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It was the Dutch Eredivisie which was the most readable last night. That is most likely to be the case tonight as these are the only matches on the coupon.

17:30 - Heracles v Sparta Rotterdam - 2.44 Heracles

  • 2-2 and 3-1 Sparta in the last 2 league head to heads.

Heracles (10th)

  • Only 1 draw in 12 matches.
  • 3 losses in 4 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • 4 wins in 5 at home.
  • Scored 2+ goals in each of their last 3 home matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 at home and only beaten by Feyenoord at home.

Sparta Rotterdam (17th)

  • Only 2 wins this season.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 2 score draws in 3 away matches.
  • Conceded in their last 7 away.
  • 3 defeats without scoring away v top 8.
  • Score draws away v 11th, 14th and 16th.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Although Heracles are in poor form they are excellent at home.
  • With only one clean sheet Heracles are likely to concede but a score draw looks best case for Sparta today.
  • I would lay Sparta if Sparta scored first.
  • Note Sparta concede heavily 2nd half so any 0-0 at halftime needs to be taken on.

19:45 - Ajax v Excelsior - 1.1 Ajax

  • 1-0 Ajax and 1-1 in the last 2 head to heads is hardly the form of a 1.1 shot!

Ajax (3rd)

  • Only 3 losses.
  • Scored in every match.
  • Only 2 under 2.5 goals matches.
  • 5 wins and 2 losses at home.
  • Scored 3+ goals in 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Only led at halftime in 3 home matches.
  • 15 of 25 goals scored at home came 2nd half.

Excelsior (11th)

  • 4 consecutive losses.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 3 consecutive 3-1 scorelines away, 2 consecutive 3-1 losses.
  • Scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches.
  • Did beat 2nd placed 0-2 away.
  • 2-1-2-2-2-3-1 scored away.

Conclusions

  • If Ajax continue to score 3+ goals, then even if Excelsior score 2 goals (as they have away), they may still lose.
  • Watch out for 2nd half goal scoring from Ajax if, say, they have only scored one goal by halftime.
  • Excelsior could score today and I would back Ajax of Excelsior score first.