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There are some strong stats trends today. How would I play?

Over 2.5 goals stats trends - look for a 0-0 at halftime and back over 2.5 goals for the 2nd half. If there is a late 1-1 or 2-0, lay the scoreline and hope that 3rd goal appears. If a late 1-1, lay the late draw and hope that 3rd goal appears.

Both teams to score trends. Look for a 0-0 at halftime and back both teams to score -yes for the 2nd half. Look for a late 1-0 or 2-0 and look for the opposing side to score by laying the side leading 1-0 or 2-0.

5pm - Rijeka v Lokomotiva Zagreb - 1.34 home - Beware the Xmas Break could bring an anomolous result. As things stand Rijeka are unbeaten this season. Bank on that remaining?

Standout Stats

  • The new Croatian season returns after an enforced break for Christmas and rather like the Dutch and German leagues which return after a Christmas break, there is quite simply no form for us to research.
  • As things stand Rijeka are 2nd in the Croatian top league and could go top with a win today.
  • Rijeka are unbeaten this season. Already this season Rijeka have beaten Lokomotiv Zagreb 3-1 and 1-2.
  • Lokomotiv Zagreb have lost all matches home and away v the top 3 this season.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Do beware of matches directly after a near 2 month break. On the pre-Christmas Break form, Rijeka should win today shouldn't they? Unless.....Lokomotiv in the Christmas break have worked on their game and suddenly show better form, form better than the  losses home and away v top 3.
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7pm - Cambuur v Utrecht - 2 away - In so far as the draw tends to be avoided by both teams with recent regularity. Look to oppose any late draw.

Standout Stats

  • Cambuur have scored 3 goals in each of the last 3 league head to heads.
  • This is 17th v 9th in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Cambuur

  • Only 2 wins.
  • 5 match losing streak.
  • No draw in 10 matches and in 4 at home.
  • Conceded in their last 16 matches and last 7 at home.
  • Only 1 clean sheet.
  • 3-3 the last time these 2 met.
  • 5 0-0'sat halftime at home.
  • 25 goals conceded at home this season.
  • Opponents scored first in 8/11 at home.

Utrecht

  • 3 match losing streak and 2 away.
  • No draw in 5 and in 3 away.
  • Conceded in their last 4 away.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • Failed to score in only 4 matches.
  • Lost away to 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th and play 17th today.
  • Opponents scored first in 9/12 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Expect over 2.5 goals today? I would take a chance and lay Utrecht if Utrecht score first.
  • Utrecht have a poor record away to teams 13th and lower.
  • Both teams could score if we look at the head to heads.
  • Lay any late draw given Cambuur have not had a draw in 10 matches and Utrecht no draw in 5.
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7pm - Achilles 29 v Sparta Rotterdam - 1.46 away - Sparta really should win and could score 3 goals. Sparta have a huge over 2.5 goals bias. So if under 2.5 goals or 0-0 at halftime, say, back overs 2nd half.

Standout Stats

  • 1-3,0-0 and 3-0 Sparta in most recent head to heads. Comfortable when winning.
  • This is 12th v 1st in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Achilles

  • 4 match home winning streak.
  • No defeat in 4 and in 5 at home.
  • Scored in their last 6.
  • Only 5 clean sheets but 2 in their last 2 home matches.
  • Lost 1-2 at home to 2nd in the league.
  • 5 2-1 scorelines in 7 matches at home v teams above them in the league, 3 wins and 2 losses.

Sparta

  • 2 match winning streak.
  • No defeat in 12 and in 6 away.
  • Scored in their last 12 and conceded in their last 4.
  • 10 wins and 2 draws in their last 12 matches.
  • Failed to score only twice.
  • Huge over 2.5 goals trend this season.
  • More vulnerable away from home, albeit losses have come v top 6 sides.
  • Scored 2+ goals in all bar 1 match home and away v 10th and lower.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • A real chance Sparta could score 3 goals today - 2 at least as they have done v 10th and lower in the league. Achilles have hit a bit of form but lost 1-2 to 2nd at home and lost 3-0 away to 1st and 3rd. Are the top 3 a step too far?
  • 1-2 scorelines looks a contender if Sparta are to win. it occurs a lot with Achilles v teams above them in the league.
  • Do expect Sparta to score - only 2 clean sheets all season.
  • Big over 2.5 goals trend for Sparta.
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7pm - Breda v MVV Maastricht - 1.33 home - no draw is a big trend for both teams (see above with Cambuur). 73% over 2.5 goals for both sides suggests 3 goals minimum.

