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A quick round up of the matches which catch my eye today.

11am - Ath Bilbao v Granada - 1.56 home - Granada are unlikely to win today so you know what to do if they score first... 2+ goals from Bilbao?

Standout Stats

  • Granada are unbeaten in the last 3 head to heads.
  • This is 7th v 17th in the Spanish La Liga. A must-win for Granada in their relegation fight.

Ath Bilbao

  • 2 match home winning streak.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 at home.
  • 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • 3 losses at home v 1st, 3rd and 11th. 
  • Have scored 2+ goals at least at home v 12th and lower.
  • 64% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • 4 0-0's at halftime at home.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime at home.

Granada

  • No draw in 8 away matches.
  • 2 consecutive score draws.
  • 6 losses and a win in their last 7 away matches.
  • Only 3 clean sheets all season.
  • Only 1 win away v teams above them in the league.
  • 5 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Conceded 10 goals in the last 1/4 hour of away matches.
  • Opponents scored first in 11/15 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Granada are unlikely to win today. With Ath Bilbao scoring 2+ goals v teams 12th and lower in the league, back Ath Bilbao if Granada score first.
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12:30pm - Aberdeen v Hamilton - 1.45 home - A must win for Aberdeen or their title challenge is over.

Standout Stats

  • Aberdeen tend to win but it was a 1-1 in the last head to head.
  • This is 2nd v 10th in the Scottish Premier League. Celtic have a game in hand as well as 4 points.

Aberdeen

  • 2 matches left, lose this and they lose their title bid.
  • Only 2 losses in 18 matches. 
  • 3 consecutive 2-1 scorelines, 2 wins and a loss.
  • No defeat in 10 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home. Scored in their last 10 overall.
  • Only 1 loss at home. all wins at home v bottom 3.
  • Scored first in 10/15 at home.

Hamilton

  • Scored in their last 4 away.
  • Only 2 wins in 15 matches were 1-0.
  • No win v any top 8 side away.
  • Conceded 21 of their 29 goals away in the first half. Scored 3 of their 15 away goals first half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score. If Hamilton concede it is highly likely to be first half.
  • A must win for Aberdeen so back Aberdeen if Hamilton score first.
  • 2-0, 2-1 possible win scorelines for Aberdeen?
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2pm - Fiorentina v Sampdoria - 1.65 home - Fiorentina have scored in their last 15 at home. Sampdoria have only 2 wins in 12 matches.

Standout Stats

  • 2 consecutive 2-0 wins for Fiorentina in head to heads.
  • This is 4th v 15th in Italian Seria A. Sampdoria are 4 points above the relegation zone so this is one of those matches we get at this part of the season where both sides need points, albeit for completely different reasons.

Fiorentina

  • Scored in their last 15 at home.
  • No defeat in 5 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 4 at home.
  • 3 draws in their last 4 matches.
  • A run of both teams scoring in 7 consecutive matches ended with a 0-0 latest.
  • Solid at home v 9th and lower.8 wins and 2 draws.
  • 9 wins and 2 draws home and away v 14th and lower so should be confident today.
  • Only 2 0-0'sat halftime at home.
  • Scored first in 11/15 at home.

Sampdoria

  • Scored in their last 9 away.
  • Only 2 wins in their last 12 matches.
  • Only 2 away wins.
  • Scored and conceded away v all top 11 they have played to date, without winning any.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.
  • Opponents scored first in 11/15 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Fiorentina are highly likely to score first. We may, though, see a return to both teams scoring which occured before the recent Fiorentina 0-0. If we do see both teams scoring, as has happened for Sampdoria away to all top 12, we are unlikely to see Sampdoria win.
  • It does open it up for my favourite 2-2 correct score as a trading vehicle for this match.
  • If the match happens to be 0-0, keep the faith, as Fiorentina tend to score a goal.....eventually.
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2pm - Genoa v Frosinone - 1.57 home - Frosinone have conceded 33 goals away. So a 0-0 or Fros lead to nil  unexpected.

Standout Stats

  • 2-2 the last time these 2 met.
  • This is 12th v 19th in Italian Seria A.

Genoa

  • 3 match home winning streak.
  • No defeat in 6 at home.
  • Have beaten 3rd bottom and bottom at home to nil and play 2nd bottom today.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home - nearly 50% of matches.

