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8-0 correct score was the highlight of yesterday's matches for Spain. Italy took to the 2nd half to score. I hope you noticed that 0-0 at halftime. The research actually went quite well yesterday. I flagged up Irish struggles, Moldovan concessions of 2 goals.
No international matches today. I will take a look at Russian Division 1 as there have been 11 matches played and it is a league featured at www.soccerstats.com. This league, I hope, will showcase how the research will look when the Premiership and Elite leagues have 11 or so matches under their belts. We should start to see patterns evolving.
There is also the Spanish Cup this evening. Take your cues from the market and do what I do with the League Cup. Look for huge gaps in leagues. I.e. we want Spanish Primera v 3rd tier for example.

13:00 - Tomsk v FC Orenburg - 2.04 FC

  • Orenburg won the last 3 head to heads, the last 2 saw these 2 in the Russian Premier League.
  • this is 11th v 7th currently after 11 matches.

Tomsk

  • Only 1 draw all season was a 0-0.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in their last 3 matches.
  • Only failed to score once at home.
  • All 3 wins at home were 2-1.
  • Scored and conceded in all bar 1 home match.

Orenburg

  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches saw 5 wins.
  • 3 consecutive wins.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Not traveled well. Losses v 1st, 9th and 14th and 0-1 wins v 17th and 18th.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Lay any late 0-0 as Orenburg tend to avoid 0-0's and Tomsk have only one draw, a 0-0.
  • If 0-0 at halftime, look to lay the 0-0 for the second half.
  • I was going to side with Orenburg here but obviously away from home, the wheels fall off, so I shall stay with the 0-0 angle only.

14:00 - Rotor Volgograd v Zenit St Petersburg II - 2.38 Rotor

  • No head to heads.
  • This is 20th v 12th. Always worth researching matches featuring bottom of the league as there is a logical angle to oppose them.

Rotor

  • Only 1 clean sheet came in their solitary win, away from home.
  • 3 consecutive home defeats.
  • Conceded in their last 7 matches.
  • Not yet met 11th-19th at home so only 3 home matches to work from. 0-1 and 2 1-2 defeats this season.
  • No 0-0 this season.

Zenit

  • All 3 wins came at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
  • No win in 6 away matches.
  • All defeats have come v the current top 9 teams.
  • 2 score draws away v 16th and 19th.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • This is another match in which both teams tend to avoid the 0-0, so note that if 0-0 at halftime or 0-0 late on.
  • Zenit's defeats need a context. After 11 matches they tend only to lose to top 9 teams.
  • They have score draws away v 16th and lower. This suggests that if Zenit continue to score and concede, and concede first, then Rotor are to be layed.
  • Both sides have just the one clean sheet but I would be more confident on Rotor conceding.

14:00 - Shinnik v Dinamo St Petersburg - 2.1 Shinnik

  • No head to heads since 2014.
  • This is 3rd v 4th.

Shinnik

  • Only 2 defeats.
  • 4 consecutive wins saw 3 consecutive clean sheets.
  • Failed to score only once.
  • Scored in their last 7 matches.
  • Loss at home v 2nd 2-3.
  • No 0-0.

Dinamo

  • Only 2 losses.
  • Those were the only matches Dinamo failed to score in.
  • Scored 2 goals at least in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • Sole away loss v 2nd.
  • No 0-0.

Conclusions

  • Another match where both teams avoid the 0-0, so use that as an angle if 0-0 at halftime.
  • Both sides look well matched. Both sides have lost against 2nd in the league.
  • Both teams have good scoring records. I think both teams will score. Given that Dinamo has scored 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches , I would be keener to lay Shinnik if Shinnik scored first.

15:00 - FK Avangard Kursk v Fakel - 1.84 FK

  • No head to heads since 2014.
  • This is 17th v 18th.

FK

  • Only 1 win.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of 11 matches.
  • There have been 6 score draws, with 5 1-1 draws.
  • Conceded in every match.
  • Have not scored 2 goals in any of their last 9 matches.
  • 3 1-1 draws at home in their last 4 matches.
  • Only loss at home v 1st.
  • Scored and conceded in all matches v 5th and lower.
  • 100% over 1.5 goals at home.

Fakel

  • Only 2 wins were 1-0 wins.
  • 6 losses in their last 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of 6 away matches.
  • No draw in 9 matches.
  • Only 1 0-0.

Conclusions

  • 2 strugglers this season.
  • Lay any late 0-0 - it seems to be a habit in Russia. Again, look out for 0-0 at halftime.
  • FK are yet to keep a clean sheet but Fakel has failed to score in 4 of 6 away matches.
  • Just the 0-0 angle for me and I will try and wait it out here if 0-0 late on given Fakel's problems infront of goal.
  • Based on FK, both teams will score. Given Fakel has had trouble even scoring, IF Fakel score, lay them.

16:00 - Kryliya Sovetov v FK Tambov - 1.75 Kryliva

  • No league head to heads.
  • This is 2nd v 5th.

Kryliya

  • Only 2 losses, one came last match 3-2.
  • 8 clean sheets this season so tend not to concede 2 goals usually.
  • 5 wins in 6 at home were to nil.
  • 2 of more goals scored in each of their last 5 matches.

Tambov

  • 6 wins in their last 7 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches, one was a 0-0.
  • Losses away v 6th and 7th.

Conclusions

  • I will favour Kryliya today. I like them scoring 2 goals so lay Tambov if Tambov scores first.
  • Both sides are in good form but note that Tambov lost away v 6th and 7th so although they have 6 wins in 7 matches, they may struggle away to top 7 sides.
  • Kryliya could actually win to nil today. If you fancy that, then correct score 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 springs to mind.

16:00 - Volgar Astrakhan v  Tyumen - 1.7 Volgar

  • Tyumen win, Volgar win in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 8th v 19th. Tyumen are struggling early on this season.

Volgar

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches.
  • Volgar are unbeaten at home v teams 14th and lower.

Tyumen

  • Only 1 win.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.

Conclusions

  • Only 1 win in 6 matches for Volgar is poor but note that they are unbeaten at home v teams 14th and lower. It is that form which I will rely upon today. I do not expect Tyumen to score 2 goals so will lay Tyumen if Tyumen scores first.

17:00 - FC Khimki v Sibir - 2.44 FC

  • 1-1 and 1-0 Sibir in the last 2 head to heads.
  • This is 13th v 10th.

FC

  • 3 wins came in the first 3 matches of the season.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 8 matches.
  • Failed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
  • Have lost their 5 matches home and away v top 11 sides.
  • No 0-0.

Sibir

  • 5 wins in 7 matches.
  • 2 away wins v 15th and 20th.

Conclusions

  • If FC scores first, lay them, given they struggle scoring.