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Review of yesterday's matches.

Laying the 0-0 halftime score in the FC Inter match was a good call. 2-0 at halftime. The HJK match was 3-1 and there was a goal before halftime. Haka won 6-0 so did win to nil as I expected. I did not expect 6 goals though. Quite a readable match considering there were only a handful of matches to work with. I was happy with the Germany u21 match. Serbia U21 scored first so I layed them. Germany u21 equalised. Well done England women winning 2-1. I did lay them speculatively as they led, but they held on well. Ditto France women. I layed them as they scored first at low odds, but they won 0-5 here. It seems the Colombia women match was an anomoly. On to today...

Odds taken from www.willhill.com

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches.

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised.

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are not the pre-market favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.

Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.

5pm - Italy U21 v Sweden U21 - 1.97 home

Standout Stats

  • This is a UEFA u21 Championship match.
  • The last head to heads came in 2012 and Italy dominated.

Italy u21

  • Only 1 loss in their last 9 UEFA matches.
  • have scored and conceded in their last 4 without losing.
  • 7 wins in their last 9 matches.
  • 4 consecutive home wins. Only Spain and Belgium have beaten them at home recently.

Sweden u21

  • 5 wins in their last 6 UEFA matches. Wins v Malta, Greece, Turkey and France. 2-3-4-0-4 scored.
  • 6 defeats in their last 8 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams to score appeals today. Italy tend not to lose when both teams score so lay Sweden U21 if they score first.
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17:00 UK Dynamo Minsk v Slutsksakhar Slutsk - 1.22 home

Standout Stats

  • 3-0 Dinamo Mink and 0-0 in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 5th v 14th in the Belarussian top league after 9 matches.

Dynamo Minsk

  • 3 match winning streak at home
  • Only loss at home was v BATE Borisov.
  • Only 2 losses, and one came last match.
  • 6 clean sheets in their last 8 matches.

Slutsk

  • No win in 5 away matches.
  • Have conceded in their last 9 matches.
  • Only 1 win came in their last match at home.
  • 4 losses and a 1-1 draw in their last 5 away matches. The losses were to nil.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • We have a home team who have been keeping clean sheets ( but conceded in their last 2 matchs) v a team conceding readily. The odds again look correct here for Dynamo Minsk.  A possible win to nil might negate a DRT today. If Slutsk score first, I would lay them, or even back Dynamo Minsk.
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17:30 UK Shakhter Soligorsk v Granit Mikashevichi - 1.4 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • The most recent 2015 head to heads were in 2015 cup matches, 0-0 and 3-0 Shakhter.
  • This is 3rd v 6th in the Belarus Premier League.

Shakhter

  • Only 1 loss this season came last match, a 1-0.
  • 5 clean sheets in 6 home matches. Slight concern that 3 of the matches were 0-0.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.

Granit

  • No draw in 7 matches.
  • 3 losses in their last 4 matches.
  • Lost their last 2 away matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Against teams above them, 2 1-0 losses and a 0-0.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches so 0-0 might be a goer here. I would back 0-0 pre-match and hope this is 0-0 til halftime. I would favour the home side today and do think they are more likely to score first.
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6pm - Lunds BK v Landskrona - 1.39 away

Standout Stats

  • 7-2 win for Landskrona in a friendly.
  • This is the Swedish 1st Division between 14th (bottom) and 10th in the league. 10 matches have been played.

Lunds BK

  • Only 1 win this season. 8 losses in 10 matches.
  • Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
  • Have conceded at least 2 goals in all bar 2 matches.
  • No clean sheets
  • 3 losses at home v current 2nd, 5th and 6th (remember only 10 matches played so this may not be an accurate top 6).

Landskrona

  • 3 match winning streak away
  • Only 1 loss in the last 5 matches.
  • 0-2 win away v 12th and playing 14th today

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • It is a little fool-hardy to start coming to definitive conclusions after only 10 matches. We do, though, have a home team losing consistently v an away side with a run of 3 away wins. I do note that Lunds have 2 unbeaten home matches v lower half teams which might see them competitive. Landskrona though are the form side so I would lay Lunds if they scored first today. Lunds are likely to concede so that is a ready angle in. No clean sheets for them this season.
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18:00 UK BATE Borisov v Fc Vitebsk - 1.18 home BANKER

Standout Stats

  • These 2 have not met since 2011 so that suggests the away side are newly promoted.
  • This is 1st v 12th in the Belarus league.

BATE Borisov

  • Amazingly , BATE have kept all clean sheets so far this season.
  • Only 2 0-0's
  • 3 wins at home,1-0, 2-0, 1-0
  • No over 2.5 goals this season suggests 2-0 is the most likely scoreline. 1.18 today suggests BATE will break this pattern and possibly score 3/4 goals.

FC Vitebsk

  • No win in 5 away matches.
  • 3 consecutive losing streak away
  • Only 1 win this season was a 1-0 at home.
  • 3 consecutive away defeats conceding 3-4-2.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • BATE are surely going to win today, making this a good DRT match if FC Vitebsk score first. I doubt there will be a DRT here. BATE are yet to concede and are likely to win 2-0, 3-0, 4-0. Anything else - pounce!
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19:45 UK England U21 v Portugal U21 - 2.5 home

Standout Stats

  • 3-1 to England in November 2014 was in a friendly I think.
  • This is a UEFA U21 Championship match.

England U21

  • 10 consecutive wins for England U21 in UEFA matches is an excellent run.
  • No draw at home since 2010 in UEFA matches.
  • 6 consecutive home wins.
  • 5 of those 6 wins were to nil.

Portugal U21

  • 10 consecutive wins in UEFA matches. In 9 of those 10 matches, they scored 2 goals at least.
  • 5 consecutive away wins.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • 2 sides in excellent form , hence the favourite is 2.5 in the match odds market.
  • Lay any late draw? England tend to avoid the draw in UEFA matches.
  • Too tight to call, this one.