Frosinone

  • 2 match losing streak away.
  • No draw in 5 away.
  • Conceded in their last 14 away matches.
  • Only 3 wins in 16 matches.
  • Only 1 win away.
  • 33 goals conceded away, fairly split between 1st and 2nd halves.
  • Opponents scored first in 12/14 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Frosinone simply cannot keep the back door shut. 33 goals conceded away and highly likely to concede today. That is a ready angle into the match.
  • These matches at this time of the year can be tough to gauge as both sides need points for a variety of reasons which may see the relegation threatened side play a different game. As things stand though, Frosinone have only 1 win away and Genoa tend to score 2+ goals v bottom 3.
  • Form or fight for their lives?
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2pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Osijek - 1.15 home - Unbeaten at home in the league since August 2010 - Nuff said!

Standout Stats

  • Ahh, Dinamo at home. Not lost a home league match since August 2010.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Highly unlikely to see Dinamo Zagreb lose today so let's hope Osijek can lead at some stage. 1.15 odds (if accurate) suggest Dinamo Zagreb could score 3/4 goals today.
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3pm - FC Copenhagen v SonderjyskE - 1.56 home - Both teams could score and Copenhagen not lose.

Standout Stats

  • Both teams have scored in the last 5 head to heads with 2 score draws and 3 away wins for Copenhagen.
  • This is 1st v 3rd in the Danish Superliga.

FC Copenhagen

  • Only 3 losses all season, and lost last match.
  • No defeat in 12 at home.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 3 at home.
  • Have actually played today's opponents twice away and beaten them, conceding in both matches.
  • 19 of 31 goals scored at home came 2nd half.
  • Scored first in 10/13 at home.

Sonderjyske

  • No defeat in 7 and in 6 away .
  • 0-2-1-1-0 scored in recent away matches.
  • All defeats v top 2 this season.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime away - 58% of matches away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Only 3 losses and lost their last match. Copenhagen are highly unlikely to lose a 2nd consecutive match and that will be my angle into this match. They could concede today without losing so watch out for a Sonder goal.
  • Both teams to score, therefore, and Copenhagen not to lose.
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3:45pm - Ajax v Zwolle - 1.28 home - Ajax must react to PSV win and play Zwolle with all defeats away v top 6.

Standout Stats

  • 2 draws ended with a 0-2 Ajax win in the last head to head.
  • This is 1st v 8th in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Ajax

  • Only 2 losses.
  • No defeat in 12 matches and in 10 at home.
  • Scored in their last 8 matches.
  • 9 wins in their last 12.
  • Failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Only 1 home loss v 2nd.
  • 79% over 2.5 goals at home.
  • Only 1 0-0 at halftime at home.
  • Only 1 0-0.
  • 40 goals scored at home.
  • Scored first in 11/14 at home.
  • No opponent has led at halftime at Ajax.

Zwolle

  • No draw in 8 matches.
  • Scored and conceded last 3.
  • All defeats away v top 6.
  • 6 0-0's at halftime away is 43% of matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Ajax must win expecting PSV to win in this title tussle.
  • Zwolle don't have a good record v top 6 away - losing the lot. There is nothing in their form to assume a reversal today.
  • Expect Ajax to score at some stage if 0-0 for a while as they have failed to score in only 2 matches.
  • Ajax are expected to score 2+ goals if playing to their current season form.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score.
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7:30pm - Sevilla v Sociedad - 1.7 home - 13 match home winning streak and have been reliable when behind at home.

Standout Stats

  • Sociedad have won the last 2 head to heads, albeit at their place.
  • This is 6th v 11th in Spanish La Liga.

Sevilla

  • 13 match home winning streak.
  • No draw in 15 at home.
  • Scored in their last 14 at home.
  • Only 3 defeats this year, the last 2 were v Real Madrid and Barcelona.
  • All wins at home v 7th and lower.
  • Tend to score 2+ goals in wins.
  • Scored 16 goals either quarter hour before and after halftime at home.
  • Scored first 12/15 at home.

Real Sociedad

  • No draw in 5 away.
  • 3 losses in their last 4 matches.
  • All defeats away to top 6.
  • Only 2 0-0's at halftime away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Sevilla continue to excel at home and should be trusted not to lose today if Sociedad score. If Sevilla win, they expect them to score 2+ goals.
  • Lay the 0-0 halftime score but do delay entry (based on Sociedad).
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