Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

A small number of matches but some good calls. Bin Duong scored first against Sandon Lueng who were as good as their odds suggested and won 3-1. The Dundee v Celtic match was a good call. Both teams scored. Celtic led 0-2 for Dundee to keep up their end of the bargain with a goal. 1-2 final score. On 1st May, Celtic play Dundee  and today's result suggests Celtic will have too much. Both teams scored in the Hibs match. Backing 0-0 pre-match in the Monaco v Juventus match proved very effective. Both sides cancelled each other out. I wanted to lay Real Madrid if they scored first, but scoring in the 88th minute hardly gave Atl Madrid, who were down to 10 men, the chance to fight back so I left that match alone. The Europa League quarter finals dominate proceedings today.

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds)

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market , especially in BANKER matches.

4:30pm - HIFK v HJK Helsinki - 1.4 away

Standout Stats

  • 2-0 HJK win in the league cup in March 2015 saw goals come in the 2nd half.
  • This is 1st v 7th in the Finnish top league albeit after only 2 matches.
  • 1-1 for HIFK in their sole match this season.
  • For HJK , a 1-3 win for HJK away and a 1-1 draw at home which was a slight shock given their pre-match odds.
  • There have been 2 goals scored before halftime in both of HJK's matches this season.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Limited form to go on. In the league cup recently HJK won with 2 2nd half goals but this season have seen 2 goals before halftime in their 2 matches. I will take a chance and lay the 0-0 halftime score if the market is liquid enough.
  • If HIFK score first, lay them
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8:05pm - Dnipro v Club Brugge  - 2.08 home

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 on the 16th April so all to play for in this Europa League (EL) quarter final.
  • Dnipro have 3 consecutive home wins to nil against reasonable sides St Etienne, Olympiakos and Ajax in the Europa League ( EL).
  • 64% of EL matches for Dnipro were under 2.5 goals.
  • Club Brugge are unbeaten this EL season. 64% over 2.5 goals for Club Brugge in contrast with Dnipro.
  • 3-4-3-3 scored by Club Brugge in away EL matches is very consistent

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is a tough match to call. Advantage Club Brugge though as they did not concede the away goal in the first leg, and have shown a propensity for scoring consistently away from home.
  • Angles in? Over 2.5 goals looks an obvious punt. If Club Brugge score, Dnipro will need 2 goals to go through. And we know about Club Brugge's away scoring this season.
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8:05pm - Fiorentina v Dinamo Kiev  - 1.79 home

Standout Stats

  • This is the 2nd EL quarter final and, after a 1-1 from the first leg, it is clear advantage Fiorentina with that away goal.
  • Only 1 loss for Fiorentina this EL campaign is good stuff. Fiorentina have had a habit in 2 legged matches of following up a 1-1 draw with a win. Will this continue tonight?
  • They followed it up with a win to nil v Tottenham and Roma which is impressive stuff.
  • Fiorentina have scored in all matches in the EL.
  • Dinamo Kiev have lost 3 of their last 4 away EL matches against the likes of AaB, Guingamp, and Everton.
  • Dinamo Kiev did score in their last 2 away matches. IF they score first today, then Fiorentina will need to score 1 to retain parity and a 2nd to go through in the simplest way they can.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • This is finely balanced and advantage Fiorentina here given their away goal. If Fiorentina score first, Dinamo Kiev will still need to score that away goal and the teams will remain equal.
  • I will lay Kiev if they score first today. I think Fiorentina have shown the better form against the likes of Roma and Tottenham
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8:05pm - Napoli v Wolfsburg - 2.22 home

Standout Stats

  • 1-4 to Napoli from the first leg should be emphatic enough given the away goals.
  • Napoli therefore can tolerate a 0-3 defeat this 2nd EL quarter-final

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • With such a resounding away lead and with Wolfsburg having a domestic reputation for goals, this could be over 2.5 goals today. Remember that Wolfsburg need to score 4 goals to go through , 3 will not do. I would back over 2.5 goals if this match is 0-0 for a while.
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8:05pm - Zenit St Petersburg v Sevilla - 2.42 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-1 to Sevilla from the first leg of this EL match saw Zenit score first. Zenit have their away goal.
  • No draw yet for Zenit in their 5 EL matches. At home, Zenit beat PSV and Torino 3-0 and 2-0.
  • 6 consecutive wins for Sevilla in the EL saw them score and concede in their last 4 matches.
  • Sevilla won 2-3 away at Mgladbach and 1-3 away at Villareal, 2 sides who are doing very well in their domestic leagues.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • A 1-0 is all that Zenit need to go through this evening. Sevilla go through with a 0-0. It's tough to call as Zenit have been very solid at home .  Hulk, Danny, Smolnikov and Criscito return today after bans and injuries. This could be key for Zenit as these guys were absent from the first leg.
  • Zenit need to score first today. I cannot really get an angle in because these 2 sides have shown good EL form against good sides.
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