Standout Stats

  • 1-1 in the only recent relevant head to head.
  • This is 2nd v 13th in the Dutch Eerste Divisie.

Breda

  • Must win really for Breda given they have played one more game than 1st in the league.
  • 2 match winning run.
  • No draw in 16 matches.
  • Scored in their last 6 matches.
  • 11 wins in their last 14 matches.
  • Failed to score in only 3 matches.
  • All home defeats came v 6th and higher.
  • 73% over 2.5 goals at home.

MVV

  • No draw in 10 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 11 matches.
  • 5 losses in their last 6 matches.
  • 7 losses in their last 10 matches.
  • Failed to score in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Losses away v top 4.
  • 73% over 2.5 goals away.
  • No 0-0.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • The lack of a draw for these 2 is the killer stat. Lay any late draw.
  • Over 2.5 goals looks highly likely.
  • Breda are expected to win and I would back Breda if MVV scored first.
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7:30pm - Gent v Mouscron - 1.29 home - 75% over 2.5 goals for both sides - So expect goals and react if none. Expect Gent to score - failed in only 2.

Standout Stats

  • Gent have won the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 2nd v 15th in the Belgian Pro League.

Gent

  • Only 3 defeats and one came last match.
  • 4 wins in their last 5 home matches.
  • 3 match home winning streak, scoring in their last 12 at home.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 1 loss at home.
  • 5 wins and a 1-1 draw v 13th and lower home and away.
  • 75% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • 12 first half and 17 second half goals scored at home.
  • Led at halftime in 7/12 at home.

Mouscron

  • No win in 7 and in 3 away.
  • Conceded in their last 9 and in their last 4 away.
  • Conceded 3 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • Conceded 3-2-3 away v top 4.
  • 75% over 2.5 goals away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Over 2.5 goals is a strong stat for both sides so expect 3 goals at least today.
  • Gent tend to win head to head and are expected to win v 13th and lower home and away.
  • I would expect 2 goals at least from Gent today and Mouscron could score.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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7:45pm - Carpi v Roma - 1.92 away - Carpi are yet to beat the top 11 at home so react if they lead.

Standout Stats

  • 5-1 to Roma the last time these 2 met.
  • This is 18th v 5th in Italian Seria A.

Carpi

  • Only 4 wins all season were 2-1 wins.
  • No win in 4 matches.
  • Only 4 clean sheets.
  • A run of scoring and conceding in 5 came to an end last match, a narrow 1-0 loss to Napoli (Napoli penalty).
  • Scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 home matches.
  • Have yet to beat top 11 sides at home.
  • Scored and conceded in 8 of 12 at home. 3 0-0's at home v 1st, 6th, 20th at home.

Roma

  • 3 match winning streak.
  • No draw in 4 matches.
  • Scored in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 4 losses.
  • Only 1 loss in their last 10 was v Juventus.
  • Only 5 clean sheets.
  • 3 wins and 2 draws home and away v bottom 3. 2 draws was v Verona.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • 11 of 14 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Roma have a good record v bottom 3 sides-their only draws came v Verona. Both teams could score but I do expect Roma to outscore Carpi. Carpi have scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches so it is possible that they could score again today.
  • Carpi are yet to beat the top 11. Roma have had a warning. Carpi away at Napoli last match were very impressive. 1-0 loss care of a Napoli penalty.
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7:45pm - Dundee v St Johnstone - 2.7 home - 73% over 2.5 goals home and 82% over 2.5 goals away. Both teams have scored in 82% of matches.

Standout Stats

  • St Johnstone, Dundee and draw in the last 3 head to heads tells us the 2.7 odds quote is about right. This could go any one of 3 ways.
  • This is 6th v 5th in the Scottish Premier League (SPL).

Dundee

  • No defeat in 3 at home.
  • Only 3 wins in their last 14 matches.
  • Unbeaten in 3 at home scoring 4-2-2 goals.
  • Conceded in their last 5 matches.
  • 73% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Both teams scored in 82% of home matches.
  • No 0-0.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Opponents scored first in 7/11 at home.

St Johnstone

  • No win in 6 matches.
  • No draw in 11 away.
  • Conceded in their last 5 away.
  • 2-1-2-2-3 conceded in their last 5 matches away.
  • Only 2 clean sheets.
  • 82% over 2.5 goals away.
  • Both teams scored 82% away.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • The market tells us this could go one of the 3 available ways! What is noticeable is the over 2.5 goals % for both sides. Also Both teams scoring is a large % for both teams. It does suggest laying any side which may lead 2-0/0-2.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score also looks good stats wise.
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