What does Crystal Palace, FC Koln, West Brom, Everton, West Ham and now Dortmund have in common?
They are amongst a group of teams who have installed new managers.
And you need to be aware of this as traders. Sometimes a new manager can make an immediate impact, as Woy Hodgson at Palace has. Palace are now scoring two goals regularly at home and are moving slowly away from the relegation zone.
FC Koln have had a new manager for two matches. In his first match, they led 3-0 vs Freiburg, only to be robbed by an 89th and 90th-minute penalty for Freiburg. In their next match, they made Bayern Munich work extremely hard for their 1-0 win
West Brom have appointed Alan Partridge (Aha!), or is that Alan Pardew? One of those two anyway, and that saw 1.3 favourite Liverpool unable to score against them last match.
Everton under David Unsworth suddenly started scoring and conceding 2+ goals for fun. Now under Big Sam it is three wins and a 1-1 draw vs Liverpool.
West Ham under football genius David Moyes only narrowly lost away to Man City, beat Chelsea 1-0 and kept Arsenal to a 0-0.
Dortmund are in transition, but in their last match they won 0-2. Yes, amazing scenes as Dortmund decided not to allow their opponents to score 3+ goals.
All of the above mentioned teams see changes in fortune, and more importantly, they fly in the face of the market.
Look at West Brom as the prime example away at Liverpool: 1.3 favourites Liverpool were the only short-priced Premier League favourite not to oblige that night.
The next time you hear or read about a major team changing manager, remember the ‘new manager syndrome’. It typically engenders a run of good form and some coupon-busting performances.
See you over the weekend for a couple of live chats.
Do note that next week I am travelling to see my parents for Christmas, so 19th/20th December might see some interruptions in the research. Apologies in advance.