Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

Where I mention BANKER below, this signifies those matches where I think the favourites should win. These matches I would personally prioritise as regards DRT.

Remember the strategies:

Lay the 0-0 halftime score in certain signalled matches

Lay the 0-0 2nd half in matches where goals were expected but have not yet materialised

Lay the 2-2 scoreline, especially early on in matches. 2-2 shows us that teams are scoring and conceding.

Lay the away team leading 0-2 before halftime, especially if they are favourites. The home team is usually galvanised by the halftime team talk.

Lay the underdog if they score first in certain matches (especially BANKER matches where I would back the BANKERS if they conceded first at enhanced odds).

Lay the underdog scoring early in the first half, in the HALF TIME market, especially in BANKER matches.

Do note matches where one team is red carded. The opponents do tend to score next more often than not.

2:45pm - Trabzonspor v Bursaspor  - 2.4 home

Standout Stats

  • I don't like seeing 2.4 odds, especially at this time of the season. It screams out, end of season for these 2. Let's see.
  • Humdingers in head to heads. 3-2, 2-2, 2-2, 3-3. An Angle in perhaps?
  • This is 6th v 5th, identical points, and only 4th place really a motivation for these 2.

Trab

  • 11 matches at home without a draw.
  • 6 match winning streak at home ended with a 0-2 loss to Besiktas last time out.
  • Only 2 losses at home
  • Scored highly v 4th, 7th, 8th, 9th at home
  • 73% over 2.5 goals at home
  • Both teams have scored in 80% of home matches.

Bursaspor

  • 3 match losing streak away
  • No win in 6 away matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 matches.
  • No win yet v top 7 away
  • 67% over 2.5 goals. away
  • Only 2 0-0's away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Both teams to score has a great chance and that means laying any side 2-0 up here.
  • Back 2-2 pre-match. It could have legs today.
  • With a high over 2.5 goals %, if this is 0-0 at halftime, back over 2.5 goals.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5pm - Lillestrom v Molde  - 1.74 away

Standout Stats

  • 1-1, 1-2 Molde, 3-2 Molde win in recent head to head.
  • This is 13th v 3rd in Norway.
  • Lillestrom tend towards 1-1 draws. They have also drawn teams 1-1 which Molde have beaten by 4 and 5 goals. Something to work on in a league of limited matches

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay Lillestrom if they score first.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5pm - Stabaek v Sandefjord  - 1.82 home

Standout Stats

  • 2 2-0 wins for Staebeck in friendlies. It seems like Sandefjord are newcomers to the Norwegian Elite league.
  • this is 2nd v 14th in Norway after 7 matches. Staebeck go joint top with a win, albeit negative goal difference over a stuttering Rosenborg yesterday.
  • Contrasting form for these 2. Stabaek have 5 consecutive wins to nil, and are very tight at home with 1-1, 1-0, 1-0. That may be the reason behind the cautious odds. Sandefjord have no draw this season, because they have lost all bar 2 matches. All defeats saw both teams score. Away from home, defeats have been 2-1, 3-2 and 2-1.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Winners v losers. An incongruous match insofar as the home side tend to win slenderly and keep clean sheets, while the away side score and concede in defeat.
  • It opens up the door to us laying Sandefjord surely if they score first. I would have to favour the home side.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5pm - Start v Bodo Glimt  - 1.84 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-1 Bodo, 2-1 Start and 6-0 Start in a friendly, those are the most recent head to heads.
  • this is 11th and 16th in the Norwegian Elite league after 7 matches. Bodo are bottom.
  • 3 defeats in 4 for Start is poor going in only 7 matches played. Bodo have 6 losses and a 2-2 draw this season. Bodo have conceded at least 2 goals in all matches which suggests we lay them if they score first, and better yet, if they lead 0-2.
  • Start have scored 2-2-3 at home this season, winning 2 and losing one 2-3.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Cautious odds about Start today because their, erm, Start to the season has been poor. Their most recent form is dire. The number 2 though seems to crop up and we could see Bodo Glimpt concede 2 goals yet again and Start score 2 goals at home yet again.
  • The logical conclusion here then is to lay Bodo if they score first or if they lead at any stage in this match.
  • Lay any late 0-0 in the anticipation of goals.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:45pm - Fenerbahce v Kayseri Erciyesspor  - 1.17 home

Standout Stats

  • 3 wins for Fenerbahce in head to heads, 2-1, 2-1, 1-0. The market expects 3+ goals today
  • This is 2nd v 17th of 18 in the Turkish Super Lig. I don't know the Galatasary result yet. If Galatasary won away, then they have a 4 point gap.

Fenerbahce

  • Only 4 defeats this season
  • 4 match home winning streak
  • No defeat in 6 matches
  • Scored in their last 11 matches.
  • Winning tough of late. 1-0, 2-1 loss, 1-0, 1-5 win, 1-0, 1-1, 4-3, 2-3 win. One goal in it wins.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • 3 consecutive home 1-0 wins and a 4-3 win.
  • 2-1, 3-2, 4-3 wins v bottom 4 at home
  • Only 1 0-0 at home

Erciyesspor

  • No win in 9 matches and 6 away
  • Conceded in their last 12 away matches and 9 overall
  • 5 losses and a draw in their last 6 away matches.
  • 2-3 and 2-2 in their last 2 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • All losses away v top 6. All losses home and away v top 2.
  • Both teams have scored in 80% of away matches.
  • Only 1 0-0 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Head to heads have been tight, Fener's last 4 wins have been tight and the last time they were these odds, it was 4-3 v Balikesirspor.
  • I do not expect an easy ride and would lay Fenerbahce if they score first and early.
  • Both teams to score looks a goer today. Do lay Erciyesspor if they score first or lead at some stage . This will be 1-0 or another ding-dong both teams scoring match. Fenerbahce must win today but there are an awful lot of tight recent matches.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6pm - Viborg v Roskilde  - 1.49 home

Standout Stats

  • This is the Danish First Division.2 consecutive 1-1 draws between these 2 competitively in 2014
  • This is 1st v 6th after 28 matches.

Viborg

  • 14 without a defeat at home and overall.
  • 4 recent consecutive draws ended with a win.
  • 9 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • only 29% over 2.5 goals at home
  • only 2 2nd half goals conceded at home.

Roskilde

  • no draw in 10 away
  • 2 match winning streak away
  • 5 match unbeaten run ended with a loss at home last match.
  • 4 wins and 2 1-0 defeats in their last 6 away matches.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
  • no 0-0 away

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • both sides have had a reasonable recent run but of course Viborg's unbeaten home run catches the eye.  With only 29% over 2.5 goals at home, scorelines are likely to be 1-0, 2-0 or 1-1.
  • I would favour the home side and be on their side should they be losing at any stage.
---------------------------------------------------------------------

7:45pm - Real Madrid v Juventus  - 1.69 home

Standout Stats

  • 2-1 to Juventus from the first leg of this Champions League match.
  • Real Madrid have the away goal. If they score first, and keep a clean sheet, they are through. If Juventus score first, then we will have an interesting match , 3-1 on aggregate and an  away goal.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • I'll be honest with you here. Do the www.bet365.com promotion if you want to make money out of this match. It cannot be researched. It is a one off event. Take the risk free Bet365 offer which you should know how to do from the first leg Champions League matches and yesterday's match.