Profit from LIVE trading on Betfair

These are the matches which catch my eye today.

7:45pm - Birmingham v Bolton - 1.97 home - No win in 16 away matches for Bolton I hope is a stat I can rely upon

Standout Stats

  • Birmingham have won the last 2 head to heads 0-1.
  • This is 8th v 23rd and points are urgent for different reasons. A play-off berth for Birmingham, and simply survival for Bolton.

Birmingham

  • No draw in 7 at home.
  • Scored in their last 5 at home.
  • 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
  • 2 0-0's in their last 3 matches.
  • Only 2 losses in 12 matches.
  • Have lost at home to 3rd bottom and bottom!
  • Only 2 draws at home.
  • 2/3rd of halftime scores at home either 1-0 or 0-0.

Bolton

  • No win in 16 away matches.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 5 matches.
  • Conceded in their last 9 away.
  • Only 4 wins all season came at home.
  • All defeats away v top 9.
  • Opponents scored first in 12/16 away.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • If Birmingham lose at home, it tends to be because they have failed to score. They meet a Bolton side who have conceded in their last 9 away matches, lost all away v top 9, and never won an away match this season. I cannot see Bolton keeping Birmingham to nil and winning.
  • Birmingham have scored in their last 5 home matches and kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • If Bolton do score first, a 0-1 loss is on the cards but I would keep the faith in Bolton's poor away form coming to bit them and I would oppose them.
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7:45pm - Preston v Charlton - 1.62 home - With Charlton failing to score in 5 of their last 7, a hope Preston dominate today and react if Charlton happen to score first.

Standout Stats

  • A comfortable 0-3 Preston win in the only recent relevant head to head.
  • This is 10th v 24th (bottom) in the English Championship.

Preston

  • 3 match winning streak, 2 at home.
  • Scored in their last 9 at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 9 matches.
  • Unbeaten home and away v 20th and lower in the league.
  • 8 0-0's at halftime at home (50% of home matches).

Charlton

  • Conceded in their last 7 away.
  • No draw in 4 away.
  • Only 5 wins. Only 1 win in 15 matches.
  • Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • Only 2 away wins.
  • 24 of 36 goals conceded away came 2nd half.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Charlton have had trouble scoring of late and may pay the price tonight against a Preston side who have scored in their last 9 at home.
  • Preston do have inconsistent form at home which is a slight concern, but are unbeaten home and away v 20th and lower home and away.
  • There is a chance this could be 0-0 at halftime but it certainly should not be 0-0 fulltime.
  • With only 2 away wins, lay Charlton if Charlton score first.
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7:45pm - Sheff Wed v QPR - 1.96 home - Sheff Wed unbeaten in 13 at home and QPR no win away v teams above them in the league.Would be a surprise were QPR to threaten a win today

Standout Stats

  • 0-0 the last time these 2 met.
  • This is 6th v 12th in the English Championship.

Sheff Wed

  • No defeat in 13 at home.
  • Scored in their last 6 at home.
  • Only 1 loss in 8 came last match, a 1-0 loss.
  • Failed to score in only 5 matches.
  • All wins bar a draw at home v 8th and lower.
  • 7 0-0's at halftime at home - 44% of home matches.

QPR

  • No win in 2 overall and in 2 away.
  • No defeat in 4 away.
  • Scored and conceded in their last 2 matches.
  • Only 1 loss in 7 matches.
  • By the same token, only 2 wins in 13 matches-saw 8 draws.
  • No win away v teams above them in the league.
  • Only the 1 win home and away v teams above them in the league.
  • 10 0-0's at halftime away is 62% of away matches.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Sheff Wed are solid at home, and when we add in the fact that QPR have only 1 win (1-0) home and away v teams above them in the league, it suggests we side with the Owls and oppose QPR if QPR score first. Only 2 wins in 13 for QPR saw 8 draws and that is a huge amount of lost points and a signal that the Hoops are unable to hold on to a lead?
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7:45pm - Dundee v Dumbarton - 1.34 home - Defer to the market here and hope the top league side reacts positively if conceding first.

Standout Stats

  • This is 6th in the Scottish Premiership v 8th in the Scottish Championship.
  • I will defer to the odds here in this Scottish Cup match and expect a good Dundee performance.

Profitable In-Play Opportunities

  • Side with the market here in this Scottish Cup match. The market will not be as liquid as the Champions League of course.
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