Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A small set of matches tonight but an interesting set of matches.

19:45 - Arsenal v Man City - 1.81 Man City

  • 3-1 City and 0-3 City last 2 head to heads includes that League Cup match last match.

Arsenal (6th)

  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • 3-2-4-5 goals scored recently at home includes v Liverpool and Chelsea.
  • Scored in their last 13 at home.
  • No 0-0 at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only home loss v 2nd.

Man City (1st)

  • Only 1 loss.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • 0-0, 4-3 loss and 1-1 last 3 aways.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • 3 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 1-2, 4-3, 0-1, 1-1 away v top 7 teams.

Conclusions

  • It was a changed Arsenal side in the League Cup Final so I would not necessarily take that result to heart.
  • I think this will be far more competitive. city have been stumbling the last 3 away and v top 7 away, yes they have 2 wins but have been kept tight.
  • Arsenal are on a recent strong scoring run at home even against the likes of Chelsea and Liverpool.
  • This City side are amazing so it's hard to oppose them but I would look to lay them if they scored first.

18:30 - Real Betis v Real Sociedad - 2.54 Sociedad

  • 2-3 Sociedad and 4-4  last 2 head to heads.

Real Betis (7th)

  • 3 wins in 4 matches.
  • No draw in 12 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 8 at home.
  • No 0-0.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • 100% wins at home v 13th and lower.
  • In 10/11 matches at home v 3rd and lower, Betis scored 2+ goals.
  • 68% of goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • 11 goals scored at home last 15 mins of matches.

Real Sociedad (14th)

  • 6 losses and 2 wins in their last 8 matches.
  • 2 wins in 8 came at home.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • No win in 8 away.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away.
  • Wins away v 8th, 16th, 19th.

Conclusions

  • Both teams could score today with Betis perhaps getting their 2 usual goals. Sociedad had a reputation for goals but have been very poor away, with no win in 8 matches.
  • So lay Sociedad if Sociedad scores first in the hope Betis continue to score 2 goals.
  • Betis are a real last 15 minute goals team so if 1-1, or 0-1, something like that, coming to the 75th minute, look for a Betis goal to make that 2 goal pattern continue.

20:00 - Las Palmas v Barcelona - 1.24 Barcelona

  • 5-0, 1-4, 3-0 Barcelona last 3 head to heads.

Las Palmas (18th)

  • 2 wins and a loss last 3 at home.
  • 3 clean sheets in 4 matches.
  • 2 consecutive away 0-0's.
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • 3-5-3-3 conceded v top 4.
  • 69% of scored goals at home came 2nd half.

Barcelona (1st)

  • Failed to score only once.
  • Unbeaten.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 26 of 31 goals scored away came 2nd half.

Conclusions

  • Let's hope for a 0-0 at halftime or a 1-0! Barca score shed loads 2nd half if barren first half.
  • Las Palmas should be conceded 3+ goals today.

20:30 - Deportivo Alaves v Levante - 1.81 Alaves

  • 0-2 Alaves last head to head.

Alaves (16th)

  • Only 1 draw.
  • 3 wins sandwiched between losses to Barcelona and Real Madrid.
  • Scored in their last 9 at home, unbeaten in 6.
  • No 0-0.
  • 100% home wins v 15th and lower, 3 1-0's and a 2-0.
  • 69% of goals conceded at home came 2nd half.

Levante (17th)

  • Only 3 wins.
  • Conceded 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
  • No win in 13 and in 7 away.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • v 15th and lower away, 0-0. 0-2, 2-2, 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Alaves tend to beat 15th and lower at home. Levante are unbeaten v 15th and lower away. That clears that up then!
  • Not a match which appeals.