 1/2 hour at home.
  • 5 of 6 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Real Sociedad

  • Losses v Real Madrid, Valencia and Levante.
  • A reputation for goals this season.3-3-4-1-0-2-4-2-1 goals scored.
  • 3 wins in 4 away.
  • Failed to score in only 1 match.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • 6 goals scored away in the last 15 minutes of matches.

Conclusions

  • With only 2 clean sheets, Getafe are vulnerable to a team like Sociedad with a solid reputation for goals.
  • Getafe should be opposed if scoring first. They tend to concede and score a lot.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.
  • Watch out for late Sociedad goals. If they are losing or drawing 75th minute, it might be worth laying the scoreline or Getafe in the hope Sociedad continue their late goals scoring away.

15:15 - Girona v Real Madrid - 1.26 Real Madrid

Girona

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 3 consecutive home defeats.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Not beaten any top 11 team.
  • 2+ goals conceded at home v top 6.

Real Madrid

  • 4 consecutive wins.
  • Failed to score only in 1 home defeat v Betis.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime.
  • All away wins conceding in the last 3 away matches.
  • No 0-0 at halftime away.

Conclusions

  • Remember this is pre Champions League.
  • If true to form, Real Madrid should be scoring 2 or 3 goals. They may concede as they have done in the last 3 away.
  • Lay the 0-0 in the halftime score market.

17:30 - Eibar v Levante - 1.91 Eibar

Eibar

  • Only 2 defeats were 1-0.
  • 4 losses in 5 matches.
  • Failed to score in their last 4 matches.
  • 0-1-0-0 scored at home.
  • Not scored first half at home.

Levante

  • 2 wins but only 2 losses. 5 draws!
  • 1-0-0 scored away.
  • Only 1 goal scored away.

Conclusions

  • Another totally uninspiring match. 0-0 backable pre match given these 2 are allergic to scoring goals.

19:45 - Malaga v Celta Vigo - 2.5 Celta Vigo

  • The home team has tended to win head to heads.

Malaga

  • All losses bar a 3-3 draw.
  • Failed to score in 7 of 9 matches.
  • Conceded 2 goals at least in 5 matches.
  • 7 of 9 goals conceded away came 2nd half.
  • Opponents have scored first in all home matches.

Celta Vigo

  • 2 losses and 2 wins away.
  • Failed to score in only their last match.
  • No 0-0.
  • All wins v 17th and lower and play 20th today.

Conclusions

  • 2.5 odds tells you that the market cannot split the sides. Strictly on form, Celta could have a chance here, looking at their 100% win record v 17th and lower.
  • Lay any late 0-0. Celta only failed to score in their last match.
  • The home team tends to win.
  • Slight nod though on form for Celta Vigo.